Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Recife vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 2
Full Time
Sun 6 Apr 2025 · 21:30 UTC Ilha do Retiro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Recife vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
29 Mar Sao Paulo FC A 0–0 D
10 Dec CA Paranaense H 1–1 D
07 Dec Chapecoense AF A 1–0 W
03 Dec CR Flamengo H 1–1 D
28 Nov Sao Paulo FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr SC Recife A 2–1 W
30 Mar Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
08 Dec Fluminense FC H 0–1 L
05 Dec Cruzeiro EC A 2–1 W
27 Nov Botafogo FR H 1–3 L
23 Nov AC Goianiense A 1–0 W

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 8 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Vitor Roque 5 G
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gustavo Gomez 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. SC Recife get us underway at Ilha do Retiro.
  • 5' Chrystian Barletta has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 8' That looks like a foul for a card for Facundo Torres Perez.
  • 13' The travelling SE Palmeiras supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 18' The -year-old Diogo Hereda has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' That looks like a foul for a card for Murilo Cerqueira.
  • 21' Christian Rivera has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 21.
  • 26' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 26 minutes.
  • 29' SC Recife make a change. Diogo Hereda trudges off to be replaced by Matheus Alexandre on 29 minutes.
  • 32' That looks like a foul for a card for Chico.
  • 33' SE Palmeiras is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jose Manuel Lopez on 33.
  • 38' What a strike from Chrystian Barletta! The score is 1-1.
  • 43' Bruno Fuchs catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 43.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Lima.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Felipe Anderson as he leaves the pitch. Estevao steps in for SE Palmeiras.
  • 51' It is a cagey affair so far. SC Recife in their trying to find a way past SE Palmeiras's compact .
  • 56' Micael has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 482 appearances.
  • 59' Anibal Moreno gets the nod from SE Palmeiras. He replaces Emiliano Martinez and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 64' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 69' Over 69 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 73' The referee shows SC Recife player a card on 73.
  • 73' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Lucas Evangelista is replaced by Vitor Roque.
  • 78' Fresh legs for SC Recife! Fabricio Dominguez comes on to replace Du Queiroz.
  • 83' Time for substitution for SC Recife. Chrystian Barletta is replaced by Carlos Alberto.
  • 84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sergio Oliveira on 84.
  • 89' Pablo Felipe is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SE Palmeiras tonight.
  • 90' That is a card for SE Palmeiras. Vitor Roque will be fuming at that decision.
  • Another three points for SE Palmeiras.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09 SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: SE Palmeiras or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Recife29% Draw29% SE Palmeiras42%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SC Recife or Draw
58%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
71%
SC Recife or SE Palmeiras
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Recife21% Draw49% SE Palmeiras30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
10.6%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — SC Recife

Handicap SC Recife covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 22% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

SC Recife keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.