Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Hibernian FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Thu 26 Dec 2024 · 12:30 UTC Tynecastle Park 18,726 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 9' Kye Rowles og
Rocky Bushiri og 45+2' 1–1
1–2 78' Dwight Gayle

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Hibernian FCPremier League at Tynecastle Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh
  • Assistant 1 David McGeachie
  • Assistant 2 Calum Spence
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Hibernian FC H 1–2 L
22 Dec St. Johnstone FC H 2–1 W
15 Dec Kilmarnock FC A 0–1 L
07 Dec Dundee FC H 2–0 W
01 Dec Aberdeen FC H 1–1 D
23 Nov Celtic FC H 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Heart of Midlothian FC A 2–1 W
21 Dec Aberdeen FC A 3–1 W
14 Dec Ross County FC H 3–1 W
07 Dec Celtic FC A 0–3 L
30 Nov Motherwell FC A 3–0 W
26 Nov Aberdeen FC H 3–3 D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Hibernian FC
#1 Position #5
70 Points 51
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 13 / 12 / 8
58 Scored 51
28 Conceded 37
+30 GD +14
2.12 PPG 1.55
64% Win % 39%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Hibernian FC are 5th (51 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Tynecastle Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 9' Kye Rowles adds to his 1 season tally! Heart of Midlothian FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 14' Heart of Midlothian FC currently sit 10 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 19' It’s high time David Gray made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 24' Heart of Midlothian FC is showing some good football. However, Heart of Midlothian FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 28' Cameron Devlin catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 28.
  • 33' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heart of Midlothian FC and Hibernian FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 35' Poor challenge from Rocky Bushiri. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Blair Spittal made 212 appearances and scored 34 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 47' Rocky Bushiri makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Hibernian FC are in front.
  • 52' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 57' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 62' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hibernian FC that had 297 games and scored 388 goals.
  • 67' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heart of Midlothian FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 68' A tactical swap from Hibernian FCDwight Gayle on, Elie Youan off on 68 minutes.
  • 69' The whistle greets Joe Newell as he departs to be replaced by Hyeok-kyu Kwon.
  • 70' Another substitution for Heart of Midlothian FC to replace Blair Spittal by Yan Dhanda on 70 minute.
  • 71' It’s gonna be a card for Craig Halkett.
  • 76' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Lewis Miller. He replaces Warren O'Hora on 77 minute.
  • 78' GOAL! Dwight Gayle scores on 78.
  • 78' Beni Baningime makes way for Malachi Boateng at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heart of Midlothian FC.
  • 79' The whistle greets Musa Drammeh as he departs to be replaced by Kenneth Vargas.
  • 84' Supporters expect more eagerness from Chris Cadden, as he is very good at scoring at Tynecastle Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 85' The whistle greets Craig Halkett as he departs to be replaced by Liam Boyce.
  • 90' Hibernian FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • The points are shared — Heart of Midlothian FC 1-2 Hibernian FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Hibernian FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC or Hibernian FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC39% Draw28% Hibernian FC33%
Actual: Hibernian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Hibernian FC
61%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Hibernian FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC30% Draw46% Hibernian FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7%
2 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Hibernian FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 20% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Hibernian FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.