Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Spartak Moskva, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sun 22 Mar 2026 · 10:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Spartak MoskvaRFPL .

Match Details

  • Referee Rafael Shafeev (Russia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar FK Spartak Moskva H 0–2 L
13 Mar FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 0–1 L
08 Mar FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 2–1 W
28 Feb FK Akron Tolyatti H 2–0 W
05 Dec RFK Akhmat Grozny A 0–1 L
29 Nov PFC CSKA Moskva A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar FK Orenburg A 2–0 W
14 Mar FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–2 L
09 Mar FK Akron Tolyatti H 4–3 W
02 Mar PFK Sochi A 3–2 W
06 Dec FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–1 D
29 Nov FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 0–1 L

Season Stats

FK Orenburg FK Spartak Moskva
#12 Position #4
29 Points 52
30 Played 30
7 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 15 / 7 / 8
29 Scored 47
44 Conceded 39
-15 GD +8
0.97 PPG 1.73
23% Win % 50%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Spartak Moskva are 4th (52 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

FK Spartak Moskva Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.02 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 FK Spartak Moskva xG
I would bet for: FK Spartak Moskva or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg27% Draw29% FK Spartak Moskva44%
Actual: FK Spartak Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
56%
Draw or FK Spartak Moskva
73%
FK Orenburg or FK Spartak Moskva
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg19% Draw49% FK Spartak Moskva32%
Actual: FK Spartak Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
11.1%
0 – 0
10.4%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Spartak Moskva covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 23% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
24%
FK Spartak Moskva keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.