Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Wed 15 May 2024 · 10:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 May FC Tōkyō H 3–1 W
11 May Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
06 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 3–2 W
03 May Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L
28 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
21 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 May Nagoya Grampus A 1–3 L
11 May Kashiwa Reysol H 3–3 D
06 May Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 2–1 W
03 May Kyoto Sanga FC H 2–1 W
27 Apr Albirex Niigata A 3–1 W
21 Apr FC Machida Zelvia H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus FC Tōkyō
#3 Position #12
31 Points 37
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 13 / 0 / 5
46 Scored 55
44 Conceded 42
+2 GD +13
1.72 PPG 2.06
56% Win % 72%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
71% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A
FC Tōkyō
Motoki Nagakura 5 G 2 A
Marcelo Ryan 3 G 2 A
Soma Anzai 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Nagoya Grampus and FC Tokyo get this one started.
  • 5' FC Tokyo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 14' Takuya Uchida is having his name booked by the referee on 14.
  • 17' Haruki Yoshida has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 17.
  • 22' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 23' That looks like a foul for a card for Kashif Bangunagande.
  • 28' Kensuke Nagai was booked on 28.
  • 33' Kasper Junker makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
  • 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 48' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 53' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 58' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Kensuke Nagai has done his job and it is now time for Ryuji Izumi to step up.
  • 61' Time for substitution for FC Tokyo. Teruhito Nakagawa is replaced by Ryotaro Araki.
  • 66' A stunning finish from Kasper Junker — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Katsuhiro Nakayama. He replaces Takuya Uchida on 68 minute.
  • 71' Kasper Junker doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 72' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jaja Silva is hanging Kota Tawaratsumida on the field on 72 minute.
  • 77' FC Tokyo come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 78' What a strike from Ryotaro Araki! The score is 3-1.
  • 81' A moment of madness from Yasuki Kimoto on 81 minutes earns him a card. FC Tokyo will be frustrated.
  • 82' The crowd applauds Kasper Junker as he leaves the pitch. Patric steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 85' Another change for FC Tokyo made on 85 minute. Takahiro Ko leaves to be changed by Riki Harakawa.
  • 90' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 90.
  • FC Tokyo will have plenty to reflect on. Nagoya Grampus were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.29 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.29 FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus43% Draw21% FC Tokyo36%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
65%
Draw or FC Tokyo
57%
Nagoya Grampus or FC Tokyo
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus32% Draw35% FC Tokyo33%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 1
6.1%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3%
2 – 4
3%
2 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push FC Tokyo covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 12% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 16% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 16% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 12% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.