Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2022 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2022
Sat 30 Apr 2022 · 19:00 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr FC Cincinnati H 1–2 L
24 Apr New York City FC A 4–5 L
16 Apr Philadelphia Union H 2–1 W
10 Apr Real Salt Lake A 2–2 D
02 Apr New York City FC H 2–1 W
19 Mar D.C. United SC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr Toronto FC A 2–1 W
24 Apr Los Angeles FC H 1–2 L
16 Apr Atlanta United FC A 0–0 D
02 Apr Montreal Impact FC H 3–4 L
26 Mar Charlotte FC A 0–2 L
19 Mar Internacional CF Miami H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Toronto FC FC Cincinnati
#13 Position #9
29 Points 33
27 Played 26
6 / 11 / 10 W / D / L 8 / 9 / 9
39 Scored 55
51 Conceded 64
-12 GD -9
1.07 PPG 1.27
22% Win % 31%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A
FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Toronto FC host FC Cincinnati — let the battle begin!
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 15' Toronto FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
  • 20' Nick Markanich has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toronto FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 29' Chris Mavinga makes way for Ifunanyachi Achara at the 29 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
  • 34' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Toronto FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 44' FC Cincinnati is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ian Murphy on 44.
  • 49' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 49 minutes.
  • 50' Alvas Powell has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 50.
  • 52' The Argentina Luciano Acosta breaks the deadlock on 52 minutes. 0-2!
  • 57' Supporters expect more eagerness from Calvin Harris, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 62' Brandon Vazquez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 66' Jesus Jimenez doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 67' FC Cincinnati make a change. Brenner da Silva trudges off to be replaced by Brandon Vazquez on 67 minutes.
  • 72' It’s high time Bob Bradley made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 74' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Ayo Akinola on, Kosi Thompson off on 74 minutes.
  • 79' Luciano Acosta makes way for Calvin Harris at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
  • 84' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 86' Toronto FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 86.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for Nick Markanich. He replaces Dominique Badji on 89 minute.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Cincinnati take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.88 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati 75% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC39% Draw25% FC Cincinnati36%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
64%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
61%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC30% Draw39% FC Cincinnati31%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 2
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
1 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 17% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 17% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.