Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2022 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Apr | New York City FC | A | 4–5 | L |
| 16 Apr | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Apr | Real Salt Lake | A | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Apr | New York City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Mar | D.C. United SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Apr | Los Angeles FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Apr | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Apr | Montreal Impact FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 26 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #9 |
| 29 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 6 / 11 / 10 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 39 | Scored | 55 |
| 51 | Conceded | 64 |
| -12 | GD | -9 |
| 1.07 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 22% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Toronto FC host FC Cincinnati — let the battle begin!
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 15' Toronto FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
- 20' Nick Markanich has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toronto FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 29' Chris Mavinga makes way for Ifunanyachi Achara at the 29 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
- 34' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Toronto FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 44' FC Cincinnati is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ian Murphy on 44.
- 49' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 49 minutes.
- 50' Alvas Powell has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 50.
- 52' The Argentina Luciano Acosta breaks the deadlock on 52 minutes. 0-2!
- 57' Supporters expect more eagerness from Calvin Harris, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 62' Brandon Vazquez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 66' Jesus Jimenez doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 67' FC Cincinnati make a change. Brenner da Silva trudges off to be replaced by Brandon Vazquez on 67 minutes.
- 72' It’s high time Bob Bradley made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 74' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Ayo Akinola on, Kosi Thompson off on 74 minutes.
- 79' Luciano Acosta makes way for Calvin Harris at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 84' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 86' Toronto FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 86.
- 89' The supporters are chanting for Nick Markanich. He replaces Dominique Badji on 89 minute.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Cincinnati take all three points.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 25
- 23
- 4
- 21
- 10
- 27
- 9
-
11
Jayden Nelson ↓ Jordan Perruzza 67'
- 38
-
47
Kosi Thompson ↓ Ayo Akinola 74'
Bench
- 16
-
20
Ayo Akinola ↑ 74'
-
99
Ifunanyachi Achara ↑ 29'
- 8
-
77
Jordan Perruzza ↑ 67'
- 5
- 12
- 81
Coach
Bob Bradley
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
- 2
- 6
- 4
-
10
Luciano Acosta ↓ Calvin Harris 79'
- 93
- 31
- 3
- 9
- 32
- 18
Bench
- 25
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 67'
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↑ 67'
- 23
- 16
-
12
Calvin Harris ↑ 79'
- 29
-
33
Nick Markanich ↑ 89'
- 35
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Luca Orellano | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.88
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati 75% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
64%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
61%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 2
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
1 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.9%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 17% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 17% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

