FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2022 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | Toronto FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Apr | Los Angeles FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Apr | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Apr | Montreal Impact FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 26 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Apr | New York City FC | A | 4–5 | L |
| 16 Apr | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Apr | Real Salt Lake | A | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Apr | New York City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #12 |
| 46 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 9 / 12 / 13 |
| 67 | Scored | 52 |
| 75 | Conceded | 67 |
| -8 | GD | -15 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 35% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC is underway.
- 2' The deadlock is broken! Calvin Harris gets on the scoresheet on 2 minutes.
- 3' The referee has no hesitation. Ralph Priso-Mbongue is booked for Toronto FC — Yellow card on 3.
- 6' The referee calls foul for Ralph Priso-Mbongue. He receives a Red card.
- 11' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 12' Jayden Nelson is having his name booked by the referee on 12.
- 17' Pozuelo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 22' Kosi Thompson is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 27' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 32' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toronto FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 42' The 26-year-old Nick Markanich has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 46' The whistle greets Jayden Nelson as he departs to be replaced by Deandre Kerr.
- 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bob Bradley might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 56' Luciano Acosta doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 58' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Calvin Harris by Dominique Badji on 58 minute.
- 59' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Obinna Nwobodo on 59 minutes.
- 64' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Jesus Jimenez is replaced by Ayo Akinola.
- 67' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. John Nelson is withdrawn and Tyler Blackett gets his opportunity.
- 72' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Deandre Kerr made 300 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 75' Tyler Blackett was booked on 75.
- 77' The whistle greets Kadin Chung as he departs to be replaced by Kobe Franklin.
- 82' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 86' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 86 minute. Luciano Acosta leaves to be changed by Nick Markanich.
- 88' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Alvaro Barreal.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FC Cincinnati 2-0 Toronto FC.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 4
-
10
Luciano Acosta ↓ Nick Markanich 86'
- 93
- 19
- 31
- 5
-
3
John Nelson ↓ Tyler Blackett 67'
-
12
Calvin Harris ↓ Dominique Badji 58'
- 32
- 18
Bench
-
24
Tyler Blackett ↑ 67'
- 20
- 25
-
14
Dominique Badji ↑ 58'
-
6
Haris Medunjanin ↑ 67'
- 16
-
9
Brenner da Silva ↑ 67'
-
33
Nick Markanich ↑ 86'
- 35
Coach
Pat Noonan
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 4
-
10
Pozuelo ↓ Jordan Perruzza 64'
- 27
-
9
Jesus Jimenez ↓ Ayo Akinola 64'
-
11
Jayden Nelson ↓ Deandre Kerr 46'
- 8
- 5
- 38
-
12
Kadin Chung ↓ Kobe Franklin 77'
- 47
Bench
- 16
-
20
Ayo Akinola ↑ 64'
-
77
Jordan Perruzza ↑ 64'
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 46'
-
58
Kobe Franklin ↑ 77'
- 81
Coach
Bob Bradley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.56
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.26
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
78%
Draw or Toronto FC
42%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 1
6.9%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.6%
4 – 2
3.5%
1 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 16% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 19% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
19%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

