FK Orenburg vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2024-25

FK Orenburg

1 – 2

Full Time

FK Nizhny Novgorod

Fri 27 Sep 2024 · 13:30 UTC Stadion Gazovik 3,413 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 45' Valeriy Tsarukyan

0–2 55' Matias Perez og

Ivan Basic 58' 1–2

Y 52' Ognjen Ozegovic

Dmitrii Rybchinskii 71' Y

Y 72' Mateo Stamatov

Danila Prokhin 90' Y

Ivan Basic 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Nizhny Novgorod — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
FK Nizhny Novgorod 30 games · 23 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 8 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Nizhny Novgorod

Last 5 meetings

2024-09-27 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Nizhny Novgorod 2024-04-14 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod 2023-09-24 FK Nizhny Novgorod 3–1 FK Orenburg 2023-04-30 FK Orenburg 1–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod 2022-09-18 FK Nizhny Novgorod 0–2 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	FK Nizhny Novgorod	H	1–2	L
22 Sep	FK Khimki	A	0–0	D
14 Sep	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	2–4	L
01 Sep	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	2–2	D
24 Aug	FK Fakel Voronezh	A	0–1	L
17 Aug	FK Rostov	A	2–3	L

FK Nizhny Novgorod

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	FK Orenburg	A	2–1	W
22 Sep	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	1–3	L
14 Sep	FK Fakel Voronezh	A	0–0	D
31 Aug	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	0–3	L
25 Aug	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	A	1–3	L
18 Aug	FK Krasnodar	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		FK Nizhny Novgorod
#12	Position	#15
29	Points	23
30	Played	30
7 / 8 / 15	W / D / L	6 / 5 / 19
29	Scored	26
44	Conceded	50
-15	GD	-24
0.97	PPG	0.77
23%	Win %	20%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Nizhny Novgorod are 15th (23 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Stadion Gazovik as FK Orenburg face off against FK Nizhny Novgorod in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Orenburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
10' FK Orenburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
25' Mateo Stamatov has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
30' Danila Vedernikov has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
40' Maksim Sidorov, a Russia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
45' What composure from Valeriy Tsarukyan! The Russia international strokes it home. 0-1.
46' The FK Nizhny Novgorod bench stirs into life. Kirill Bozhenov is withdrawn and Maksim Shnaptsev gets his opportunity.
51' FK Nizhny Novgorod looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Adrian Balboa scoring 1 goals.
52' Controversy at the stadium! Ognjen Ozegovic argues furiously but the card stands.
55' What a strike from Matias Perez! The score is 1-1.
58' Ivan Basic makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and FK Orenburg are in front.
62' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Andrey Malykh is replaced by Dmitrii Rybchinskii.
63' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Saeid Saharkhizan by Feyttullah Gurluk on 63 minute.
66' Ze Turbo gets the nod from FK Nizhny Novgorod. He replaces Ognjen Ozegovic and will look to change the dynamic.
71' That is a card for FK Orenburg. Dmitrii Rybchinskii will be fuming at that decision.
72' A moment of madness from Mateo Stamatov on 72 minutes earns him a card. FK Nizhny Novgorod will be frustrated.
76' FK Nizhny Novgorod manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nikita Ermakov is hanging Valeriy Tsarukyan on the field on 76 minute.
77' Danila Vedernikov is replacing Mateo Stamatov for the FK Nizhny Novgorod side.
80' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Aleksandr Kovalenko by Stepan Oganesyan on 80 minute.
85' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Nizhny Novgorod is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
90' The referee has no hesitation. Danila Prokhin is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 90.
90' FK Nizhny Novgorod ring the changes. Juan Boselli has done his job and it is now time for Anton Mukhin to step up.
With this win, FK Nizhny Novgorod is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Jordhy Thompson 62'
87
Danila Prokhin
22
Matias Perez
8
Ivan Basic
12
Andrey Malykh ↓ Dmitrii Rybchinskii 62'
6
Mohammad Ghorbani ↓ Justin Cuero 62'
18
Aleksandr Kovalenko ↓ Stepan Oganesyan 80'
9
Brian Mansilla
81
Maksim Sidorov
1
Bogdan Moskvichev
10
Saeid Saharkhizan ↓ Feyttullah Gurluk 63'

Bench

Coach David Deogracia

FK Nizhny Novgorod Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

30
Nikita Medvedev
90
Ognjen Ozegovic ↓ Ze Turbo 66'
18
Dan Glazer
25
Sven Karic
22
Nikita Kakkoev
20
Juan Boselli ↓ Anton Mukhin 90'
24
Kirill Gotsuk
10
Aleksandr Troshechkin
87
Kirill Bozhenov ↓ Maksim Shnaptsev 46'
11
Mateo Stamatov ↓ Danila Vedernikov 77'
80
Valeriy Tsarukyan ↓ Nikita Ermakov 76'

Bench

9
Ze Turbo ↑ 66'
3
Danila Vedernikov ↑ 77'
1
Vadim Lukyanov
81
Ivan Kukushkin
19
Nikita Ermakov ↑ 76'
70
Maksim Shnaptsev ↑ 46'
34
Anton Mukhin ↑ 90'
3
Artem Varganov

Coach Sasa Ilic

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Alexandre Jesus	2
Juan Boselli	2
Timur Ayupov	2
Arsen Adamov	1
Aleksandr Ektov	1
Ivan Basic	1
Stepan Oganesyan	1
Valeriy Tsarukyan	1

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2024-09-27 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Nizhny Novgorod L 2024-09-22 FK Khimki 0–0 FK Orenburg D 2024-09-14 FK Orenburg 2–4 FK Lokomotiv Moskva L 2024-09-01 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Dinamo Moskva D 2024-08-24 FK Fakel Voronezh 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-08-17 FK Rostov 3–2 FK Orenburg L

FK Nizhny Novgorod Form

2024-09-27 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Nizhny Novgorod W 2024-09-22 FK Nizhny Novgorod 1–3 FK Lokomotiv Moskva L 2024-09-14 FK Fakel Voronezh 0–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod D 2024-08-31 FK Nizhny Novgorod 0–3 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2024-08-25 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 3–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod L 2024-08-18 FK Krasnodar 2–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.51 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG

I would bet for: FK Orenburg or FK Nizhny Novgorod 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg40% Draw28% FK Nizhny Novgorod32%

Actual: FK Nizhny Novgorod win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.83

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

68%

Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod

60%

FK Orenburg or FK Nizhny Novgorod

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg30% Draw46% FK Nizhny Novgorod24%

Actual: FK Nizhny Novgorod win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.7%

2 – 1

8.6%

1 – 0

0 – 0

7.8%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

6.8%

2 – 0

6.6%

2 – 2

5.7%

0 – 2

3 – 1

4.3%

3 – 0

3.3%

1 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	FK Nizhny Novgorod covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	12%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	20%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	17%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.