FK Orenburg vs FK Rostov, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Rostov — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- FK Rostov 30 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | FK Rostov | H | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Nov | FK Akron Tolyatti | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Nov | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | FK Orenburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Mar | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Dec | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | FK Khimki | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Rostov | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #10 |
| 29 | Points | 33 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 13 |
| 29 | Scored | 25 |
| 44 | Conceded | 32 |
| -15 | GD | -7 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.10 |
| 23% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Rostov are 10th (33 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Stadion Gazovik as FK Orenburg face off against FK Rostov in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The 25-year-old Ronaldo has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Aleksey Tataev, a Russia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 15' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jimmy Marin on 15.
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 21' A moment of madness from Andrey Malykh on 21 minutes earns him a card. FK Orenburg will be frustrated.
- 22' The deadlock is broken! Maksim Osipenko gets on the scoresheet on 22 minutes.
- 27' FK Rostov fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 28' Brian Mansilla adds to his 0 season tally! FK Orenburg lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 33' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vladimir Sliskovic will be considering his options from the bench.
- 38' FK Orenburg are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FK Rostov's 4-3-3 shape.
- 43' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 46' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Andrey Malykh has done his job and it is now time for Georgii Zotov to step up.
- 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Egor Golenkov, as he is very good at scoring at Stadion Gazovik with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 59' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Dmitrii Rybchinskii is replaced by Saeid Saharkhizan.
- 64' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 66' Saeid Saharkhizan was booked on 66.
- 70' What a moment for Nikolay Komlichenko! That strike on 70 puts his side firmly in control.
- 73' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Ivan Basic by Maksim Savelyev on 73 minute.
- 74' It is a substitution in FK Rostov team. Nikolay Komlichenko is replaced by Khoren Bairamyan on 74 minute.
- 79' Over 79 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 84' A tactical swap from FK Rostov — Oumar Sako on, Ivan Komarov off on 84 minutes.
- 87' Maksim Savelyev picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Danila Khotulev.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FK Rostov players.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 80
- 20
- 99
- 5
- 87
-
8
Ivan Basic ↓ Maksim Savelyev 73'
- 4
-
12
Andrey Malykh ↓ Georgii Zotov 46'
- 35
- 9
- 7
Bench
-
31
Georgii Zotov ↑ 46'
- 11
-
14
Yaroslav Mikhailov ↑ 59'
- 24
-
18
Aleksandr Kovalenko ↑ 46'
- 19
- 61
- 59
- 1
-
10
Saeid Saharkhizan ↑ 59'
-
90
Maksim Savelyev ↑ 73'
- 50
Coach
Vladimir Sliskovic
FK Rostov Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
- 27
- 55
- 69
-
62
Ivan Komarov ↓ Oumar Sako 84'
- 11
- 4
- 58
- 40
- 7
- 1
Bench
- 13
- 5
- 71
-
3
Oumar Sako ↑ 84'
-
19
Khoren Bairamyan ↑ 74'
- 67
- 51
- 73
- 81
- 88
Coach
Jonathan Alba
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nikolay Komlichenko | 5 |
| Ronaldo | 2 |
| Brian Mansilla | 2 |
| Maksim Osipenko | 2 |
| Mathias Normann | 1 |
| Egor Golenkov | 1 |
| Dorde Despotovic | 1 |
| Gedeon Guzina | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.01
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45
FK Rostov xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Rostov win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
53%
Draw or FK Rostov
75%
FK Orenburg or FK Rostov
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
11.3%
0 – 0
10.7%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Rostov covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 15% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 23% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
FK Rostov keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.