FC Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 3–5 | L |
| 23 Aug | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 23 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #6 |
| 37 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 42 | Scored | 41 |
| 33 | Conceded | 46 |
| +9 | GD | -5 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 72% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
44%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Machida Zelvia and Fagiano Okayama FC has kicked off!
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 20' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Fagiano Okayama FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 31' It is a substitution in Fagiano Okayama FC team. Ryo Tabei is replaced by Yuta Kamiya on 31 minute.
- 36' It looks surprising FC Machida Zelvia does not make any changes. Kaito Fujii has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yuta Nakayama, as he is very good at scoring at Machida GION Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 46' Another substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC to replace Kazunari Ichimi by Lucao on 46 minute.
- 48' It’s gonna be a card for Yoshitake Suzuki.
- 53' Takahiro Yanagi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 58' Another substitution for FC Machida Zelvia to replace Asahi Masuyama by Hiroki Mochizuki on 58 minute.
- 60' Another substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC to replace Hiroto Iwabuchi by Takaya Kimura on 60 minute.
- 65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 70' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 75' Sang-ho Na has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
- 78' It is a substitution in Fagiano Okayama FC team. Ataru Esaka is replaced by Takahiro Yanagi on 78 minute.
- 81' Another change for FC Machida Zelvia made on 81 minute. Takuma Nishimura leaves to be changed by Shota Fujio.
- 86' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 86 minutes.
- 90' Another substitution for FC Machida Zelvia to replace Kotaro Hayashi by Kanji Kuwayama on 90 minute.
- Another three points for FC Machida Zelvia.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
-
20
Takuma Nishimura ↓ Shota Fujio 81'
- 1
- 11
- 3
- 19
- 5
- 8
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↓ Se-hun Oh 46'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Yuki Soma 58'
-
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↓ Kanji Kuwayama 90'
Bench
- 23
-
7
Yuki Soma ↑ 58'
- 2
- 13
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 81'
-
6
Hiroki Mochizuki ↑ 58'
-
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 90'
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 46'
- 22
Coach
Go Kuroda
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
-
43
Yoshitake Suzuki ↓ Kota Kudo 60'
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 46'
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Takahiro Yanagi 78'
- 26
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Yuta Kamiya 31'
- 4
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Takaya Kimura 60'
- 3
- 17
Bench
- 77
-
88
Takahiro Yanagi ↑ 78'
- 28
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 31'
-
15
Kota Kudo ↑ 60'
- 98
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 60'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 46'
- 16
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuki Soma | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Kazunari Ichimi | 1 |
| Takaya Kimura | 1 |
| Gen Shoji | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2025-09-27
FC Machida Zelvia
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-09-23
Kyoto Sanga FC
1–1
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2025-09-12
FC Machida Zelvia
1–1
Yokohama FC
D
2025-08-31
Kawasaki Frontale
5–3
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2025-08-23
Yokohama F·Marinos
0–0
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2025-08-20
FC Machida Zelvia
3–1
Gamba Osaka
W
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-09-27
FC Machida Zelvia
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-23
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Yokohama FC
D
2025-09-20
Tokyo Verdy
4–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-13
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Nagoya Grampus
L
2025-08-30
Kyoto Sanga FC
5–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-08-23
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Shonan Bellmare
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.57
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.88
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
82%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
38%
FC Machida Zelvia or Fagiano Okayama FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 1
7.7%
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.9%
3 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
3.7%
0 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 18% | 57% |
| -1.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| -1 | 43% | 20% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.