FC Lugano vs Malmo FF, Europe 2019-20 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee
- Referee
- Referee
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympique Lyonnais | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa FC | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompié | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | KRC Genk | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna FC 1909 | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvárosi TC | 8 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | FC Viktoria Plzen | 8 | 14 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 14 |
| 16 | RC Celta de Vigo | 8 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK Thessaloniki FC | 8 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille OSC | 8 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe SK | 8 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos AO | 8 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic FC | 8 | 11 |
| 22 | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 10 |
| 24 | SK Brann | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | BSC Young Boys | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | SK Sturm Graz | 8 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB Bukarest | 8 | 7 |
| 28 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 8 | 6 |
| 30 | FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 6 |
| 31 | FC Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers FC | 8 | 4 |
| 33 | OGC Nice | 8 | 3 |
| 34 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv FC | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | Malmo FF | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | Malmo FF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Oct | FK Dynamo Kyiv | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | FC København | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | FC Lugano | A | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | FC Lugano | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Oct | FC København | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | FK Dynamo Kyiv | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC | H | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Lugano and Malmo FF get this one started.
- 5' The 43-year-old Markus Rosenberg has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 25' Malmo FF have won 152 goals from 248 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 30' Oscar Lewicki makes way for Bonke Innocent at the 30 minute mark. A tactical switch from Malmo FF.
- 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Fabio Celestini might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 43' Lasse Nielsen is having his name booked by the referee on 43.
- 48' Sweden international Behrang Safari has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 53' FC Lugano currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 57' Alexander Gerndt is replacing Mattia Bottani for the FC Lugano side.
- 60' A moment of madness from Fouad Bachirou on 60 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Malmo FF will be frustrated.
- 64' Malmo FF ring the changes. Felix Beijmo has done his job and it is now time for Guillermo Molins to step up.
- 69' A tactical swap from Malmo FF — Jonas Knudsen on, Behrang Safari off on 69 minutes.
- 71' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bonke Innocent on 71.
- 76' FC Lugano is showing some good football. However, FC Lugano are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 81' The FC Lugano manager makes a substitution. Filip Holender departs to be replaced by Sandi Lovric.
- 86' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 87' Poor challenge from Arnor Ingvi Traustason. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Sandi Lovric.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FC Lugano Lineups
Starting XI
- 70
- 5
-
9
Filip Holender ↓ Sandi Lovric 81'
- 20
- 46
- 18
- 30
- 17
- 16
- 10
- 11
Bench
- 23
-
24
Sandi Lovric ↑ 81'
- 4
-
19
Alexander Gerndt ↑ 57'
- 21
- 22
- 31
Coach
Fabio Celestini
Malmo FF Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Felix Beijmo ↓ Guillermo Molins 64'
- 24
- 8
-
6
Oscar Lewicki ↓ Bonke Innocent 30'
- 9
- 17
- 27
-
4
Behrang Safari ↓ Jonas Knudsen 69'
- 5
- 7
- 32
Bench
-
11
Guillermo Molins ↑ 64'
-
3
Jonas Knudsen ↑ 69'
- 23
- 2
-
20
Bonke Innocent ↑ 30'
- 18
- 1
Coach
Uwe Rösler
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Guillermo Molins | 1 |
| Jo Inge Berget | 1 |
| Alexander Gerndt | 1 |
FC Lugano Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.79
FC Lugano xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
Malmo FF xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 79% + FC Lugano or Draw 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.56
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 1.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 2.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 3.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
| ± 4.5 | 3% |
|
97% |
Double Chance
FC Lugano or Draw
69%
Draw or Malmo FF
67%
FC Lugano or Malmo FF
63%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
15.1%
0 – 1
14.5%
1 – 1
13.8%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
2.1%
3 – 0
1.6%
0 – 3
1.4%
3 – 1
1.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Lugano
| Handicap | FC Lugano covers | Push | Malmo FF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 8% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 21% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 20% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Lugano keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Malmo FF keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

