FK Rubin Kazan vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Rubin Kazan vs FK Nizhny Novgorod — RFPL at Kazan Arena.
- FK Rubin Kazan 30 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
- FK Nizhny Novgorod 30 games · 23 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Nov | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Nov | FK Akron Tolyatti | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Mar | FK Krasnodar | H | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Mar | FK Akron Tolyatti | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Dec | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | FK Rostov | A | 0–4 | L |
| 24 Nov | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Rubin Kazan | FK Nizhny Novgorod | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #15 |
| 43 | Points | 23 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 11 / 10 / 9 | W / D / L | 6 / 5 / 19 |
| 29 | Scored | 26 |
| 30 | Conceded | 50 |
| -1 | GD | -24 |
| 1.43 | PPG | 0.77 |
| 37% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Rubin Kazan are 8th (43 pts). FK Nizhny Novgorod are 15th (23 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FK Rubin Kazan launch into their encounter with FK Nizhny Novgorod.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rashid Rakhimov will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' FK Rubin Kazan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Nizhny Novgorod that had 149 games and scored 135 goals.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' The 24-year-old Ruslan Bezrukov has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 30' Mamadou Maiga needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 35' Evgeniy Staver is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Rubin Kazan so far.
- 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Igor Vujacic.
- 46' FK Rubin Kazan ring the changes. Nikita Vasilyev has done his job and it is now time for Aleksandr Zotov to step up.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' Nikita Kakkoev has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 61' A quiet spell here at Kazan Arena. FK Rubin Kazan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 65' Fresh legs for FK Nizhny Novgorod! Aleksandr Troshechkin comes on to replace Vyacheslav Grulev.
- 70' FK Rubin Kazan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 72' The deadlock is broken! Aleksandr Zotov gets on the scoresheet on 72 minutes.
- 77' FK Nizhny Novgorod has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 2 meetings.
- 80' Time for substitution for FK Rubin Kazan. Oleg Ivanov is replaced by Rustam Ashurmatov.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for Juan Castillo. He replaces Aleksandr Ektov on 81 minute.
- 83' It’s a booking for FK Nizhny Novgorod player. Thiago Vecino gets a card.
- 88' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aleksey Gritsaenko suffering a number of foals already.
- 89' Marvin Cuni makes way for Valentin Vada at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Rubin Kazan.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FK Nizhny Novgorod.
Lineups
FK Rubin Kazan Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
-
19
Oleg Ivanov ↓ Rustam Ashurmatov 80'
- 15
- 99
- 22
- 23
- 27
-
90
Marvin Cuni ↓ Valentin Vada 89'
- 2
- 51
- 38
- 96
Bench
-
30
Valentin Vada ↑ 89'
- 25
-
21
Aleksandr Zotov ↑ 46'
- 24
- 18
-
5
Rustam Ashurmatov ↑ 80'
- 86
-
11
Kasra Taheri ↑ 89'
- 87
Coach
Rashid Rakhimov
FK Nizhny Novgorod Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 30
- 27
- 25
- 22
- 20
-
15
Aleksandr Ektov ↓ Juan Castillo 81'
- 2
- 8
- 96
- 78
-
29
Luka Ticic ↓ Nikita Ermakov 89'
Bench
- 99
- 1
-
24
Kirill Gotsuk ↑ 89'
- 7
-
10
Aleksandr Troshechkin ↑ 65'
-
23
Juan Castillo ↑ 81'
-
19
Nikita Ermakov ↑ 89'
-
9
Thiago Vecino ↑ 81'
- 70
- 80
- 16
Coach
Viktor Goncharenko
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Aleksandr Zotov | 2 |
| Vyacheslav Grulev | 2 |
| Kirill Gotsuk | 1 |
| Edgar Sevikyan | 1 |
| Nikolai Kalinskiy | 1 |
| Aleksandr Troshechkin | 1 |
| Valentin Vada | 1 |
| Mirlind Daku | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Rubin Kazan Form
2025-03-16
FK Rubin Kazan
1–0
FK Nizhny Novgorod
W
2025-03-09
FK Rubin Kazan
2–1
FK Spartak Moskva
W
2025-03-01
RFK Akhmat Grozny
2–1
FK Rubin Kazan
L
2024-12-07
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
2–3
FK Rubin Kazan
W
2024-11-30
PFC CSKA Moskva
2–2
FK Rubin Kazan
D
2024-11-22
FK Rubin Kazan
3–0
FK Akron Tolyatti
W
FK Nizhny Novgorod Form
2025-03-16
FK Rubin Kazan
1–0
FK Nizhny Novgorod
L
2025-03-07
FK Nizhny Novgorod
0–3
FK Krasnodar
L
2025-03-01
FK Nizhny Novgorod
2–1
FK Akron Tolyatti
W
2024-12-07
FK Spartak Moskva
3–0
FK Nizhny Novgorod
L
2024-11-30
FK Rostov
4–0
FK Nizhny Novgorod
L
2024-11-24
FK Nizhny Novgorod
0–0
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.63
FK Rubin Kazan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63
FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 62% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Rubin Kazan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
FK Rubin Kazan or Draw
85%
Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod
40%
FK Rubin Kazan or FK Nizhny Novgorod
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
13.5%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
8.5%
3 – 0
7.2%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
2.9%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 1
2%
Asian Handicap — FK Rubin Kazan
| Handicap | FK Rubin Kazan covers | Push | FK Nizhny Novgorod covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 26% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 9% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FK Rubin Kazan keeps clean sheet
54%
✓
FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.