FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2022 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | Toronto FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Apr | Los Angeles FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Apr | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Apr | Montreal Impact FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 26 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Apr | New York City FC | A | 4–5 | L |
| 16 Apr | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Apr | Real Salt Lake | A | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Apr | New York City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #13 |
| 33 | Points | 29 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 6 / 11 / 10 |
| 55 | Scored | 39 |
| 64 | Conceded | 51 |
| -9 | GD | -12 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 31% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at TQL Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 2' GOAL! Calvin Harris scores on 2.
- 3' It’s a booking for Toronto FC player. Ralph Priso-Mbongue gets a Yellow card.
- 6' A moment of madness from Ralph Priso-Mbongue on 6 minutes earns him a Red card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
- 11' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 12' That is a Yellow card for Toronto FC. Jayden Nelson will be fuming at that decision.
- 17' It looks like no one’s ball. Toronto FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 22' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 27' The travelling Toronto FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shane O'Neill made 290 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 37' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toronto FC backline.
- 42' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 46' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Jayden Nelson is replaced by Deandre Kerr.
- 51' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. Toronto FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 56' GOAL! Luciano Acosta fires home to make it 2-0!
- 58' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Calvin Harris by Dominique Badji on 58 minute.
- 59' Controversy at the stadium! Obinna Nwobodo argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 64' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Jesus Jimenez is replaced by Ayo Akinola.
- 67' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — John Nelson exits the field as Tyler Blackett enters on 67.
- 72' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 75' FC Cincinnati player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 77' The supporters are chanting for Kobe Franklin. He replaces Kadin Chung on 77 minute.
- 82' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 86' The crowd applauds Luciano Acosta as he leaves the pitch. Nick Markanich steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 88' FC Cincinnati player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- Another three points for FC Cincinnati.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 4
-
10
Luciano Acosta ↓ Nick Markanich 86'
- 93
- 19
- 31
- 5
-
3
John Nelson ↓ Tyler Blackett 67'
-
12
Calvin Harris ↓ Dominique Badji 58'
- 32
- 18
Bench
-
24
Tyler Blackett ↑ 67'
- 20
- 25
-
14
Dominique Badji ↑ 58'
-
6
Haris Medunjanin ↑ 67'
- 16
-
9
Brenner da Silva ↑ 67'
-
33
Nick Markanich ↑ 86'
- 35
Coach
Pat Noonan
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 4
-
10
Pozuelo ↓ Jordan Perruzza 64'
- 27
-
9
Jesus Jimenez ↓ Ayo Akinola 64'
-
11
Jayden Nelson ↓ Deandre Kerr 46'
- 8
- 5
- 38
-
12
Kadin Chung ↓ Kobe Franklin 77'
- 47
Bench
- 16
-
20
Ayo Akinola ↑ 64'
-
77
Jordan Perruzza ↑ 64'
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 46'
-
58
Kobe Franklin ↑ 77'
- 81
Coach
Bob Bradley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Luca Orellano | 2 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.61
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.37
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 4.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
77%
Draw or Toronto FC
42%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
6.4%
3 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.8%
4 – 2
3.6%
3 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 16% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 19% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 13% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
18%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

