FC Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

FC Machida Zelvia

1 – 0

Full Time

Fagiano Okayama FC

Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 07:00 UTC Machida GION Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 48' Yoshitake Suzuki

Overview

Match Preview

FC Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.

FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

FC Machida Zelvia 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Fagiano Okayama FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-27 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Fagiano Okayama FC 2025-05-25 Fagiano Okayama FC 2–2 FC Machida Zelvia

Recent Form

FC Machida Zelvia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	1–0	W
23 Sep	Kyōto Sanga FC	A	1–1	D
12 Sep	Yokohama FC	H	1–1	D
31 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	A	3–5	L
23 Aug	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	0–0	D
20 Aug	Gamba Osaka	H	3–1	W

Fagiano Okayama FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	FC Machida Zelvia	A	0–1	L
23 Sep	Yokohama FC	H	0–0	D
20 Sep	Tōkyō Verdy	A	2–4	L
13 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–1	L
30 Aug	Kyōto Sanga FC	A	0–5	L
23 Aug	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

FC Machida Zelvia		Fagiano Okayama FC
#13	Position	#6
37	Points	26
18	Played	18
13 / 0 / 5	W / D / L	8 / 0 / 10
42	Scored	41
33	Conceded	46
+9	GD	-5
2.06	PPG	1.44
72%	Win %	44%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

54% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

23% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Machida Zelvia

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/1

46-60

2/4

61-75

6/1

76+

9/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Fagiano Okayama FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/5

46-60

3/4

61-75

3/3

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Machida Zelvia

Takuma Nishimura	5 G
Koki Ogawa	4 G
Yuki Soma	3 G	4 A
Tete Yengi	3 G	1 A
Hiroki Mochizuki	3 G	1 A

Fagiano Okayama FC

Kota Kawano	3 G
Noah Browne	2 G	1 A
Lucao	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Machida Zelvia is hosting Fagiano Okayama FC for another epic battle.
5' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Machida Zelvia must find a spark to ignite this game.
10' Yoshitake Suzuki is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Machida Zelvia so far.
15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
20' Lucao has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
25' It’s high time Go Kuroda made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
30' Yuta Kamiya, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
31' Another substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC to replace Ryo Tabei by Yuta Kamiya on 31 minute.
36' With 3 assists to his name this season, Haruka Motoyama is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fagiano Okayama FC.
41' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Machida Zelvia in their trying to find a way past Fagiano Okayama FC's compact .
46' Time for substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC. Kazunari Ichimi is replaced by Lucao.
48' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yoshitake Suzuki on 48 minutes.
53' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
58' Hiroki Mochizuki is ready to make an impact after coming on for Asahi Masuyama at the 58 minute mark.
60' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Takaya Kimura comes on to replace Hiroto Iwabuchi.
65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kosei Tani made 415 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
70' Rui Sueyoshi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
75' FC Machida Zelvia is showing some good football. However, FC Machida Zelvia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
78' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Ataru Esaka departs to be replaced by Takahiro Yanagi.
81' The supporters are chanting for Shota Fujio. He replaces Takuma Nishimura on 81 minute.
86' Fagiano Okayama FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
90' Fresh legs for FC Machida Zelvia! Kanji Kuwayama comes on to replace Kotaro Hayashi.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Fagiano Okayama FC.

Lineups

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

18
Hokuto Shimoda
20
Takuma Nishimura ↓ Shota Fujio 81'
1
Kosei Tani
11
Asahi Masuyama ↓ Hiroki Mochizuki 58'
3
Gen Shoji
19
Yuta Nakayama
5
Ibrahim Dresevic
8
Keiya Sento
15
Mitchell Duke ↓ Se-hun Oh 46'
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Yuki Soma 58'
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↓ Kanji Kuwayama 90'

Bench

23
Ryohei Shirasaki
7
Yuki Soma ↑ 58'
2
Tomoki Imai
13
Tatsuya Morita
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 81'
6
Hiroki Mochizuki ↑ 58'
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 90'
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 46'
22
Takaya Numata

Coach Go Kuroda

Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

77
Goro Kawanami
88
Takahiro Yanagi ↑ 78'
28
Masaya Matsumoto
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 31'
15
Kota Kudo ↑ 60'
98
Werik
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 60'
99
Lucao ↑ 46'
16
Yoko Iesaka

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuki Soma	1
Mitchell Duke	1
Kazunari Ichimi	1
Takaya Kimura	1
Gen Shoji	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

2.57 FC Machida Zelvia xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.31 Fagiano Okayama FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Machida Zelvia62% Draw20% Fagiano Okayama FC18%

Actual: FC Machida Zelvia win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.88

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	53%	47%
± 4.5	34%	66%

Double Chance

FC Machida Zelvia or Draw

82%

Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC

38%

FC Machida Zelvia or Fagiano Okayama FC

80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Machida Zelvia47% Draw36% Fagiano Okayama FC17%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

8.7%

1 – 1

7.7%

3 – 1

7.3%

2 – 0

6.9%

3 – 0

5.8%

2 – 2

5.6%

1 – 0

Actual

3 – 2

4.8%

4 – 1

4.7%

1 – 2

4.5%

4 – 0

3.7%

0 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia

Handicap	FC Machida Zelvia covers	Push	Fagiano Okayama FC covers
-2.5	25%	—	75%
-2	25%	18%	57%
-1.5	43%	—	57%
-1	43%	20%	37%
-0.5	63%	—	37%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	10%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet

28% ✗

Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

FC Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

FC Machida Zelvia Form

Fagiano Okayama FC Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia

Clean Sheet