FK Orenburg vs FK Rostov, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Rostov — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- FK Rostov 14 games · 19 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FK Spartak Moskva | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | FK Krasnodar | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | FK Rostov | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | FK Orenburg | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 14 | 16 |
| 12 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 14 | 12 |
| 14 | FK Rodina Moskva | 14 | 12 |
| 15 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 14 | 11 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 6 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | FK Rostov | H | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Nov | FK Akron Tolyatti | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Nov | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | FK Orenburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Mar | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Dec | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | FK Khimki | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Rostov | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #6 |
| 17 | Points | 19 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 3 / 8 / 3 | W / D / L | 5 / 4 / 5 |
| 14 | Scored | 19 |
| 14 | Conceded | 20 |
| +0 | GD | -1 |
| 1.21 | PPG | 1.36 |
| 21% | Win % | 36% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
44%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
44%
Clean Sheets
FK Rostov this season
FK Rostov this season
FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts). FK Rostov are 6th (19 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Rostov
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Orenburg
| Jordhy Thompson | 3 G | 3 A |
| Gedeon Guzina | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | 1 A |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
FK Rostov
| Timur Suleimanov | 3 G | 2 A |
| Ivan Komarov | 3 G | |
| Andrey Langovich | 2 G | 4 A |
| Oumar Sako | 2 G | 1 A |
| Viktor Melekhin | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. FK Orenburg kicks off things out of here…
- 5' FK Orenburg currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' FK Orenburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 15.
- 20' The 29-year-old Brian Mansilla has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 21' Poor challenge from Andrey Malykh. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 22' What a moment for Maksim Osipenko! That strike on 22 puts his side firmly in control.
- 27' Danila Prokhin, a Russia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 28' Goal! Brian Mansilla scores his 9 goal in 350 matches.
- 33' FK Orenburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Rostov backline.
- 38' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rustam Yatimov, as he is very good at scoring at Stadion Gazovik with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ivan Basic made 184 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 46' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Andrey Malykh has done his job and it is now time for Georgii Zotov to step up.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Orenburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 59' Saeid Saharkhizan is replacing Dmitrii Rybchinskii for the FK Orenburg side.
- 64' A quiet spell here at Stadion Gazovik. FK Orenburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 66' That is a card for FK Orenburg. Saeid Saharkhizan will be fuming at that decision.
- 70' What a moment for Nikolay Komlichenko! That strike on 70 puts his side firmly in control.
- 73' Maksim Savelyev is replacing Ivan Basic for the FK Orenburg side.
- 74' A tactical swap from FK Rostov — Khoren Bairamyan on, Nikolay Komlichenko off on 74 minutes.
- 79' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Orenburg and FK Rostov are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 84' The FK Rostov bench stirs into life. Ivan Komarov is withdrawn and Oumar Sako gets his opportunity.
- 87' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a card on 87.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Danila Khotulev.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FK Rostov to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 80
- 20
- 99
- 5
- 87
-
8
Ivan Basic ↓ Maksim Savelyev 73'
- 4
-
12
Andrey Malykh ↓ Georgii Zotov 46'
- 35
- 9
- 7
Bench
-
31
Georgii Zotov ↑ 46'
- 11
-
14
Yaroslav Mikhailov ↑ 59'
- 24
-
18
Aleksandr Kovalenko ↑ 46'
- 19
- 61
- 59
- 1
-
10
Saeid Saharkhizan ↑ 59'
-
90
Maksim Savelyev ↑ 73'
- 50
Coach
Vladimir Sliskovic
FK Rostov Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
- 27
- 55
- 69
-
62
Ivan Komarov ↓ Oumar Sako 84'
- 11
- 4
- 58
- 40
- 7
- 1
Bench
- 13
- 5
- 71
-
3
Oumar Sako ↑ 84'
-
19
Khoren Bairamyan ↑ 74'
- 67
- 51
- 73
- 81
- 88
Coach
Jonathan Alba
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nikolay Komlichenko | 5 |
| Ronaldo | 2 |
| Brian Mansilla | 2 |
| Maksim Osipenko | 2 |
| Dmitry Vorobyev | 1 |
| Eldor Shomurodov | 1 |
| Jordhy Thompson | 1 |
| Dmitri Vorobyov | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.15
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46
FK Rostov xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Rostov win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
55%
Draw or FK Rostov
73%
FK Orenburg or FK Rostov
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
9.7%
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Rostov covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 21% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
FK Rostov keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.