Thursday , 1 October 2026

FK Nizhny Novgorod vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sat 13 Sep 2025 · 11:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep FK Orenburg H 3–1 W
30 Aug FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–2 L
23 Aug FK Dinamo Moskva A 0–3 L
18 Aug FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 2–0 W
10 Aug FK Rostov A 0–1 L
02 Aug FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep FK Nizhny Novgorod A 1–3 L
30 Aug FK Rubin Kazan H 2–2 D
22 Aug RFK Akhmat Grozny H 2–2 D
17 Aug FK Akron Tolyatti A 2–1 W
10 Aug FK Krasnodar H 0–1 L
03 Aug FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 2–3 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg
Ruslan Kul 3 G
Andrey Kasadzhikov 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FK Nizhny Novgorod Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.83 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Nizhny Novgorod50% Draw25% FK Orenburg25%
Actual: FK Nizhny Novgorod win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

FK Nizhny Novgorod or Draw
75%
Draw or FK Orenburg
50%
FK Nizhny Novgorod or FK Orenburg
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Nizhny Novgorod36% Draw43% FK Orenburg21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
7.5%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — FK Nizhny Novgorod

Handicap FK Nizhny Novgorod covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 21% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.