FC Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
# Team P Pts 1 Vissel Kobe 18 35 2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31 3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31 4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30 5 Gamba Osaka 18 28 6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26 7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24 8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23 9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21 10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21 11 Kashima Antlers 18 45 12 FC Tokyo 18 37 13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37 14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28 15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28 16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25 17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20 18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20 19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18 20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 30 Nov Nagoya Grampus H 3–1 W 09 Nov FC Tokyo H 0–1 L 25 Oct Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–0 D 18 Oct Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D 04 Oct Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–2 L 27 Sep Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 30 Nov FC Machida Zelvia A 1–3 L 08 Nov Kashiwa Reysol A 0–1 L 25 Oct Gamba Osaka H 0–2 L 18 Oct Yokohama FC A 2–2 D 04 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W 27 Sep Kashima Antlers H 0–4 L Season Stats
FC Machida Zelvia Nagoya Grampus #13 Position #3 37 Points 31 18 Played 18 13 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8 42 Scored 46 33 Conceded 44 +9 GD +2 2.06 PPG 1.72 72% Win % 56% Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history44% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this seasonFC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia0-152/–16-301/–31-452/146-603/161-752/176+–/3■ Scored ■ ConcededNagoya Grampus0-152/116-302/431-455/446-604/361-753/176+4/5■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Machida GION Stadium will turn into a battlefield for FC Machida Zelvia and Nagoya Grampus.
- 5' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' FC Machida Zelvia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 30' Yuki Soma has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
- 40' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Machida Zelvia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 42' FC Machida Zelvia is taking the lead after the goal scored by Mitchell Duke on 42.
- 42' Nagoya Grampus player sees a card in front of him.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Hotaka Nakamura. He receives a card.
- 46' Masahito Ono has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryuji Izumi on 46 minute.
- 50' GOAL! Hotaka Nakamura scores on 50. Assisted by Mitchell Duke
- 51' The referee calls foul for Mitchell Duke. He receives a card.
- 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 61' Goal! Sho Inagaki scores his 43 goal in 313 matches.
- 62' It is a substitution in FC Machida Zelvia team. Mitchell Duke is replaced by Keiya Sento on 62 minute.
- 67' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Machida Zelvia that had 88 games and scored 108 goals.
- 71' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Kensuke Nagai is replaced by Yudai Kimura.
- 72' What a strike from Gen Shoji! The score is 3-1.
- 77' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 79' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Kasper Junker is replaced by Shungo Sugiura.
- 84' Haruto Suzuki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 85' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Kotaro Hayashi departs to be replaced by Daihachi Okamura.
- 86' Neta Lavi is replacing Hokuto Shimoda for the FC Machida Zelvia side.
- 88' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 88 minute. Yuki Nogami leaves to be changed by Haruto Suzuki.
- 90' FC Machida Zelvia receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Takuma Nishimura. He replaces Yuki Soma on 90 minute.
- Another three points for FC Machida Zelvia.
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Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
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18
Hokuto Shimoda ↓ Neta Lavi 86'
- 1
- 3
- 19
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7
Yuki Soma ↓ Takuma Nishimura 90'
- 5
- 88
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9
Shota Fujio ↓ Se-hun Oh 62'
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15
Mitchell Duke ↓ Keiya Sento 62'
- 26
- 6
Bench
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20
Takuma Nishimura ↑ 90'
- 11
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31
Neta Lavi ↑ 86'
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8
Keiya Sento ↑ 62'
- 16
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50
Daihachi Okamura ↑ 85'
- 49
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90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 62'
- 44
Coach Go KurodaNagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
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18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yudai Kimura 71'
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2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Haruto Suzuki 88'
- 14
- 15
- 16
- 13
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7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Masahito Ono 46'
- 70
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77
Kasper Junker ↓ Shungo Sugiura 79'
- 3
- 33
Bench
- 8
- 6
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22
Yudai Kimura ↑ 71'
- 55
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32
Haruto Suzuki ↑ 88'
- 20
- 35
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41
Masahito Ono ↑ 46'
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30
Shungo Sugiura ↑ 79'
Coach Kenta Hasegawa -
18
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Sho Inagaki 1 Gen Shoji 1 Hotaka Nakamura 1 Mitchell Duke 1 Shota Fujio 1 Hokuto Shimoda 1 Yota Sato 1 Takuma Nishimura 1 Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2025-11-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2025-11-09 FC Machida Zelvia 0–1 FC Tokyo L 2025-10-25 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–0 FC Machida Zelvia D 2025-10-18 FC Machida Zelvia 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2025-10-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-09-27 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Fagiano Okayama FC WNagoya Grampus Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy4 / 42.37 FC Machida Zelvia xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.38 Nagoya Grampus xGI would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 67%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.75Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 96% 4% ± 1.5 89% 11% ± 2.5 71% 29% ± 3.5 51% 49% ± 4.5 32% 68% Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw 80%Draw or Nagoya Grampus 40%FC Machida Zelvia or Nagoya Grampus 79%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 122 – 1 8.8%1 – 1 8.5%3 – 1 Actual2 – 0 6.7%2 – 2 6%1 – 2 5.2%1 – 0 5.2%3 – 0 5.1%3 – 2 4.8%4 – 1 4.1%0 – 0 3.6%4 – 0 3%Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
Handicap FC Machida Zelvia covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers -2.5 21% — 79% -2 21% 17% 62% -1.5 38% — 62% -1 38% 20% 42% -0.5 58% — 42% +0.5 79% — 21% +1 79% 12% 9% +1.5 91% — 9% +2 91% 6% 3% +2.5 97% — 3% Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet 26% ✓Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet 10% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

