FC Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

FC Machida Zelvia

1 – 0

Full Time

Fagiano Okayama FC

Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 07:00 UTC Machida GION Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 48' Yoshitake Suzuki

Overview

Match Preview

FC Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.

FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

FC Machida Zelvia 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Fagiano Okayama FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-27 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Fagiano Okayama FC 2025-05-25 Fagiano Okayama FC 2–2 FC Machida Zelvia

Recent Form

FC Machida Zelvia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	1–0	W
23 Sep	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	1–1	D
12 Sep	Yokohama FC	H	1–1	D
31 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	A	3–5	L
23 Aug	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	0–0	D
20 Aug	Gamba Osaka	H	3–1	W

Fagiano Okayama FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	FC Machida Zelvia	A	0–1	L
23 Sep	Yokohama FC	H	0–0	D
20 Sep	Tokyo Verdy	A	2–4	L
13 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–1	L
30 Aug	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	0–5	L
23 Aug	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

FC Machida Zelvia		Fagiano Okayama FC
#13	Position	#6
37	Points	26
18	Played	18
13 / 0 / 5	W / D / L	8 / 0 / 10
42	Scored	41
33	Conceded	46
+9	GD	-5
2.06	PPG	1.44
72%	Win %	44%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

100% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

100% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Machida Zelvia

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Fagiano Okayama FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! FC Machida Zelvia welcome Fagiano Okayama FC for this crunch clash at Machida GION Stadium.
5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
10' With 3 assists to his name this season, Ataru Esaka is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fagiano Okayama FC.
15' The 23-year-old Kaito Fujii has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Machida Zelvia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
25' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Machida Zelvia and Fagiano Okayama FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
30' FC Machida Zelvia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
31' It is a substitution in Fagiano Okayama FC team. Ryo Tabei is replaced by Yuta Kamiya on 31 minute.
36' FC Machida Zelvia is showing some good football. However, FC Machida Zelvia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
41' It looks surprising Fagiano Okayama FC does not make any changes. Kota Kudo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
46' Time for substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC. Kazunari Ichimi is replaced by Lucao.
48' It’s gonna be a card for Yoshitake Suzuki.
53' The travelling Fagiano Okayama FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
58' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Asahi Masuyama departs to be replaced by Hiroki Mochizuki.
60' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Takaya Kimura comes on to replace Hiroto Iwabuchi.
65' FC Machida Zelvia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fagiano Okayama FC's shape.
70' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fagiano Okayama FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
75' Rui Sueyoshi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
78' Time for substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC. Ataru Esaka is replaced by Takahiro Yanagi.
81' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Takuma Nishimura departs to be replaced by Shota Fujio.
86' Takahiro Yanagi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 437 appearances.
90' A change in the FC Machida Zelvia ranks — Kotaro Hayashi exits the field as Kanji Kuwayama enters on 90.
The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Machida Zelvia take all three points.

Lineups

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

18
Hokuto Shimoda
20
Takuma Nishimura ↓ Shota Fujio 81'
1
Kosei Tani
11
Asahi Masuyama ↓ Hiroki Mochizuki 58'
3
Gen Shoji
19
Yuta Nakayama
5
Ibrahim Dresevic
8
Keiya Sento
15
Mitchell Duke ↓ Se-hun Oh 46'
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Yuki Soma 58'
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↓ Kanji Kuwayama 90'

Bench

23
Ryohei Shirasaki
7
Yuki Soma ↑ 58'
2
Tomoki Imai
13
Tatsuya Morita
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 81'
6
Hiroki Mochizuki ↑ 58'
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 90'
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 46'
22
Takaya Numata

Coach Go Kuroda

Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

77
Goro Kawanami
88
Takahiro Yanagi ↑ 78'
28
Masaya Matsumoto
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 31'
15
Kota Kudo ↑ 60'
98
Werik
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 60'
99
Lucao ↑ 46'
16
Yoko Iesaka

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kazunari Ichimi	1
Takaya Kimura	1
Gen Shoji	1
Yuki Soma	1
Mitchell Duke	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

2.57 FC Machida Zelvia xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.31 Fagiano Okayama FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Machida Zelvia62% Draw20% Fagiano Okayama FC18%

Actual: FC Machida Zelvia win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.88

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	53%	47%
± 4.5	34%	66%

Double Chance

FC Machida Zelvia or Draw

82%

Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC

38%

FC Machida Zelvia or Fagiano Okayama FC

80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Machida Zelvia47% Draw36% Fagiano Okayama FC17%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

8.7%

1 – 1

7.7%

3 – 1

7.3%

2 – 0

6.9%

3 – 0

5.8%

2 – 2

5.6%

1 – 0

Actual

3 – 2

4.8%

4 – 1

4.7%

1 – 2

4.5%

4 – 0

3.7%

0 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia

Handicap	FC Machida Zelvia covers	Push	Fagiano Okayama FC covers
-2.5	25%	—	75%
-2	25%	18%	57%
-1.5	43%	—	57%
-1	43%	20%	37%
-0.5	63%	—	37%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	10%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet

28% ✗

Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

FC Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

FC Machida Zelvia Form

Fagiano Okayama FC Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia

Clean Sheet