Friday , 11 September 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Koln, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 18 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Assistant 1 Benedikt Kempkes
  • Assistant 2 Roman Potemkin

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan 1. FC Koln H 1–0 W
21 Dec SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 H 5–0 W
14 Dec SSV Ulm 1846 A 1–1 D
08 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–2 D
01 Dec Karlsruher SC A 3–1 W
23 Nov FC Schalke 04 H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Hamburger SV A 0–1 L
22 Dec 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 1–0 W
15 Dec 1. FC Nurnberg H 3–1 W
08 Dec SSV Jahn Regensburg A 1–0 W
04 Dec Hertha BSC H 2–1 W
30 Nov Hannover 96 H 2–2 D

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Volksparkstadion that hosts another battle between Hamburger SV and 1. FC Koln.
  • 5' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 6' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jusuf Gazibegovic on 6 minutes.
  • 11' Max Finkgrafe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FC Koln so far.
  • 13' That is a card for Hamburger SV. Immanuel Pherai will be fuming at that decision.
  • 18' 1. FC Koln fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 23' Dejan Ljubicic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 28' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 33' Hamburger SV are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FC Koln backline.
  • 38' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 43' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' A tactical swap from 1. FC KolnMax Finkgrafe on, Leart Paqarada off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Hamburger SV side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 55' 1. FC Koln receives a card for a hard tackle on 55.
  • 56' Time for substitution for Hamburger SV. Bakery Jatta is replaced by Emir Sahiti.
  • 58' It is a substitution in 1. FC Koln team. Jusuf Gazibegovic is replaced by Jan Thielmann on 58 minute.
  • 63' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 67' 1. FC Koln manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Steffen Tigges is hanging Damion Downs on the field on 67 minute.
  • 72' A tactical swap from Hamburger SVLukasz Poreba on, Adam Karabec off on 72 minutes.
  • 73' Timo Hubers was booked on 73.
  • 76' Marvin Obuz is ready to make an impact after coming on for Denis Huseinbasic at the 76 minute mark.
  • 77' Max Finkgrafe catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 77.
  • 78' Ransford Konigsdorffer doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 83' It looks like no one’s ball. Hamburger SV is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 84' The referee calls foul for Daniel Elfadli. He receives a card.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Silvan Hefti. He replaces Jean-Luc Dompe on 84 minute.
  • 89' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Hamburger SV and 1. FC Koln are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for William Mikelbrencis.
  • Hamburger SV celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.42 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 1. FC Köln xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV51% Draw28% 1. FC Köln21%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
78%
Draw or 1. FC Köln
49%
Hamburger SV or 1. FC Köln
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV33% Draw50% 1. FC Köln17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FC Köln covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 24% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
41%
1. FC Köln keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.