Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Recife vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 23:30 UTC Ilha do Retiro HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 17' Hugo Moura
Lucas Lima 25' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SC Recife vs CR Vasco da GamaSerie A at Ilha do Retiro.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 2–3 L
25 Aug SE Palmeiras A 0–3 L
16 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 2–2 D
10 Aug Grêmio FBPA A 1–0 W
02 Aug EC Bahia H 0–0 D
26 Jul Santos FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug SC Recife A 3–2 W
24 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–3 L
20 Aug EC Juventude A 0–2 L
17 Aug Santos FC A 6–0 W
10 Aug CA Mineiro H 1–1 D
02 Aug Mirassol FC A 2–3 L

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
Thiago Mendes 3 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Ilha do Retiro will turn into a battlefield for SC Recife and CR Vasco da Gama.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joao Silva made 231 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 8' What a strike from Nuno Moreira! The score is 0-1.
  • 13' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matheus Alexandre, as he is very good at scoring at Ilha do Retiro with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 17' CR Vasco da Gama player sees a card in front of him.
  • 22' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' Goal! Lucas Lima scores his 18 goal in 386 matches.
  • 25' It’s a booking for SC Recife player. Lucas Lima gets a card.
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 33' It is a substitution in CR Vasco da Gama team. Jair is replaced by Tucurui on 33 minute.
  • 38' The travelling CR Vasco da Gama supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 43' What a strike from Philippe Coutinho! The score is 1-2.
  • 48' Christian Rivera has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 49' GOAL! Pablo Vegetti scores on 49.
  • 54' Derik Lacerda needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 59' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CR Vasco da Gama needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 66' The supporters are chanting for Chrystian Barletta. He replaces Leo Augusto on 66 minute.
  • 71' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 74' What a strike from Ramon! The score is 2-3.
  • 75' Another change for SC Recife made on 75 minute. Matheusinho leaves to be changed by Rodrigo Atencio.
  • 79' David is replacing Philippe Coutinho for the CR Vasco da Gama side.
  • 84' It’s high time Daniel Paulista made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 85' Another change for CR Vasco da Gama made on 85 minute. Cauan Lucas leaves to be changed by Lucas Oliveira.
  • 88' Another substitution for SC Recife to replace Joao Silva by Pablo Felipe on 88 minute.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Derik Lacerda on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for SC Recife.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.38 SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72 CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for: SC Recife or CR Vasco da Gama 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Recife31% Draw27% CR Vasco da Gama42%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

SC Recife or Draw
57%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
69%
SC Recife or CR Vasco da Gama
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Recife24% Draw43% CR Vasco da Gama33%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
8.8%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 1
7%
0 – 2
6.6%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — SC Recife

Handicap SC Recife covers Push CR Vasco da Gama covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 20% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

SC Recife keeps clean sheet
19%
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.