Saturday , 14 November 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Wed 22 Apr 2026 · 14:30 UTC Saturn 3,437 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 41' Adrian Balboa pen
Alexandre Jesus 79' 1–1
Alexandre Jesus 82' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Nizhny Novgorod — RFPL at Saturn.

Match Details

  • Referee Anton Frolov
  • Assistant 1 Dmitriy Safyan (Russia)
  • Assistant 2 Denis Bereznov

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod H 2–1 W
18 Apr FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–1 L
11 Apr FK Rubin Kazan A 0–0 D
04 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva A 3–3 D
22 Mar FK Spartak Moskva H 0–2 L
13 Mar FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr FK Orenburg A 1–2 L
18 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–1 D
11 Apr FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 2–2 D
05 Apr FK Rostov H 0–1 L
21 Mar FK Krasnodar A 0–5 L
15 Mar PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 3–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg
Jordhy Thompson 3 G 3 A
Gedeon Guzina 3 G 1 A
Ruslan Kul 3 G 1 A
Andrey Kasadzhikov 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FK Orenburg to score. At the same time, FK Nizhny Novgorod does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luka Ticic, as he is very good at scoring at Saturn with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Nizhny Novgorod is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nikita Medvedev suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Orenburg and FK Nizhny Novgorod are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 35' FK Nizhny Novgorod are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a card on 40.
  • 41' FK Nizhny Novgorod is taking the lead after the goal scored by Adrian Balboa on 41.
  • 46' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 47' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Andrey Ivlev.
  • 52' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Maksim Shnaptsev made 149 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 55' The referee calls foul for Matvey Urvantsev. He receives a card.
  • 57' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alexis Cantero is hanging Emil Tsenov on the field on 57 minute.
  • 62' FK Nizhny Novgorod come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 67' A change in the FK Orenburg ranks — Maksim Savelyev exits the field as Alexandre Jesus enters on 67.
  • 68' Renat Golybin is replacing Damian Puebla for the FK Orenburg side.
  • 69' The referee has no hesitation. Adrian Balboa is booked for FK Nizhny Novgorod — card on 69.
  • 69' A change in the FK Nizhny Novgorod ranks — Matvey Urvantsev exits the field as Daniil Lesovoy enters on 69.
  • 70' It is a substitution in FK Nizhny Novgorod team. Adrian Balboa is replaced by Juan Castillo on 70 minute.
  • 75' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Orenburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 79' A goal from the Brazil international Alexandre Jesus! He fires home on 79 to make it 1-1!
  • 82' A goal from the Brazil international Alexandre Jesus! He fires home on 82 to make it 2-1!
  • 84' Alexis Cantero has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 84.
  • 85' Vyacheslav Grulev has so much to prove this time. He replaces Juan Castillo on 85 minute.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for Ruslan Kul. He replaces Du Queiroz on 89 minute.
  • 90' Fresh legs for FK Nizhny Novgorod! Artem Sidorenko comes on to replace Luka Ticic.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FK Nizhny Novgorod.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg47% Draw26% FK Nizhny Novgorod27%
Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
73%
Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod
53%
FK Orenburg or FK Nizhny Novgorod
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg32% Draw46% FK Nizhny Novgorod22%
Actual: FK Nizhny Novgorod win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
8%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Nizhny Novgorod covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.