Hamburger SV vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hamburger SV vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.
- Hamburger SV 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Schroder
3 games this season
🟨 7.3/game
⚽ 7.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | SV Werder Bremen | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | VfB Stuttgart | A | 0–4 | L |
| 04 Apr | FC Augsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | A | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | 1. FC Köln | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Hamburger SV | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Apr | FC Augsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Mar | RB Leipzig | A | 0–5 | L |
| 14 Mar | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Hamburger SV | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #14 |
| 3 | Points | 3 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 1 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 0 / 3 |
| 2 | Scored | 7 |
| 13 | Conceded | 10 |
| -11 | GD | -3 |
| 0.75 | PPG | 0.75 |
| 25% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
Hamburger SV this season
0%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
Hamburger SV are 16th (3 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Hamburger SV
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Adam Daghim | 2 G | 2 A |
| Adam Hlozek | 2 G | |
| Ozan Kabak | 1 G | |
| Tim Lemperle | 1 G | |
| Leon Avdullahu | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Hamburger SV host TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — let the battle begin!
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 8' Robin Hranac is having his name booked by the referee on 8.
- 13' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Oliver Baumann suffering a number of foals already.
- 18' Hamburger SV is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 19' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is taking the lead after the goal scored by Fisnik Asllani on 19.
- 24' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 29' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 32' It’s a booking for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player. Oliver Baumann gets a card.
- 34' What a strike from Robert Glatzel! The score is 1-1.
- 39' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 44' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 45' Tim Lemperle adds to his 1 season tally! TSG 1899 Hoffenheim lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- 46' Time for substitution for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Robin Hranac is replaced by Bernardo.
- 49' That is a card for Hamburger SV. Nicolai Remberg will be fuming at that decision.
- 54' Wouter Burger is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Hamburger SV tonight.
- 59' With 0 assists to his name this season, Cole Campbell is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Hamburger SV.
- 64' Grischa Promel gets the nod from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. He replaces Fisnik Asllani and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Grischa Promel on 68 minutes.
- 71' The referee calls foul for Wouter Burger. He receives a card.
- 74' Time for substitution for Hamburger SV. Bakery Jatta is replaced by Giorgi Gocholeishvili.
- 75' Time for substitution for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Andrej Kramaric is replaced by Alexander Prass.
- 80' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 85' Fresh legs for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim! Max Moerstedt comes on to replace Tim Lemperle.
- 86' The TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes a substitution. Bazoumana Toure departs to be replaced by Cole Campbell.
- 88' Hamburger SV make a change. Albert Gronbaek Erlykke trudges off to be replaced by Rayan Philippe on 88 minutes.
- 90' A moment of madness from Albert Sambi Lokonga on 90 minutes earns him a card. Hamburger SV will be frustrated.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim take all three points.
Lineups
Hamburger SV Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 25
- 1
-
9
Robert Glatzel ↓ Otto Stange 64'
- 24
- 11
- 20
- 23
-
17
Warmed Omari ↓ Damion Downs 88'
- 2
- 21
Bench
-
6
Albert Sambi Lokonga ↑ 75'
- 3
-
14
Rayan Philippe ↑ 88'
-
16
Giorgi Gocholeishvili ↑ 74'
- 12
- 8
-
19
Damion Downs ↑ 88'
-
49
Otto Stange ↑ 64'
- 43
Coach
Merlin Polzin
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 27
- 5
- 34
-
19
Tim Lemperle ↓ Max Moerstedt 85'
- 21
-
11
Fisnik Asllani ↓ Grischa Promel 64'
- 7
-
29
Bazoumana Toure ↓ Cole Campbell 86'
-
2
Robin Hranac ↓ Bernardo 46'
Bench
-
13
Bernardo ↑ 46'
- 9
- 25
-
6
Grischa Promel ↑ 64'
- 37
-
22
Alexander Prass ↑ 75'
- 10
-
33
Max Moerstedt ↑ 85'
-
20
Cole Campbell ↑ 86'
Coach
Christian Ilzer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tim Lemperle | 1 |
| Fisnik Asllani | 1 |
| Robert Glatzel | 1 |
Head to Head
Hamburger SV Form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2026-04-25
Hamburger SV
1–2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2026-04-18
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–1
Borussia Dortmund
W
2026-04-10
FC Augsburg
2–2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2026-04-04
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2026-03-20
RB Leipzig
5–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2026-03-14
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
VfL Wolfsburg
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1
Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.51
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.61
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Hamburger SV or Draw
41%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
81%
Hamburger SV or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 1
8.2%
1 – 3
7.5%
0 – 3
6.9%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 4
4.8%
0 – 4
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 1
4%
0 – 0
3.9%
Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV
| Handicap | Hamburger SV covers | Push | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -0.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| +0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +1 | 33% | 21% | 46% |
| +1.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +2 | 54% | 19% | 26% |
| +2.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.