Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fortaleza EC vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 0
Full Time
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 19:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs SC RecifeSerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep SC Recife H 1–0 W
21 Sep SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
13 Sep EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
31 Aug SC Internacional A 1–2 L
24 Aug Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
16 Aug Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
21 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
14 Sep RB Bragantino A 1–1 D
31 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 2–3 L
25 Aug SE Palmeiras A 0–3 L
16 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Castelao will turn into a battlefield for Fortaleza EC and SC Recife.
  • 5' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Joao Ricardo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Fortaleza EC in their trying to find a way past SC Recife's compact .
  • 15' The 33-year-old Rafael Thyere has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 19' The referee calls foul for Eros Mancuso. He receives a card.
  • 24' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 24 minutes.
  • 29' A quiet spell here at Castelao. Fortaleza EC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 34' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 34.
  • 35' Derik Lacerda was booked on 35.
  • 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fortaleza EC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 44' Lucas Sasha is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 46' Joao Silva is replacing Rafael Thyere for the SC Recife side.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fortaleza EC and SC Recife are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 56' Fortaleza EC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SC Recife's shape.
  • 58' A change in the SC Recife ranks — Lucas Kal exits the field as Hyoran enters on 58.
  • 63' Lucas Crispim has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 68' The Fortaleza EC bench stirs into life. Lucas Crispim is withdrawn and Yeison Guzman gets his opportunity.
  • 72' Luan Candido was booked on 72.
  • 77' Leo Augusto has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 370 appearances.
  • 79' Time for substitution for SC Recife. Lucas Lima is replaced by Romarinho.
  • 82' A tactical swap from Fortaleza ECBenjamin Kuscevic on, Yago Pikachu off on 82 minutes.
  • 83' The referee calls foul for Aderlan Silva. He receives a card.
  • 83' The crowd applauds Deyverson as he leaves the pitch. Juan Lucero steps in for Fortaleza EC.
  • 84' SC Recife ring the changes. Matheusinho has done his job and it is now time for Ignacio Ramirez to step up.
  • 89' SC Recife started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 89.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Fortaleza EC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.18 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC50% Draw31% SC Recife19%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
81%
Draw or SC Recife
50%
Fortaleza EC or SC Recife
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC30% Draw56% SC Recife14%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.5%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 26% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
52%
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.