Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Krasnodar vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 15:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Krasnodar vs FK Nizhny NovgorodRFPL .

Match Details

  • Referee Aleksey Sukhoy

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar FK Nizhny Novgorod H 5–0 W
14 Mar PFK Sochi A 2–1 W
08 Mar FK Rubin Kazan A 1–2 L
28 Feb FK Rostov H 2–1 W
07 Dec PFC CSKA Moskva H 3–2 W
30 Nov PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar FK Krasnodar A 0–5 L
15 Mar PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 3–0 W
07 Mar PFK Sochi H 2–1 W
28 Feb FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 1–2 L
07 Dec FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 1–0 W
29 Nov FK Akron Tolyatti A 2–1 W

Season Stats

FK Krasnodar FK Nizhny Novgorod
#2 Position #15
66 Points 23
30 Played 30
20 / 6 / 4 W / D / L 6 / 5 / 19
60 Scored 26
23 Conceded 50
+37 GD -24
2.20 PPG 0.77
67% Win % 20%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
78% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts). FK Nizhny Novgorod are 15th (23 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FK Krasnodar Lineups

FK Nizhny Novgorod Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.22 FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
I would bet for: FK Krasnodar to win 79% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Krasnodar79% Draw13% FK Nizhny Novgorod8%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 3.86
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

FK Krasnodar or Draw
92%
Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod
21%
FK Krasnodar or FK Nizhny Novgorod
87%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Krasnodar65% Draw29% FK Nizhny Novgorod6%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
11.3%
4 – 0
9.2%
3 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
6.9%
4 – 1
5.9%
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
4.9%
5 – 1
3.9%
6 – 0
3.2%
0 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar

Handicap FK Krasnodar covers Push FK Nizhny Novgorod covers
-2.5 47% 53%
-2 47% 21% 32%
-1.5 68% 32%
-1 68% 17% 15%
-0.5 85% 15%
+0.5 96% 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
53%
FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
5%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.