Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 3 Dec 2023 · 19:00 UTC Allianz Parque HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 32' Lima
Y 53' Justen
Y 55' Justen
R 55' Justen
Y 75' Lele

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Allianz Parque.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
30 Nov America FC H 4–0 W
26 Nov Fortaleza EC A 2–2 D
12 Nov SC Internacional H 3–0 W
09 Nov CR Flamengo A 0–3 L
05 Nov CA Paranaense H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
29 Nov Santos FC A 3–0 W
26 Nov Coritiba FBC H 2–1 W
23 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
11 Nov CR Flamengo A 1–1 D
08 Nov SC Internacional A 0–0 D

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras Fluminense FC
#2 Position #4
57 Points 48
28 Played 28
16 / 9 / 3 W / D / L 13 / 9 / 6
47 Scored 44
21 Conceded 36
+26 GD +8
2.04 PPG 1.71
57% Win % 46%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 8 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Vitor Roque 5 G
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gustavo Gomez 4 G 2 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between SE Palmeiras and Fluminense FC is underway.
  • 5' Richard Rios has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SE Palmeiras and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 393 games and scored 426 goals.
  • 17' Breno Lopes adds to his 4 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 18' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Gustavo Gomez on 18 minutes.
  • 23' It is a cagey affair so far. SE Palmeiras in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
  • 28' Ze Rafael has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 29 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' Breno Lopes adds to his 4 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 32' Lima has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 32.
  • 37' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Fernando Diniz will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 46' Andre has so much to prove this time. He replaces David Braz on 46 minute.
  • 51' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 53' Poor challenge from Justen. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 55' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Justen.
  • 59' The Fluminense FC bench stirs into life. Danielzinho is withdrawn and Martinelli gets his opportunity.
  • 60' Vanderlan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joaquin Piquerez at the 60 minute mark.
  • 65' Marcos Rocha is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fluminense FC tonight.
  • 68' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Yony Gonzalez has done his job and it is now time for Lele to step up.
  • 70' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Breno Lopes is replaced by Jhonatan on 70 minute.
  • 71' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Endrick has done his job and it is now time for Jose Manuel Lopez to step up.
  • 75' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Lele on 75 minutes.
  • 80' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 85' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Fabinho comes on to replace Ze Rafael.
  • 86' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Thiago Santos by Isaac on 86 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SE Palmeiras players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.59 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras53% Draw27% Fluminense FC20%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
80%
Draw or Fluminense FC
47%
SE Palmeiras or Fluminense FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SE Palmeiras37% Draw48% Fluminense FC15%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.4%
3 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 17% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 25% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.