FC Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | Yokohama FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #3 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 42 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| +9 | GD | +2 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 3 A |
| Koki Ogawa | 3 G | |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tete Yengi | 2 G | 1 A |
| Takuma Nishimura | 2 G |
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! FC Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' Hokuto Shimoda is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Machida Zelvia so far.
- 15' FC Machida Zelvia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Machida Zelvia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 25' Kosei Tani has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 30' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 35' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 42' Mitchell Duke makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and FC Machida Zelvia are in front.
- 42' Nagoya Grampus receives a card for a hard tackle on 42.
- 45' Hotaka Nakamura catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
- 46' Masahito Ono has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryuji Izumi on 46 minute.
- 50' Hotaka Nakamura has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 50 minutes.
- 51' Mitchell Duke has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 51.
- 56' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 61' Magnificent from Sho Inagaki! That is 46 goals in 342 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 62' FC Machida Zelvia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Keiya Sento is hanging Mitchell Duke on the field on 62 minute.
- 67' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 71' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Yudai Kimura on, Kensuke Nagai off on 71 minutes.
- 72' The deadlock is broken! Gen Shoji gets on the scoresheet on 72 minutes.
- 77' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 79' Shungo Sugiura is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kasper Junker at the 79 minute mark.
- 84' A quiet spell here at Machida GION Stadium. FC Machida Zelvia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 85' FC Machida Zelvia ring the changes. Kotaro Hayashi has done his job and it is now time for Daihachi Okamura to step up.
- 86' A tactical swap from FC Machida Zelvia — Neta Lavi on, Hokuto Shimoda off on 86 minutes.
- 88' Haruto Suzuki is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuki Nogami at the 88 minute mark.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ibrahim Dresevic.
- 90' Another substitution for FC Machida Zelvia to replace Yuki Soma by Takuma Nishimura on 90 minute.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↓ Neta Lavi 86'
- 1
- 3
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Takuma Nishimura 90'
- 5
- 88
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Se-hun Oh 62'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↓ Keiya Sento 62'
- 26
- 6
Bench
-
20
Takuma Nishimura ↑ 90'
- 11
-
31
Neta Lavi ↑ 86'
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 62'
- 16
-
50
Daihachi Okamura ↑ 85'
- 49
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 62'
- 44
Coach
Go Kuroda
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yudai Kimura 71'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Haruto Suzuki 88'
- 14
- 15
- 16
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Masahito Ono 46'
- 70
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Shungo Sugiura 79'
- 3
- 33
Bench
- 8
- 6
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↑ 71'
- 55
-
32
Haruto Suzuki ↑ 88'
- 20
- 35
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 46'
-
30
Shungo Sugiura ↑ 79'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ryohei Shirasaki | 1 |
| Shota Fujio | 1 |
| Yusuke Matsuo | 1 |
| Hokuto Shimoda | 1 |
| Alexandre Pisano | 1 |
| Yota Sato | 1 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 1 |
| Sang-ho Na | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2025-11-30
FC Machida Zelvia
3–1
Nagoya Grampus
W
2025-11-09
FC Machida Zelvia
0–1
FC Tōkyō
L
2025-10-25
Urawa Red Diamonds
0–0
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2025-10-18
FC Machida Zelvia
0–0
Avispa Fukuoka
D
2025-10-04
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2025-09-27
FC Machida Zelvia
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.37
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
80%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
40%
FC Machida Zelvia or Nagoya Grampus
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 2
5.2%
1 – 0
5.2%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.1%
0 – 0
3.6%
4 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 17% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 20% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.