Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Spartak Moskva vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 13:30 UTC Otkrytie Arena 16,995 HT 45' · FT 45'
Manfred Ugalde 51' 1–0
Pablo Solari 90+6' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

FK Spartak Moskva vs FK OrenburgRFPL at Otkrytie Arena.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar FK Orenburg H 2–0 W
07 Dec FK Nizhny Novgorod H 3–0 W
01 Dec FK Krasnodar A 3–0 W
23 Nov FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 5–2 W
10 Nov FK Akron Tolyatti H 4–0 W
02 Nov PFC CSKA Moskva A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar FK Spartak Moskva A 0–2 L
08 Dec RFK Akhmat Grozny A 0–1 L
30 Nov FK Akron Tolyatti A 0–1 L
23 Nov FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 0–1 L
09 Nov FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 1–2 L
03 Nov FK Krasnodar A 0–4 L

Season Stats

FK Spartak Moskva FK Orenburg
#4 Position #12
52 Points 29
30 Played 30
15 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
47 Scored 29
39 Conceded 44
+8 GD -15
1.73 PPG 0.97
50% Win % 23%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
FK Spartak Moskva this season
20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

FK Spartak Moskva are 4th (52 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Spartak Moskva
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/
61-75
3/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Otkrytie Arena will turn into a battlefield for FK Spartak Moskva and FK Orenburg.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Spartak Moskva and FK Orenburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 7' Maksim Sidorov was booked on 7.
  • 12' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vladimir Sliskovic will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 17' A quiet spell here at Otkrytie Arena. FK Orenburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 22' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 27' FK Spartak Moskva are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FK Orenburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 32' Over 32 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 37' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 42' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 47' FK Spartak Moskva has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 49' It’s gonna be a card for Jimmy Marin.
  • 51' Against the run of play, Manfred Ugalde has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Daniil Denisov is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Orenburg.
  • 58' The referee calls foul for Maksim Sidorov. He receives a card.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Andrey Malykh. He replaces Feyttullah Gurluk on 60 minute.
  • 65' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Spartak Moskva must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 69' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Kazimcan Karatas is withdrawn and Stepan Oganesyan gets his opportunity.
  • 74' Pablo Solari is ready to make an impact after coming on for Christopher Martins at the 74 minute mark.
  • 79' Another change for FK Orenburg made on 79 minute. Yaroslav Mikhailov leaves to be changed by Aleksandr Kovalenko.
  • 80' Manfred Ugalde makes way for Roman Zobnin at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Spartak Moskva.
  • 85' The 24-year-old Ivan Basic has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 90' Daniil Denisov catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Ruslan Litvinov. He replaces Ezequiel Barco on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FK Spartak Moskva players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.06 FK Spartak Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: FK Spartak Moskva to win 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Spartak Moskva65% Draw21% FK Orenburg14%
Actual: FK Spartak Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

FK Spartak Moskva or Draw
87%
Draw or FK Orenburg
35%
FK Spartak Moskva or FK Orenburg
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Spartak Moskva46% Draw42% FK Orenburg12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
11.2%
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
9.4%
3 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
6.5%
4 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
3.8%
2 – 2
3.8%
1 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FK Spartak Moskva

Handicap FK Spartak Moskva covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 20% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 24% 35%
-0.5 65% 35%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FK Spartak Moskva keeps clean sheet
45%
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.