FC Machida Zelvia vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs FC Tōkyō — J. League at National Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | FC Tōkyō | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #12 |
| 37 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 42 | Scored | 55 |
| 33 | Conceded | 42 |
| +9 | GD | +13 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 72% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
44%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
8/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Machida Zelvia and FC Tōkyō has kicked off!
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Leon Nozawa, as he is very good at scoring at National Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 20' Kein Sato has been relatively quiet despite scoring 12 goals in his last 414 appearances.
- 25' FC Machida Zelvia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Tōkyō's shape.
- 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
- 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Tōkyō winning 50% of all matches.
- 40' The 39-year-old Yuto Nagatomo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 42' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Hiroyuki Mae on 42 minutes.
- 47' With 0 assists to his name this season, Marcos Guilherme is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Machida Zelvia.
- 52' FC Tōkyō looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Kein Sato scoring 2 goals.
- 57' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Machida Zelvia and FC Tōkyō are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 62' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 63' Sang-ho Na has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keiya Sento on 63 minute.
- 68' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 69' Another change for FC Tokyo made on 69 minute. Marcos Guilherme leaves to be changed by Soma Anzai.
- 74' A meaty challenge results in booking for Takahiro Ko on 74.
- 79' FC Tōkyō is showing some good football. However, FC Tōkyō are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 83' Time for substitution for FC Machida Zelvia. Se-hun Oh is replaced by Kanji Kuwayama.
- 85' Keita Yamashita has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kota Tawaratsumida on 85 minute.
- 87' GOAL! Soma Anzai fires home to make it 0-1!
- 90' FC Machida Zelvia make a change. Asahi Masuyama trudges off to be replaced by Shota Fujio on 90 minutes.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Tōkyō take all three points.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
-
11
Asahi Masuyama ↓ Shota Fujio 90'
- 3
- 19
- 7
- 5
- 88
-
8
Keiya Sento ↓ Sang-ho Na 63'
-
16
Hiroyuki Mae ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 83'
- 6
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Kanji Kuwayama 83'
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 83'
- 23
- 31
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 90'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 63'
- 26
-
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 83'
- 22
- 44
Coach
Go Kuroda
FC Tōkyō Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 2
-
39
Teruhito Nakagawa ↓ Leon Nozawa 69'
- 8
- 37
- 24
-
40
Marcos Guilherme ↓ Soma Anzai 69'
- 81
- 33
-
16
Kein Sato ↓ Taiyo Yamaguchi 90'
Bench
- 10
- 99
- 13
- 44
-
14
Keita Yamashita ↑ 85'
- 32
-
7
Soma Anzai ↑ 69'
-
28
Leon Nozawa ↑ 69'
-
88
Taiyo Yamaguchi ↑ 90'
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Se-hun Oh | 2 |
| Kein Sato | 2 |
| Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa | 1 |
| Sang-ho Na | 1 |
| Ryohei Shirasaki | 1 |
| Yuki Soma | 1 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 1 |
| Soma Anzai | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2025-11-09
FC Machida Zelvia
0–1
FC Tōkyō
L
2025-10-25
Urawa Red Diamonds
0–0
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2025-10-18
FC Machida Zelvia
0–0
Avispa Fukuoka
D
2025-10-04
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2025-09-27
FC Machida Zelvia
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-09-23
Kyoto Sanga FC
1–1
FC Machida Zelvia
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.82
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51
FC Tōkyō xG
I would bet for:
FC Machida Zelvia or FC Tōkyō 74% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Tōkyō win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
69%
Draw or FC Tōkyō
57%
FC Machida Zelvia or FC Tōkyō
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
5.9%
1 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | FC Tōkyō covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 20% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
17%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.