Gremio FBPA vs Santos FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs Santos FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Santos FC 30 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 29 | 50 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 29 | 48 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 30 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 10 | Coritiba FBC | 29 | 38 |
| 11 | RB Bragantino | 29 | 37 |
| 12 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 13 | Botafogo FR | 29 | 35 |
| 14 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 30 | 33 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 30 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 28 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | Santos FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 May | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | CR Flamengo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 May | CA Paranaense | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Coritiba FBC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–3 | L |
| 17 May | Coritiba FBC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 10 May | RB Bragantino | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 May | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | Santos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #8 |
| 31 | Points | 42 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 10 / 13 | W / D / L | 11 / 9 / 10 |
| 32 | Scored | 46 |
| 40 | Conceded | 45 |
| -8 | GD | +1 |
| 1.03 | PPG | 1.40 |
| 23% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season
Santos FC this season
Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). Santos FC are 8th (42 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Santos FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/3
31-45
8/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
3/4
76+
10/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Santos FC
| Gabriel Barbosa | 14 G | 3 A |
| Neymar | 8 G | 3 A |
| Alvaro Barreal | 5 G | 1 A |
| Benjamin Rollheiser | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Santos FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 9' Santos FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 14' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 19' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 24' Gabriel Brazao has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 29' The referee has no hesitation. Cristian Pavon is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 29.
- 32' Gabriel Barbosa adds to his 7 season tally! Santos FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 40' GOAL! Carlos Vinicius fires home to make it 1-1!
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Gustavo Henrique.
- 50' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 55' Brilliant from the ! Gabriel Barbosa makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 55.
- 59' Carlos Vinicius is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
- 63' GOAL! Tete scores on 63. Assisted by Cristian Pavon
- 68' A quiet spell here at Arena do Gremio. Santos FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 73' Santos FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 78' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Santos FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 83' Santos FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 84' The referee shows Santos FC player a card on 84.
- 89' Over 89 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Gremio FBPA take all three points.
Lineups
Gremio FBPA Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 38
- 22
- 95
- 7
- 9
- 19
- 44
- 99
- 43
- 33
Bench
- 4
- 17
- 14
- 8
- 21
- 20
- 3
- 11
- 24
- 32
- 65
- 39
Coach
Luis Castro
Santos FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 15
- 11
- 18
- 4
- 9
- 31
- 77
- 98
- 30
- 49
- 48
Bench
- 14
- 8
- 28
- 2
- 21
- 1
- 19
- 26
- 7
- 81
Coach
Cuca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Souza | 4 |
| Marinho | 3 |
| Everton | 3 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Maicon | 2 |
| Gabriel Barbosa | 2 |
| Maicon | 2 |
| Pepe | 2 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.57
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
Santos FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gremio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
72%
Draw or Santos FC
53%
Gremio FBPA or Santos FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–2 not predicted3 – 2Actual
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 0
7.2%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | Santos FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

