Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hibernian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 10 Aug 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hibernian FC vs Kilmarnock FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug Kilmarnock FC H 2–2 D
03 Aug Dundee FC A 2–1 W
17 May Rangers FC H 2–2 D
14 May St. Mirren FC A 2–2 D
10 May Celtic FC A 1–3 L
03 May Dundee United FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug Hibernian FC A 2–2 D
02 Aug Livingston FC H 2–2 D
18 May Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–1 L
14 May Motherwell FC A 0–3 L
10 May Dundee FC H 3–2 W
03 May St. Johnstone FC A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Hibernian FC Kilmarnock FC
#5 Position #11
51 Points 28
33 Played 33
13 / 12 / 8 W / D / L 6 / 10 / 17
51 Scored 37
37 Conceded 65
+14 GD -28
1.55 PPG 0.85
39% Win % 18%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hibernian FC are 5th (51 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Hibernian FC host Kilmarnock FC — let the battle begin!
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Hibernian FC Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.21 Hibernian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hibernian FC57% Draw23% Kilmarnock FC20%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Hibernian FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
43%
Hibernian FC or Kilmarnock FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hibernian FC43% Draw40% Kilmarnock FC17%
Actual: Hibernian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.1%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Hibernian FC

Handicap Hibernian FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 21% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 11% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Hibernian FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.