Monday , 26 October 2026

Fenerbahçe SK vs FC Lugano, Champions League Q 2024 ROUND 2

Tue 30 Jul 2024 · 17:00 UTC Sukru Saracoglu HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fenerbahçe SK vs FC Lugano — Champions League Q at Sukru Saracoglu.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
5 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 10.4 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Fenerbahçe SK 2 games · Avg 5.0 goals FC Lugano

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul FC Lugano H 2–1 W
23 Jul FC Lugano A 4–3 W
16 Mar Sevilla FC H 1–0 W
09 Mar Sevilla FC A 0–2 L
03 Nov FK Dynamo Kyiv A 2–0 W
27 Oct Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul Fenerbahçe SK A 1–2 L
23 Jul Fenerbahçe SK H 3–4 L
31 Aug Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 0–1 L
24 Aug Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 0–2 L
12 Dec FK Dynamo Kyiv A 1–1 D
28 Nov FC København H 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
Fenerbahçe SK this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fenerbahçe SK
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fenerbahçe SK
Talisca 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Sukru Saracoglu!
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 7' The deadlock is broken! Hadj Mahmoud gets on the scoresheet on 7 minutes.
  • 12' Jayden Oosterwolde has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 252 appearances.
  • 17' Ignacio Aliseda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 22' It is a cagey affair so far. Fenerbahce SK in their trying to find a way past FC Lugano's compact .
  • 27' FC Lugano fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 31' The Fenerbahce SK manager makes a substitution. Fred departs to be replaced by Ismail Yuksek.
  • 36' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Lugano is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 41' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fenerbahce SK must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 46' Another substitution for Fenerbahce SK to replace Rade Krunic by Mert Hakan Yandas on 46 minute.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 55' The referee has no hesitation. Ousmane Doumbia is booked for FC Lugano — card on 55.
  • 57' The referee calls foul for Hadj Mahmoud. He receives a card.
  • 58' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ignacio Aliseda.
  • 59' What a strike from Edin Dzeko! The score is 1-1.
  • 60' FC Lugano make a change. Mattia Bottani trudges off to be replaced by Kacper Przybylko on 60 minutes.
  • 65' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 66' FC Lugano manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Anto Grgic is hanging Hadj Mahmoud on the field on 66 minute.
  • 70' Bright Osayi-Samuel makes way for Mert Muldur at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fenerbahce SK.
  • 73' The FC Lugano manager makes a substitution. Uran Bislimi departs to be replaced by Daniel dos Santos.
  • 78' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 79' Poor challenge from Mattia Zanotti. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 84' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 84 minutes.
  • 86' The referee calls foul for Edin Dzeko. He receives a card.
  • Full Time. Fenerbahce SK beats FC Lugano

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83 Fenerbahçe SK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 FC Lugano xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fenerbahçe SK56% Draw23% FC Lugano21%
Actual: Fenerbahçe SK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Fenerbahçe SK or Draw
79%
Draw or FC Lugano
44%
Fenerbahçe SK or FC Lugano
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fenerbahçe SK37% Draw43% FC Lugano20%
Actual: FC Lugano win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Fenerbahçe SK

Handicap Fenerbahçe SK covers Push FC Lugano covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Fenerbahçe SK keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
FC Lugano keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.