SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 28 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | America FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Fortaleza EC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Nov | SC Internacional | H | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | CR Flamengo | A | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Nov | CA Paranaense | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Nov | Santos FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Coritiba FBC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Nov | SC Internacional | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #4 |
| 57 | Points | 48 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 16 / 9 / 3 | W / D / L | 13 / 9 / 6 |
| 47 | Scored | 44 |
| 21 | Conceded | 36 |
| +26 | GD | +8 |
| 2.04 | PPG | 1.71 |
| 57% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between SE Palmeiras and Fluminense FC is underway.
- 5' Richard Rios has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SE Palmeiras and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 393 games and scored 426 goals.
- 17' Breno Lopes adds to his 4 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 18' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Gustavo Gomez on 18 minutes.
- 23' It is a cagey affair so far. SE Palmeiras in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
- 28' Ze Rafael has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 29 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 30' Breno Lopes adds to his 4 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 32' Lima has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 32.
- 37' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Fernando Diniz will be considering his options from the bench.
- 46' Andre has so much to prove this time. He replaces David Braz on 46 minute.
- 51' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 53' Poor challenge from Justen. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 55' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Justen.
- 59' The Fluminense FC bench stirs into life. Danielzinho is withdrawn and Martinelli gets his opportunity.
- 60' Vanderlan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joaquin Piquerez at the 60 minute mark.
- 65' Marcos Rocha is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fluminense FC tonight.
- 68' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Yony Gonzalez has done his job and it is now time for Lele to step up.
- 70' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Breno Lopes is replaced by Jhonatan on 70 minute.
- 71' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Endrick has done his job and it is now time for Jose Manuel Lopez to step up.
- 75' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Lele on 75 minutes.
- 80' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 85' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Fabinho comes on to replace Ze Rafael.
- 86' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Thiago Santos by Isaac on 86 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SE Palmeiras players.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 23
- 21
-
12
Mayke ↓ Artur Guimaraes 85'
- 2
- 15
-
19
Breno Lopes ↓ Jhonatan 70'
- 26
-
22
Joaquin Piquerez ↓ Vanderlan 60'
-
9
Endrick ↓ Jose Manuel Lopez 71'
- 27
Bench
- 30
-
14
Artur Guimaraes ↑ 85'
- 42
-
6
Vanderlan ↑ 60'
- 32
- 13
-
18
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 71'
- 34
-
40
Jhonatan ↑ 70'
-
35
Fabinho ↑ 85'
- 37
Coach
Abel Ferreira
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
44
David Braz ↓ Andre 46'
- 1
- 40
-
29
Thiago Santos ↓ Isaac 86'
-
38
Yony Gonzalez ↓ Lele 68'
-
19
Leonardo Fernandez ↓ Keno 46'
- 9
- 45
-
20
Danielzinho ↓ Martinelli 59'
- 5
- 46
Bench
-
11
Keno ↑ 46'
-
7
Andre ↑ 46'
- 22
- 47
-
8
Martinelli ↑ 59'
- –
- 37
-
99
Lele ↑ 68'
-
32
Isaac ↑ 86'
- 13
- 28
- 39
Coach
Fernando Diniz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luiz Adriano | 4 |
| German Cano | 3 |
| Manoel Messias | 2 |
| Jhon Arias | 2 |
| Gustavo Gomez | 2 |
| Breno Lopes | 2 |
| Raphael Veiga | 2 |
| Kevin Serna | 2 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.59
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
80%
Draw or Fluminense FC
47%
SE Palmeiras or Fluminense FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.4%
3 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2.2%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 25% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

