Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2022-23
Sun 30 Apr 2023 · 11:00 UTC Gazovik Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

5
3
FK Orenburg 8 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Nizhny Novgorod

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod H 1–0 W
22 Apr FK Fakel Voronezh A 3–1 W
16 Apr FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 1–4 L
10 Apr FK Rostov H 2–2 D
02 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 1–1 D
18 Mar FK Spartak Moskva H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr FK Orenburg A 0–1 L
23 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 2–1 W
15 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva A 1–3 L
09 Apr FK Krasnodar A 1–3 L
01 Apr FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–4 L
12 Mar FK Rostov A 1–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg
Ruslan Kul 3 G
Andrey Kasadzhikov 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! FK Orenburg vs FK Nizhny Novgorod — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ilya Zhigulev made 337 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' FK Orenburg currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' Edgar Sevikyan, a Armenia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Nizhny Novgorod that had 149 games and scored 135 goals.
  • 21' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Kirill Gotsuk.
  • 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 31' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marcel Licka will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 36' It looks surprising FK Nizhny Novgorod does not make any changes. Denis Glushakov has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 41' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 56' FK Nizhny Novgorod is showing some good football. However, FK Nizhny Novgorod are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 59' Lucas Masoero was booked on 59.
  • 61' The FK Nizhny Novgorod manager makes a substitution. Vladislav Yakovlev departs to be replaced by Timur Suleimanov.
  • 62' The FK Nizhny Novgorod bench stirs into life. Nikolai Kalinskii is withdrawn and Ilya Zhigulev gets his opportunity.
  • 66' Jimmy Marin makes way for Timur Ayupov at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Orenburg.
  • 71' Another change for FK Nizhny Novgorod made on 71 minute. Artem Sokolov leaves to be changed by Momo Yansane.
  • 76' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Dmitri Vorobyov is replaced by Stepan Oganesyan.
  • 79' What a moment for Stepan Oganesyan! That strike on 79 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 84' FK Orenburg have won 208 goals from 343 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 86' Time for substitution for FK Nizhny Novgorod. Dmitrii Stotskii is replaced by Edgar Sevikyan.
  • 90' FK Orenburg player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 90' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Cesar Florentin has done his job and it is now time for Vladimir Poluyakhtov to step up.
  • The points are shared — FK Orenburg 1-0 FK Nizhny Novgorod. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.51 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg54% Draw26% FK Nizhny Novgorod20%
Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
81%
Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod
46%
FK Orenburg or FK Nizhny Novgorod
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg35% Draw49% FK Nizhny Novgorod16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Nizhny Novgorod covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.