Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | FC Tokyo | H | 3–1 | W |
| 11 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 3–2 | W |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–3 | L |
| 11 May | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 3–3 | D |
| 06 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Albirex Niigata | A | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #12 |
| 31 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 46 | Scored | 55 |
| 44 | Conceded | 42 |
| +2 | GD | +13 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
0%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Toyota Stadium as Nagoya Grampus face off against FC Tōkyō in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Takuya Uchida made 437 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 14' The referee calls foul for Takuya Uchida. He receives a card.
- 17' Haruki Yoshida catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 17.
- 22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sho Inagaki suffering a number of foals already.
- 23' Kashif Bangunagande picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 28' Kensuke Nagai is having his name booked by the referee on 28.
- 33' Nagoya Grampus is taking the lead after the goal scored by Kasper Junker on 33.
- 38' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 43' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 48' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 53' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 58' Ryuji Izumi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kensuke Nagai at the 58 minute mark.
- 61' Teruhito Nakagawa makes way for Ryotaro Araki at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Tokyo.
- 66' Magnificent from Kasper Junker! That is 42 goals in 61 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 68' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Katsuhiro Nakayama on, Takuya Uchida off on 68 minutes.
- 71' What a moment for Kasper Junker! That strike on 71 puts his side firmly in control.
- 72' FC Tokyo make a change. Kota Tawaratsumida trudges off to be replaced by Jaja Silva on 72 minutes.
- 77' The travelling FC Tōkyō supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 78' A goal from the Japan international Ryotaro Araki! He fires home on 78 to make it 3-1!
- 81' FC Tokyo player sees a card in front of him.
- 82' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Kasper Junker is withdrawn and Patric gets his opportunity.
- 85' The whistle greets Takahiro Ko as he departs to be replaced by Riki Harakawa.
- 90' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Tōkyō is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- FC Tōkyō will have plenty to reflect on. Nagoya Grampus were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 34
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Ryuji Izumi 58'
- 1
- 14
- 15
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Patric 82'
- 24
- 5
- 20
-
41
Masahito Ono ↓ Ken Masui 68'
Bench
-
6
Takuji Yonemoto ↑ 82'
-
10
Patric ↑ 82'
- 16
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↑ 58'
-
17
Ken Masui ↑ 68'
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 68'
- 3
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 49
-
9
Diego Oliveira ↓ Kuryu Matsuki 61'
- 99
- 39
-
8
Takahiro Ko ↓ Riki Harakawa 85'
- 37
- 4
- 41
-
33
Kota Tawaratsumida ↓ Jaja Silva 72'
-
38
Soma Anzai ↓ Yuto Nagatomo 72'
Bench
-
5
Yuto Nagatomo ↑ 72'
-
40
Riki Harakawa ↑ 85'
- 1
-
71
Ryotaro Araki ↑ 61'
- 44
-
70
Jaja Silva ↑ 72'
-
7
Kuryu Matsuki ↑ 61'
Coach
Peter Cklamovski
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 6 |
| Kasper Junker | 3 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Naoki Maeda | 1 |
| Jang Hyunsoo | 1 |
| Leandro | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.29
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.29
FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
65%
Draw or FC Tokyo
57%
Nagoya Grampus or FC Tokyo
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 1
6.1%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3%
2 – 4
3%
2 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | FC Tokyo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 16% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 16% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 12% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

