FK Orenburg vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

FK Orenburg

2 – 1

Full Time

FK Nizhny Novgorod

Wed 22 Apr 2026 · 14:30 UTC Saturn 3,437 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 41' Adrian Balboa pen

Alexandre Jesus 79' 1–1

Alexandre Jesus 82' 2–1

Bogdan Ovsyannikov 40' Y

Y 47' Andrey Ivlev

Y 55' Matvey Urvantsev

Y 69' Adrian Balboa

Alexis Cantero 84' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Nizhny Novgorod — RFPL at Saturn.

FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
FK Nizhny Novgorod 30 games · 23 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Anton Frolov
Assistant 1 Dmitriy Safyan (Russia)
Assistant 2 Denis Bereznov

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 8 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Nizhny Novgorod

Last 5 meetings

2026-04-22 FK Orenburg 2–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod 2025-09-13 FK Nizhny Novgorod 3–1 FK Orenburg 2025-04-04 FK Nizhny Novgorod 1–2 FK Orenburg 2024-09-27 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Nizhny Novgorod 2024-04-14 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Apr	FK Nizhny Novgorod	H	2–1	W
18 Apr	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	0–1	L
11 Apr	FK Rubin Kazan	A	0–0	D
04 Apr	FK Dinamo Moskva	A	3–3	D
22 Mar	FK Spartak Moskva	H	0–2	L
13 Mar	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	A	0–1	L

FK Nizhny Novgorod

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Apr	FK Orenburg	A	1–2	L
18 Apr	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	1–1	D
11 Apr	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	A	2–2	D
05 Apr	FK Rostov	H	0–1	L
21 Mar	FK Krasnodar	A	0–5	L
15 Mar	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		FK Nizhny Novgorod
#12	Position	#15
29	Points	23
30	Played	30
7 / 8 / 15	W / D / L	6 / 5 / 19
29	Scored	26
44	Conceded	50
-15	GD	-24
0.97	PPG	0.77
23%	Win %	20%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Nizhny Novgorod are 15th (23 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FK Orenburg and FK Nizhny Novgorod get this one started.
5' Russia international Ilya Kirsh has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
10' FK Orenburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
15' FK Orenburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Nizhny Novgorod backline.
20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
25' FK Nizhny Novgorod has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
30' FK Nizhny Novgorod is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
35' Nikita Ermakov, a Russia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
40' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Bogdan Ovsyannikov on 40 minutes.
41' Adrian Balboa doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
46' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
47' Controversy at the stadium! Andrey Ivlev argues furiously but the card stands.
52' FK Orenburg are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FK Nizhny Novgorod's 4-3-3 shape.
55' Matvey Urvantsev was booked on 55.
57' Fresh legs for FK Orenburg! Alexis Cantero comes on to replace Emil Tsenov.
62' FK Nizhny Novgorod started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 62.
67' Alexandre Jesus gets the nod from FK Orenburg. He replaces Maksim Savelyev and will look to change the dynamic.
68' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Damian Puebla is replaced by Renat Golybin.
69' The referee calls foul for Adrian Balboa. He receives a card.
69' The crowd applauds Matvey Urvantsev as he leaves the pitch. Daniil Lesovoy steps in for FK Nizhny Novgorod.
70' Adrian Balboa makes way for Juan Castillo at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Nizhny Novgorod.
75' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
79' A goal from the Brazil international Alexandre Jesus! He fires home on 79 to make it 1-1!
82' What a moment for Alexandre Jesus! That strike on 82 puts his side firmly in control.
84' Alexis Cantero was booked on 84.
85' Another change for FK Nizhny Novgorod made on 85 minute. Juan Castillo leaves to be changed by Vyacheslav Grulev.
89' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Du Queiroz is replaced by Ruslan Kul.
90' Luka Ticic makes way for Artem Sidorenko at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Nizhny Novgorod.
With this win, FK Orenburg is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

18
Fahd Moufi
1
Bogdan Ovsyannikov
4
Danila Khotulev
37
Du Queiroz ↓ Ruslan Kul 89'
16
Jordhy Thompson
6
Jhon Palacios
8
Damian Puebla ↓ Renat Golybin 68'
7
Feyttullah Gurluk
9
Maksim Savelyev ↓ Alexandre Jesus 67'
57
Evgeniy Bolotov ↓ Irakli Kvekveskiri 89'
26
Emil Tsenov ↓ Alexis Cantero 57'

Bench

FK Nizhny Novgorod Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

30
Nikita Medvedev
10
Adrian Balboa ↓ Juan Castillo 70'
2
Viktor Alexandrov
21
Renaldo Cephas
70
Maksim Shnaptsev
77
Andrey Ivlev ↓ Nikita Ermakov 70'
4
Ilya Kirsh
17
Egor Smelov
29
Luka Ticic ↓ Artem Sidorenko 90'
3
Yuriy Koledin
14
Matvey Urvantsev ↓ Daniil Lesovoy 69'

Bench

Coach Aleksey Shpilevskiy

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Juan Boselli	2
Timur Ayupov	2
Alexandre Jesus	2
Edgar Sevikyan	1
Jimmy Marin	1
Vladimir Obukhov	1
Arsen Adamov	1
Aleksandr Ektov	1

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2026-04-22 FK Orenburg 2–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod W 2026-04-18 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva L 2026-04-11 FK Rubin Kazan 0–0 FK Orenburg D 2026-04-04 FK Dinamo Moskva 3–3 FK Orenburg D 2026-03-22 FK Orenburg 0–2 FK Spartak Moskva L 2026-03-13 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0 FK Orenburg L

FK Nizhny Novgorod Form

2026-04-22 FK Orenburg 2–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod L 2026-04-18 FK Nizhny Novgorod 1–1 FK Dinamo Moskva D 2026-04-11 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 2–2 FK Nizhny Novgorod D 2026-04-05 FK Nizhny Novgorod 0–1 FK Rostov L 2026-03-21 FK Krasnodar 5–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod L 2026-03-15 FK Nizhny Novgorod 3–0 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.66 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.17 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Orenburg49% Draw26% FK Nizhny Novgorod25%

Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.83

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

75%

Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod

51%

FK Orenburg or FK Nizhny Novgorod

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg34% Draw45% FK Nizhny Novgorod21%

Actual: FK Nizhny Novgorod win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.4%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

8.9%

2 – 0

0 – 0

7.8%

1 – 2

6.4%

0 – 1

2 – 2

5.4%

3 – 1

5.1%

3 – 0

4.3%

0 – 2

3 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	FK Nizhny Novgorod covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	22%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	15%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.