Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 1

Full Time

FC Tokyo

Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 10:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 37' Keita Yamashita

Y 90' Marcos Guilherme

Y 90' Keita Endo

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 24 games · Avg 2.3 goals FC Tokyo

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-31 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 FC Tokyo 2025-02-26 FC Tokyo 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-09-14 FC Tokyo 4–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-05-15 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 FC Tokyo 2023-06-24 FC Tokyo 2–0 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	FC Tokyo	H	1–1	D
23 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	H	3–4	L
16 Aug	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–2	L
10 Aug	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	1–2	L
20 Jul	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	0–3	L
05 Jul	Tokyo Verdy	H	0–0	D

FC Tokyo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–1	D
24 Aug	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	0–4	L
16 Aug	Shonan Bellmare	A	2–2	D
10 Aug	Kashima Antlers	H	0–1	L
19 Jul	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	3–2	W
05 Jul	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		FC Tokyo
#3	Position	#12
31	Points	37
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	13 / 0 / 5
46	Scored	55
44	Conceded	42
+2	GD	+13
1.72	PPG	2.06
56%	Win %	72%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Nagoya Grampus and FC Tokyo has kicked off!
5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sho Inagaki made 335 appearances and scored 45 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
10' Masato Morishige has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tokyo that had 437 games and scored 396 goals.
25' FC Tokyo come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Hasegawa might look to freshen things up shortly.
37' A meaty challenge results in booking for Keita Yamashita on 37.
42' Takuya Uchida is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Tokyo tonight.
47' Kein Sato has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 5 goals this season.
52' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and FC Tokyo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
56' Time for substitution for FC Tokyo. Keita Yamashita is replaced by Marcelo Ryan.
61' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
64' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Ryuji Izumi has done his job and it is now time for Yuya Asano to step up.
65' What a moment for Yota Sato! That strike on 65 puts his side firmly in control.
70' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
73' The supporters are chanting for Yudai Kimura. He replaces Kensuke Nagai on 73 minute.
74' A change in the FC Tokyo ranks — Leon Nozawa exits the field as Keita Endo enters on 74.
77' Another substitution for FC Tokyo to replace Keigo Higashi by Kanta Doi on 77 minute.
82' The Japan Keita Endo breaks the deadlock on 82 minutes. 1-1!
87' Yuya Yamagishi, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
90' Marcos Guilherme has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Nagoya Grampus 1-1 FC Tokyo.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

FC Tokyo Lineups

Starting XI

3
Masato Morishige
6
Kashif Bangunagande
10
Keigo Higashi ↓ Kanta Doi 77'
24
Alexander Scholz
14
Keita Yamashita ↓ Marcelo Ryan 56'
81
Seung-Gyu Kim
33
Kota Tawaratsumida ↓ Marcos Guilherme 56'
7
Soma Anzai
28
Leon Nozawa ↓ Keita Endo 74'
26
Motoki Nagakura ↓ Kein Sato 74'
27
Kyota Tokiwa

Bench

22
Keita Endo ↑ 74'
40
Marcos Guilherme ↑ 56'
13
Go Hatano
30
Teppei Oka
44
Henrique Trevisan
19
Marcelo Ryan ↑ 56'
32
Kanta Doi ↑ 77'
16
Kein Sato ↑ 74'
77
Maki Kitahara

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	6
Kensuke Nagai	3
Kasper Junker	3
Kensuke Nagai	2
Diego Oliveira	2
Kein Sato	1
Willian Rocha	1
Kensuke Nagai	1

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-08-31 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 FC Tokyo D 2025-08-23 Nagoya Grampus 3–4 Kawasaki Frontale L 2025-08-16 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-08-10 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Kyoto Sanga FC L 2025-07-20 Yokohama F.Marinos 3–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-07-05 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Tokyo Verdy D

FC Tokyo Form

2025-08-31 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 FC Tokyo D 2025-08-24 FC Tokyo 0–4 Kyoto Sanga FC L 2025-08-16 Shonan Bellmare 2–2 FC Tokyo D 2025-08-10 FC Tokyo 0–1 Kashima Antlers L 2025-07-19 FC Tokyo 3–2 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2025-07-05 Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 FC Tokyo L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

2.26 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.57 FC Tokyo xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 82%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus36% Draw22% FC Tokyo42%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes82% 0% No18%

Avg goals/match: 4.83

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	95%	5%
± 2.5	85%	15%
± 3.5	70%	30%
± 4.5	52%	48%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

58%

Draw or FC Tokyo

64%

Nagoya Grampus or FC Tokyo

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus29% Draw34% FC Tokyo37%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 2

6.5%

1 – 2

2 – 3

5.5%

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

5.2%

1 – 3

3 – 2

4.8%

3 – 3

4.1%

3 – 1

3.9%

2 – 4

3.6%

1 – 4

3.2%

0 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	FC Tokyo covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	10%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	15%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	17%	28%
+1.5	72%	—	28%
+2	72%	13%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.