Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fortaleza EC vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 20 Apr 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Allanzinho 29' Y
Y 81' Richard Rios

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs SE PalmeirasSerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
17 Apr EC Vitoria A 1–2 L
13 Apr SC Internacional H 0–0 D
06 Apr Mirassol FC A 1–1 D
29 Mar Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
08 Dec SC Internacional H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Fortaleza EC A 2–1 W
16 Apr SC Internacional A 1–0 W
12 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W
06 Apr SC Recife A 2–1 W
30 Mar Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
08 Dec Fluminense FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Ramon Sosa 4 G 2 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Mauricio 4 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Castelao that hosts another battle between Fortaleza EC and SE Palmeiras.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fortaleza EC and SE Palmeiras are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' Fortaleza EC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fortaleza EC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' SE Palmeiras fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 29' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 29.
  • 34' It looks like no one’s ball. SE Palmeiras is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 39' SE Palmeiras seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 44' SE Palmeiras are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 49' Facundo Torres Perez adds to his 1 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 54' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Emiliano Martinez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 58' Brilliant from the ! Jose Manuel Lopez makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 58.
  • 63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for David Luiz suffering a number of foals already.
  • 66' A change in the Fortaleza EC ranks — David Luiz exits the field as Juan Lucero enters on 66.
  • 70' Deyverson makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Fortaleza EC are in front.
  • 71' A change in the SE Palmeiras ranks — Felipe Anderson exits the field as Mauricio enters on 71.
  • 72' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Jose Manuel Lopez is replaced by Vitor Roque on 72 minute.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Diogo Barbosa. He replaces Facundo Torres Perez on 76 minute.
  • 77' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Allan comes on to replace Allanzinho.
  • 81' Richard Rios picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 81' The Fortaleza EC manager makes a substitution. Richard Rios departs to be replaced by Kervin Andrade.
  • 86' Fortaleza EC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • Another three points for SE Palmeiras.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.32 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or SE Palmeiras 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC35% Draw29% SE Palmeiras36%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
65%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
65%
Fortaleza EC or SE Palmeiras
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC27% Draw48% SE Palmeiras25%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
29%
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.