FK Orenburg vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Nizhny Novgorod — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- FK Nizhny Novgorod 30 games · 23 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FK Spartak Moskva | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | FK Krasnodar | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | FK Rostov | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | FK Orenburg | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 14 | 16 |
| 12 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 14 | 12 |
| 14 | FK Rodina Moskva | 14 | 12 |
| 15 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 14 | 11 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 6 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | FK Khimki | A | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 2–4 | L |
| 01 Sep | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Aug | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | FK Rostov | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | FK Orenburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Aug | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Aug | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
44%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Orenburg
| Jordhy Thompson | 3 G | 3 A |
| Gedeon Guzina | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | 1 A |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. FK Orenburg get us underway at Stadion Gazovik.
- 5' Bogdan Moskvichev has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' FK Orenburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Nizhny Novgorod backline.
- 15' FK Orenburg have won 217 goals from 351 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 25' FK Orenburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 30' FK Orenburg are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FK Nizhny Novgorod's 5-4-1 shape.
- 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nikita Kakkoev, as he is very good at scoring at Stadion Gazovik with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 45' FK Nizhny Novgorod is taking the lead after the goal scored by Valeriy Tsarukyan on 45.
- 46' Maksim Shnaptsev is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kirill Bozhenov at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 52' The referee has no hesitation. Ognjen Ozegovic is booked for FK Nizhny Novgorod — card on 52.
- 55' Against the run of play, Matias Perez has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 58' GOAL! Ivan Basic scores on 58.
- 62' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Andrey Malykh has done his job and it is now time for Dmitrii Rybchinskii to step up.
- 63' Feyttullah Gurluk gets the nod from FK Orenburg. He replaces Saeid Saharkhizan and will look to change the dynamic.
- 66' Another substitution for FK Nizhny Novgorod to replace Ognjen Ozegovic by Ze Turbo on 66 minute.
- 71' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Dmitrii Rybchinskii.
- 72' Mateo Stamatov picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 76' The crowd applauds Valeriy Tsarukyan as he leaves the pitch. Nikita Ermakov steps in for FK Nizhny Novgorod.
- 77' Danila Vedernikov is replacing Mateo Stamatov for the FK Nizhny Novgorod side.
- 80' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Aleksandr Kovalenko has done his job and it is now time for Stepan Oganesyan to step up.
- 85' FK Nizhny Novgorod started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 85.
- 90' Danila Prokhin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- 90' Anton Mukhin gets the nod from FK Nizhny Novgorod. He replaces Juan Boselli and will look to change the dynamic.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FK Nizhny Novgorod players.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Jordhy Thompson 62'
- 87
- 22
- 8
- 12
- 6
- 18
- 9
- 81
- 1
- 10
Bench
- 31
-
20
Dmitrii Rybchinskii ↑ 62'
- 13
-
11
Stepan Oganesyan ↑ 80'
- 4
- 14
- 24
- 35
-
16
Jordhy Thompson ↑ 62'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 63'
-
19
Justin Cuero ↑ 62'
- 96
Coach
David Deogracia
FK Nizhny Novgorod Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
- 30
-
90
Ognjen Ozegovic ↓ Ze Turbo 66'
- 18
- 25
- 22
-
20
Juan Boselli ↓ Anton Mukhin 90'
- 24
- 10
- 87
- 11
- 80
Bench
-
9
Ze Turbo ↑ 66'
-
3
Danila Vedernikov ↑ 77'
- 1
- 81
-
19
Nikita Ermakov ↑ 76'
-
70
Maksim Shnaptsev ↑ 46'
-
34
Anton Mukhin ↑ 90'
- 3
Coach
Sasa Ilic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timur Ayupov | 2 |
| Alexandre Jesus | 2 |
| Juan Boselli | 2 |
| Arsen Adamov | 1 |
| Aleksandr Ektov | 1 |
| Ivan Basic | 1 |
| Stepan Oganesyan | 1 |
| Valeriy Tsarukyan | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Nizhny Novgorod Form
2024-09-27
FK Orenburg
1–2
FK Nizhny Novgorod
W
2024-09-22
FK Nizhny Novgorod
1–3
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
2024-09-14
FK Fakel Voronezh
0–0
FK Nizhny Novgorod
D
2024-08-31
FK Nizhny Novgorod
0–3
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
L
2024-08-25
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
3–1
FK Nizhny Novgorod
L
2024-08-18
FK Krasnodar
2–1
FK Nizhny Novgorod
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36
FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
I would bet for:
FK Orenburg or FK Nizhny Novgorod 72% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Nizhny Novgorod win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
66%
Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod
62%
FK Orenburg or FK Nizhny Novgorod
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Nizhny Novgorod win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Nizhny Novgorod covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.