Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2022 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Apr | New York City FC | A | 4–5 | L |
| 16 Apr | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Apr | Real Salt Lake | A | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Apr | New York City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Mar | D.C. United SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Apr | Los Angeles FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Apr | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Apr | Montreal Impact FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 26 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #8 |
| 39 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 12 / 13 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 52 | Scored | 67 |
| 67 | Conceded | 75 |
| -15 | GD | -8 |
| 1.15 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 26% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at BMO Field. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati.
- 5' Toronto FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' Toronto FC have won 397 goals from 300 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pat Noonan will be considering his options from the bench.
- 29' Toronto FC ring the changes. Chris Mavinga has done his job and it is now time for Ifunanyachi Achara to step up.
- 34' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bob Bradley might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 39' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 44' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ian Murphy makes it 0-1.
- 49' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 50' Poor challenge from Alvas Powell. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 52' What a strike from Luciano Acosta! The score is 0-2.
- 57' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 62' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jayden Nelson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toronto FC.
- 66' Jesus Jimenez doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 67' Brandon Vazquez gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Brenner da Silva and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 74' The whistle greets Kosi Thompson as he departs to be replaced by Ayo Akinola.
- 79' Luciano Acosta makes way for Calvin Harris at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 86' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ifunanyachi Achara.
- 89' Nick Markanich is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dominique Badji at the 89 minute mark.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Cincinnati take all three points.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 25
- 23
- 4
- 21
- 10
- 27
- 9
-
11
Jayden Nelson ↓ Jordan Perruzza 67'
- 38
-
47
Kosi Thompson ↓ Ayo Akinola 74'
Bench
- 16
-
20
Ayo Akinola ↑ 74'
-
99
Ifunanyachi Achara ↑ 29'
- 8
-
77
Jordan Perruzza ↑ 67'
- 5
- 12
- 81
Coach
Bob Bradley
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
- 2
- 6
- 4
-
10
Luciano Acosta ↓ Calvin Harris 79'
- 93
- 31
- 3
- 9
- 32
- 18
Bench
- 25
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 67'
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↑ 67'
- 23
- 16
-
12
Calvin Harris ↑ 79'
- 29
-
33
Nick Markanich ↑ 89'
- 35
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Luca Orellano | 2 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.8
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati 75% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.63
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
63%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
62%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 1
4.3%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
4.2%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 17% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 18% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

