Monday , 26 October 2026

FC Lugano vs Fenerbahçe SK, Champions League Q 2024 ROUND 2

Tue 23 Jul 2024 · 18:30 UTC Stockhorn Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Lugano vs Fenerbahçe SK — Champions League Q at Stockhorn Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tiago Martins

Head-to-Head

2
FC Lugano 2 games · Avg 5.0 goals Fenerbahçe SK

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul Fenerbahçe SK H 3–4 L
31 Aug Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 0–1 L
24 Aug Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 0–2 L
12 Dec FK Dynamo Kyiv A 1–1 D
28 Nov FC København H 0–1 L
07 Nov Malmo FF H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul FC Lugano A 4–3 W
16 Mar Sevilla FC H 1–0 W
09 Mar Sevilla FC A 0–2 L
03 Nov FK Dynamo Kyiv A 2–0 W
27 Oct Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 3–3 D
13 Oct AEK Larnaka A 2–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
Fenerbahçe SK this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fenerbahçe SK
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fenerbahçe SK
Talisca 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Lugano and Fenerbahce SK get this one started.
  • 4' The deadlock is broken! Ayman El Wafi gets on the scoresheet on 4 minutes.
  • 9' It’s high time José Mourinho made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 14' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 18' Caglar Soyuncu picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 23' Dusan Tadic, a Serbia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 28' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Lugano is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 29' Ayman El Wafi was booked on 29.
  • 34' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 39' Fenerbahce SK have won 94 goals from 198 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fenerbahce SK that had 198 games and scored 94 goals.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Dusan Tadic.
  • 46' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Edin Dzeko makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 56' It looks surprising FC Lugano does not make any changes. Yanis Cimignani has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 59' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Antonios Papadopoulos.
  • 61' Lars-Lukas Mai has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yanis Cimignani on 61 minute.
  • 64' Uran Bislimi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 64 minutes.
  • 67' The Bosnia-Herzegovina forward Edin Dzeko breaks the deadlock on 67 minutes. 2-2!
  • 68' Ferdi Kadioglu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dusan Tadic on 68 minute.
  • 69' That is a card for FC Lugano. Mattia Bottani will be fuming at that decision.
  • 70' A moment of madness from Jayden Oosterwolde on 70 minutes earns him a card. Fenerbahce SK will be frustrated.
  • 71' That looks like a foul for a card for Anto Grgic.
  • 71' The whistle greets Ignacio Aliseda as he departs to be replaced by Kacper Przybylko.
  • 74' Ferdi Kadioglu does the damage! The net is bulging and Fenerbahce SK surge ahead!
  • 77' Controversy at the stadium! Mattia Zanotti argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 79' Time for substitution for FC Lugano. Anto Grgic is replaced by Hadj Mahmoud.
  • 80' Cenk Tosun is replacing Edin Dzeko for the Fenerbahce SK side.
  • 85' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Amir Saipi made 10 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Mert Hakan Yandas. He replaces Fred on 86 minute.
  • Another three points for Fenerbahce SK.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.69 FC Lugano xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.98 Fenerbahçe SK xG
I would bet for: FC Lugano or Fenerbahçe SK 76% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Lugano32% Draw24% Fenerbahçe SK44%
Actual: Fenerbahçe SK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

FC Lugano or Draw
56%
Draw or Fenerbahçe SK
68%
FC Lugano or Fenerbahçe SK
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Lugano27% Draw40% Fenerbahçe SK33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 0
3.8%
1 – 0
3.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Lugano

Handicap FC Lugano covers Push Fenerbahçe SK covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 16% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 19% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 13% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

FC Lugano keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Fenerbahçe SK keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.