Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | FC Tōkyō | H | 3–1 | W |
| 11 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 3–2 | W |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–3 | L |
| 11 May | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 3–3 | D |
| 06 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Albirex Niigata | A | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | FC Tōkyō | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #12 |
| 31 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 46 | Scored | 55 |
| 44 | Conceded | 42 |
| +2 | GD | +13 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
71%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
FC Tōkyō
| Motoki Nagakura | 5 G | 2 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 3 G | 2 A |
| Soma Anzai | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Nagoya Grampus and FC Tokyo get this one started.
- 5' FC Tokyo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 14' Takuya Uchida is having his name booked by the referee on 14.
- 17' Haruki Yoshida has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 17.
- 22' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 23' That looks like a foul for a card for Kashif Bangunagande.
- 28' Kensuke Nagai was booked on 28.
- 33' Kasper Junker makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
- 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 48' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 53' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 58' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Kensuke Nagai has done his job and it is now time for Ryuji Izumi to step up.
- 61' Time for substitution for FC Tokyo. Teruhito Nakagawa is replaced by Ryotaro Araki.
- 66' A stunning finish from Kasper Junker — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Katsuhiro Nakayama. He replaces Takuya Uchida on 68 minute.
- 71' Kasper Junker doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 72' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jaja Silva is hanging Kota Tawaratsumida on the field on 72 minute.
- 77' FC Tokyo come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 78' What a strike from Ryotaro Araki! The score is 3-1.
- 81' A moment of madness from Yasuki Kimoto on 81 minutes earns him a card. FC Tokyo will be frustrated.
- 82' The crowd applauds Kasper Junker as he leaves the pitch. Patric steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
- 85' Another change for FC Tokyo made on 85 minute. Takahiro Ko leaves to be changed by Riki Harakawa.
- 90' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 90.
- FC Tokyo will have plenty to reflect on. Nagoya Grampus were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 34
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Ryuji Izumi 58'
- 1
- 14
- 15
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Patric 82'
- 24
- 5
- 20
-
41
Masahito Ono ↓ Ken Masui 68'
Bench
-
6
Takuji Yonemoto ↑ 82'
-
10
Patric ↑ 82'
- 16
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↑ 58'
-
17
Ken Masui ↑ 68'
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 68'
- 3
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 49
-
9
Diego Oliveira ↓ Kuryu Matsuki 61'
- 99
- 39
-
8
Takahiro Ko ↓ Riki Harakawa 85'
- 37
- 4
- 41
-
33
Kota Tawaratsumida ↓ Jaja Silva 72'
-
38
Soma Anzai ↓ Yuto Nagatomo 72'
Bench
-
5
Yuto Nagatomo ↑ 72'
-
40
Riki Harakawa ↑ 85'
- 1
-
71
Ryotaro Araki ↑ 61'
- 44
-
70
Jaja Silva ↑ 72'
-
7
Kuryu Matsuki ↑ 61'
Coach
Peter Cklamovski
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 6 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Kasper Junker | 3 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Keita Endo | 1 |
| Kotaro Omori | 1 |
| Yojiro Takahagi | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.29
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.29
FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
65%
Draw or FC Tokyo
57%
Nagoya Grampus or FC Tokyo
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 1
6.1%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3%
2 – 4
3%
2 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | FC Tokyo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 16% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 16% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 12% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

