FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2022

FC Cincinnati

2 – 0

Full Time

Toronto FC

Wed 4 May 2022 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 3' Ralph Priso-Mbongue

R 6' Ralph Priso-Mbongue

Y 12' Jayden Nelson

Obinna Nwobodo 59' Y

Tyler Blackett 75' Y

Alvaro Barreal 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals Toronto FC

Last 5 meetings

2022-05-04 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2022-04-30 Toronto FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2021-09-29 Toronto FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati 2021-09-12 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2021-06-26 Toronto FC 0–2 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	Toronto FC	H	2–0	W
30 Apr	Toronto FC	A	2–1	W
24 Apr	Los Angeles FC	H	1–2	L
16 Apr	Atlanta United FC	A	0–0	D
02 Apr	Montreal Impact FC	H	3–4	L
26 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	FC Cincinnati	A	0–2	L
30 Apr	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
24 Apr	New York City FC	A	4–5	L
16 Apr	Philadelphia Union	H	2–1	W
10 Apr	Real Salt Lake	A	2–2	D
02 Apr	New York City FC	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		Toronto FC
#6	Position	#12
26	Points	17
18	Played	18
7 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	3 / 8 / 7
45	Scored	24
44	Conceded	32
+1	GD	-8
1.44	PPG	0.94
39%	Win %	17%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toronto FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/3

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

6/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to TQL Stadium that hosts another battle between FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC.
2' What a strike from Calvin Harris! The score is 1-0.
3' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ralph Priso-Mbongue.
6' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Red card for Ralph Priso-Mbongue.
11' FC Cincinnati have won 357 goals from 247 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
12' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jayden Nelson on 12.
17' Brandon Vazquez, a USA , has 10 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
22' Toronto FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
27' Michael Bradley is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toronto FC tonight.
32' Shane O'Neill has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
37' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
42' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
46' Toronto FC ring the changes. Jayden Nelson has done his job and it is now time for Deandre Kerr to step up.
51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
56' Goal! Luciano Acosta scores his 81 goal in 281 matches.
58' Calvin Harris makes way for Dominique Badji at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
59' FC Cincinnati player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
64' Ayo Akinola is replacing Jesus Jimenez for the Toronto FC side.
67' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. John Nelson is replaced by Tyler Blackett on 67 minute.
72' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
75' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a Yellow card on 75.
77' The crowd applauds Kadin Chung as he leaves the pitch. Kobe Franklin steps in for Toronto FC.
82' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toronto FC backline.
86' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nick Markanich is hanging Luciano Acosta on the field on 86 minute.
88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Alvaro Barreal.
2-0 the final result. Toronto FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

2
Alvas Powell
4
Nick Hagglund
10
Luciano Acosta ↓ Nick Markanich 86'
93
Junior Moreno
19
Brandon Vazquez ↓ Brenner da Silva 67'
31
Alvaro Barreal
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Haris Medunjanin 67'
3
John Nelson ↓ Tyler Blackett 67'
12
Calvin Harris ↓ Dominique Badji 58'
32
Ian Murphy
18
Roman Celentano

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

16
Quentin Westberg
20
Ayo Akinola ↑ 64'
77
Jordan Perruzza ↑ 64'
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 46'
58
Kobe Franklin ↑ 77'
81
Themi Antonoglou

Coach Bob Bradley

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luciano Acosta	5
Luca Orellano	2
Nick DeLeon	2
Emmanuel Ledesma	2
Kevin Denkey	2
Ian Murphy	2
Marky Delgado	2
Jonathan Osorio	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2022-05-04 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC W 2022-04-30 Toronto FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2022-04-24 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Los Angeles FC L 2022-04-16 Atlanta United FC 0–0 FC Cincinnati D 2022-04-02 FC Cincinnati 3–4 Montreal Impact FC L 2022-03-26 Charlotte FC 2–0 FC Cincinnati L

Toronto FC Form

2022-05-04 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC L 2022-04-30 Toronto FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2022-04-24 New York City FC 5–4 Toronto FC L 2022-04-16 Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union W 2022-04-10 Real Salt Lake 2–2 Toronto FC D 2022-04-02 Toronto FC 2–1 New York City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.77 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.67 Toronto FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati61% Draw19% Toronto FC20%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.44

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	81%	19%
± 3.5	63%	37%
± 4.5	45%	55%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

80%

Draw or Toronto FC

39%

FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC

81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati46% Draw34% Toronto FC20%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

7.5%

3 – 1

6.7%

1 – 1

6.2%

2 – 2

6.1%

3 – 2

5.6%

2 – 0

Actual

4 – 1

4.7%

1 – 2

4.6%

3 – 0

4.2%

4 – 2

3.9%

2 – 3

3.4%

3 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	Toronto FC covers
-2.5	24%	—	76%
-2	24%	17%	59%
-1.5	41%	—	59%
-1	41%	19%	41%
-0.5	59%	—	41%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	11%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	6%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

20% ✗

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.