Heart of Midlothian FC vs Hibernian FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2024-25

Heart of Midlothian FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Hibernian FC

Thu 26 Dec 2024 · 12:30 UTC Tynecastle Park 18,726 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 9' Kye Rowles og

Rocky Bushiri og 45+2' 1–1

1–2 78' Dwight Gayle

Cameron Devlin 28' Y

Y 35' Rocky Bushiri

Craig Halkett 71' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Hibernian FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.

Heart of Midlothian FC 12 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Hibernian FC 12 games · 11 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Nick Walsh
Assistant 1 David McGeachie
Assistant 2 Calum Spence

6 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 15.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	13	31
2	Rangers FC	12	27
3	Falkirk FC	13	21
4	Heart of Midlothian FC	12	20
5	Dundee FC	12	17
6	Dundee United FC	12	17
7	St. Johnstone FC	13	17
8	St. Mirren FC	13	14
9	Motherwell FC	13	13
10	Hibernian FC	12	11
11	Aberdeen FC	12	11
12	Kilmarnock FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

Heart of Midlothian FC 25 games · Avg 2.2 goals Hibernian FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-12-26 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Hibernian FC 2024-10-27 Hibernian FC 1–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2024-02-28 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Hibernian FC 2023-12-27 Hibernian FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2023-10-07 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–2 Hibernian FC

Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Dec	Hibernian FC	H	1–2	L
22 Dec	St. Johnstone FC	H	2–1	W
15 Dec	Kilmarnock FC	A	0–1	L
07 Dec	Dundee FC	H	2–0	W
01 Dec	Aberdeen FC	H	1–1	D
23 Nov	Celtic FC	H	1–4	L

Hibernian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Dec	Heart of Midlothian FC	A	2–1	W
21 Dec	Aberdeen FC	A	3–1	W
14 Dec	Ross County FC	H	3–1	W
07 Dec	Celtic FC	A	0–3	L
30 Nov	Motherwell FC	A	3–0	W
26 Nov	Aberdeen FC	H	3–3	D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC		Hibernian FC
#4	Position	#10
20	Points	11
12	Played	12
6 / 2 / 4	W / D / L	3 / 2 / 7
26	Scored	15
22	Conceded	17
+4	GD	-2
1.67	PPG	0.92
50%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

25% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

8% Clean Sheets
Hibernian FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (20 pts). Hibernian FC are 10th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC

0-15

4/4

16-30

3/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

6/4

61-75

3/1

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Hibernian FC

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/2

31-45

1/7

46-60

3/–

61-75

2/1

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC

Claudio Braga	6 G	2 A
Calvin Miller	5 G	1 A
James Wilson	3 G
Laurent Mendy	3 G
Joshua McPake	2 G	1 A

Hibernian FC

Callum Wright	3 G	1 A
Martin Boyle	3 G
Owen Elding	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Tynecastle Park. Heart of Midlothian FC are looking to make home advantage count against Hibernian FC.
5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Cameron Devlin made 219 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
9' What a strike from Kye Rowles! The score is 1-0.
14' Scotland international James Wilson has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
19' Heart of Midlothian FC is showing some good football. However, Heart of Midlothian FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
24' Hibernian FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
28' That looks like a foul for a card for Cameron Devlin.
33' Heart of Midlothian FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
35' A moment of madness from Rocky Bushiri on 35 minutes earns him a card. Hibernian FC will be frustrated.
40' The travelling Hibernian FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
45' Heart of Midlothian FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Hibernian FC's 3-4-1-2 shape.
47' Rocky Bushiri makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Hibernian FC are in front.
52' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Heart of Midlothian FC that had 319 games and scored 349 goals.
57' Blair Spittal is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Hibernian FC so far.
62' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
67' Jordan Obita, a Uganda , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
68' Hibernian FC make a change. Elie Youan trudges off to be replaced by Dwight Gayle on 68 minutes.
69' The crowd applauds Joe Newell as he leaves the pitch. Hyeok-kyu Kwon steps in for Hibernian FC.
70' A change in the Heart of Midlothian FC ranks — Blair Spittal exits the field as Yan Dhanda enters on 70.
71' Heart of Midlothian FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
76' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
77' The Hibernian FC bench stirs into life. Warren O'Hora is withdrawn and Lewis Miller gets his opportunity.
78' Dwight Gayle does the damage! The net is bulging and Hibernian FC surge ahead!
78' Beni Baningime makes way for Malachi Boateng at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heart of Midlothian FC.
79' Fresh legs for Heart of Midlothian FC! Kenneth Vargas comes on to replace Musa Drammeh.
84' Heart of Midlothian FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
85' Another change for Heart of Midlothian FC made on 85 minute. Craig Halkett leaves to be changed by Liam Boyce.
90' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Warren O'Hora suffering a number of foals already.
Heart of Midlothian FC will have plenty to reflect on. Hibernian FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Hibernian FC Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach David Gray

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lawrence Shankland	5
Martin Boyle	5
Kevin Nisbet	2
Elie Youan	2
Daryl Horgan	2
Andrew Halliday	2
Uche Ikpeazu	2
James Wilson	2

Head to Head

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2024-12-26 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Hibernian FC L 2024-12-22 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–1 St. Johnstone FC W 2024-12-15 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2024-12-07 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–0 Dundee FC W 2024-12-01 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Aberdeen FC D 2024-11-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–4 Celtic FC L

Hibernian FC Form

2024-12-26 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Hibernian FC W 2024-12-21 Aberdeen FC 1–3 Hibernian FC W 2024-12-14 Hibernian FC 3–1 Ross County FC W 2024-12-07 Celtic FC 3–0 Hibernian FC L 2024-11-30 Motherwell FC 0–3 Hibernian FC W 2024-11-26 Hibernian FC 3–3 Aberdeen FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.91 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.58 Hibernian FC xG

I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC or Hibernian FC 75% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Heart of Midlothian FC41% Draw25% Hibernian FC34%

Actual: Hibernian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.49

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	45%	55%
± 4.5	27%	73%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw

66%

Draw or Hibernian FC

59%

Heart of Midlothian FC or Hibernian FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Heart of Midlothian FC34% Draw41% Hibernian FC25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.1%

2 – 1

8.5%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

6.6%

2 – 0

5.6%

3 – 1

5.4%

1 – 0

5.2%

0 – 0

4.5%

3 – 2

4.2%

0 – 1

4.2%

0 – 2

3.9%

1 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap	Heart of Midlothian FC covers	Push	Hibernian FC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	14%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	19%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	16%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Hibernian FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.