Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Fri 27 Sep 2024 · 13:30 UTC Stadion Gazovik 3,413 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45' Valeriy Tsarukyan
0–2 55' Matias Perez og
Ivan Basic 58' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Nizhny NovgorodRFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep FK Nizhny Novgorod H 1–2 L
22 Sep FK Khimki A 0–0 D
14 Sep FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 2–4 L
01 Sep FK Dinamo Moskva H 2–2 D
24 Aug FK Fakel Voronezh A 0–1 L
17 Aug FK Rostov A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep FK Orenburg A 2–1 W
22 Sep FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 1–3 L
14 Sep FK Fakel Voronezh A 0–0 D
31 Aug FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 0–3 L
25 Aug PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 1–3 L
18 Aug FK Krasnodar A 1–2 L

Season Stats

FK Orenburg FK Nizhny Novgorod
#12 Position #15
29 Points 23
30 Played 30
7 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 6 / 5 / 19
29 Scored 26
44 Conceded 50
-15 GD -24
0.97 PPG 0.77
23% Win % 20%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
17% Clean Sheets
FK Nizhny Novgorod this season

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Nizhny Novgorod are 15th (23 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Nizhny Novgorod
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
/4
61-75
2/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
I would bet for: FK Orenburg or FK Nizhny Novgorod 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg40% Draw28% FK Nizhny Novgorod32%
Actual: FK Nizhny Novgorod win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
68%
Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod
60%
FK Orenburg or FK Nizhny Novgorod
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg30% Draw46% FK Nizhny Novgorod24%
Actual: FK Nizhny Novgorod win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Nizhny Novgorod covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 20% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
28%
FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.