Hamburger SV vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hamburger SV vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.
- Hamburger SV 34 games · 38 pts (2025/26)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Schroder
13 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | SV Werder Bremen | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | VfB Stuttgart | A | 0–4 | L |
| 04 Apr | FC Augsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | A | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | 1. FC Koln | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Hamburger SV | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Apr | FC Augsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Mar | RB Leipzig | A | 0–5 | L |
| 14 Mar | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Hamburger SV | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #5 |
| 38 | Points | 61 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 11 / 14 | W / D / L | 18 / 7 / 9 |
| 40 | Scored | 65 |
| 54 | Conceded | 52 |
| -14 | GD | +13 |
| 1.12 | PPG | 1.79 |
| 26% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
Hamburger SV this season
21%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Hamburger SV
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/4
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Hamburger SV and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim has kicked off!
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 8' It’s a booking for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player. Robin Hranac gets a card.
- 13' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 18' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 19' Goal! Fisnik Asllani scores his 20 goal in 407 matches.
- 24' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Fabio Vieira suffering a number of foals already.
- 29' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 32' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player sees a card in front of him.
- 34' GOAL! Robert Glatzel scores on 34.
- 39' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hamburger SV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 44' It’s high time Christian Ilzer made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 45' Tim Lemperle puts TSG 1899 Hoffenheim on the lead.
- 46' The whistle greets Robin Hranac as he departs to be replaced by Bernardo.
- 49' The referee calls foul for Nicolai Remberg. He receives a card.
- 54' The travelling TSG 1899 Hoffenheim supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 59' It looks like no one’s ball. Hamburger SV is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 64' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Grischa Promel is hanging Fisnik Asllani on the field on 64 minute.
- 68' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim receives a card for a hard tackle on 68.
- 71' The referee shows TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player a card on 71.
- 74' Giorgi Gocholeishvili is replacing Bakery Jatta for the Hamburger SV side.
- 75' The whistle greets Andrej Kramaric as he departs to be replaced by Alexander Prass.
- 80' Hamburger SV is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 85' Another substitution for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to replace Tim Lemperle by Max Moerstedt on 85 minute.
- 86' The whistle greets Bazoumana Toure as he departs to be replaced by Cole Campbell.
- 88' Hamburger SV manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rayan Philippe is hanging Albert Gronbaek Erlykke on the field on 88 minute.
- 90' Albert Sambi Lokonga was booked on 90.
- Full Time. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim beats Hamburger SV
Lineups
Hamburger SV Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 25
- 1
-
9
Robert Glatzel ↓ Otto Stange 64'
- 24
- 11
- 20
- 23
-
17
Warmed Omari ↓ Damion Downs 88'
- 2
- 21
Bench
-
6
Albert Sambi Lokonga ↑ 75'
- 3
-
14
Rayan Philippe ↑ 88'
-
16
Giorgi Gocholeishvili ↑ 74'
- 12
- 8
-
19
Damion Downs ↑ 88'
-
49
Otto Stange ↑ 64'
- 43
Coach
Merlin Polzin
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 27
- 5
- 34
-
19
Tim Lemperle ↓ Max Moerstedt 85'
- 21
-
11
Fisnik Asllani ↓ Grischa Promel 64'
- 7
-
29
Bazoumana Toure ↓ Cole Campbell 86'
-
2
Robin Hranac ↓ Bernardo 46'
Bench
-
13
Bernardo ↑ 46'
- 9
- 25
-
6
Grischa Promel ↑ 64'
- 37
-
22
Alexander Prass ↑ 75'
- 10
-
33
Max Moerstedt ↑ 85'
-
20
Cole Campbell ↑ 86'
Coach
Christian Ilzer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Glatzel | 1 |
| Tim Lemperle | 1 |
| Fisnik Asllani | 1 |
Head to Head
Hamburger SV Form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2026-04-25
Hamburger SV
1–2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2026-04-18
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–1
Borussia Dortmund
W
2026-04-10
FC Augsburg
2–2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2026-04-04
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2026-03-20
RB Leipzig
5–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2026-03-14
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
VfL Wolfsburg
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37
Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.98
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Hamburger SV or Draw
52%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
73%
Hamburger SV or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 3
4.4%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV
| Handicap | Hamburger SV covers | Push | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 14% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 21% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 15% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.