Friday , 28 August 2026

Gremio FBPA vs Santos FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

3 2
Full Time
Sat 23 May 2026 · 22:00 UTC Arena do Gremio 37,385 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 32' Gabriel Barbosa
Carlos Vinicius 40' 1–1
1–2 55' Gabriel Barbosa
Carlos Vinicius 59' 2–2
Tete 63' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Santos FCSerie A at Arena do Gremio.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Santos FC H 3–2 W
17 May EC Bahia A 1–1 D
10 May CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
02 May CA Paranaense A 0–0 D
26 Apr Coritiba FBC H 1–0 W
18 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Gremio FBPA A 2–3 L
17 May Coritiba FBC H 0–3 L
10 May RB Bragantino H 2–0 W
02 May SE Palmeiras A 1–1 D
25 Apr EC Bahia A 2–2 D
19 Apr Fluminense FC H 2–3 L

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA Santos FC
#16 Position #14
25 Points 26
23 Played 23
6 / 7 / 10 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 9
24 Scored 33
31 Conceded 36
-7 GD -3
1.09 PPG 1.13
26% Win % 26%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
26% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 16th (25 pts). Santos FC are 14th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Santos FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/3
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/4
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 8 G 2 A
Neymar 6 G 3 A
Alvaro Barreal 5 G 1 A
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Gremio FBPA launch into their encounter with Santos FC.
  • 5' With 3 assists to his name this season, Cristian Pavon is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gremio FBPA.
  • 9' Santos FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 9.
  • 14' It’s high time Cuca made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 19' Over 19 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 24' Gremio FBPA is showing some good football. However, Gremio FBPA are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 29' A meaty challenge results in booking for Cristian Pavon on 29.
  • 32' What a moment for Gabriel Barbosa! That strike on 32 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 37' Santos FC come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 40' Carlos Vinicius makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Gremio FBPA are in front.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gustavo Henrique on 45 minutes.
  • 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 55' Gabriel Barbosa has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 55 minutes.
  • 59' A stunning finish from Carlos Vinicius — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 63' Magnificent from Tete! That is 14 goals in 203 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 68' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 73' Adonis Frias has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 78' Gremio FBPA currently sit 15 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 83' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 84' Gustavo Henrique picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 89' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rony made 379 appearances and scored 33 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 3-2 the final result. Santos FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.6 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 Santos FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA48% Draw25% Santos FC27%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
73%
Draw or Santos FC
52%
Gremio FBPA or Santos FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA31% Draw45% Santos FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
0 – 0
7.2%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push Santos FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 20% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
27%
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.