Saturday , 14 November 2026

SC Recife vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 2
Full Time
Sun 6 Apr 2025 · 21:30 UTC Ilha do Retiro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Recife vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
29 Mar Sao Paulo FC A 0–0 D
10 Dec CA Paranaense H 1–1 D
07 Dec Chapecoense AF A 1–0 W
03 Dec CR Flamengo H 1–1 D
28 Nov Sao Paulo FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr SC Recife A 2–1 W
30 Mar Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
08 Dec Fluminense FC H 0–1 L
05 Dec Cruzeiro EC A 2–1 W
27 Nov Botafogo FR H 1–3 L
23 Nov AC Goianiense A 1–0 W

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
47% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 10 G 7 A
Mauricio 10 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 6 G 3 A
Vitor Roque 5 G 1 A
Allan 4 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — SC Recife and SE Palmeiras get this one started.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SE Palmeiras that had 400 games and scored 600 goals.
  • 8' The referee has no hesitation. Facundo Torres Perez is booked for SE Palmeiras — card on 8.
  • 13' SE Palmeiras have won 600 goals from 400 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 18' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 20' Murilo Cerqueira catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 20.
  • 21' SC Recife player sees a card in front of him.
  • 26' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 29' The SC Recife bench stirs into life. Diogo Hereda is withdrawn and Matheus Alexandre gets his opportunity.
  • 32' Chico has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 32.
  • 33' Magnificent from Jose Manuel Lopez! That is 33 goals in 192 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 38' Chrystian Barletta does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Recife surge ahead!
  • 43' Poor challenge from Bruno Fuchs. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Lucas Lima. He receives a card.
  • 46' Estevao gets the nod from SE Palmeiras. He replaces Felipe Anderson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Pablo Felipe has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 25 cards already picked up this season.
  • 56' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 59' A change in the SE Palmeiras ranks — Emiliano Martinez exits the field as Anibal Moreno enters on 59.
  • 64' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 69' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 73' SC Recife receives a card for a hard tackle on 73.
  • 73' The crowd applauds Lucas Evangelista as he leaves the pitch. Vitor Roque steps in for SE Palmeiras.
  • 78' Fabricio Dominguez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Du Queiroz at the 78 minute mark.
  • 83' Another substitution for SC Recife to replace Chrystian Barletta by Carlos Alberto on 83 minute.
  • 84' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Sergio Oliveira on 84 minutes.
  • 89' SE Palmeiras is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Vitor Roque.
  • Another three points for SE Palmeiras.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09 SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: SE Palmeiras or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Recife29% Draw29% SE Palmeiras42%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SC Recife or Draw
58%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
71%
SC Recife or SE Palmeiras
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Recife21% Draw49% SE Palmeiras30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
10.6%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — SC Recife

Handicap SC Recife covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 22% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

SC Recife keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.