Sunday , 16 August 2026

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2022 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2022
Sat 30 Apr 2022 · 19:00 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr FC Cincinnati H 1–2 L
24 Apr New York City FC A 4–5 L
16 Apr Philadelphia Union H 2–1 W
10 Apr Real Salt Lake A 2–2 D
02 Apr New York City FC H 2–1 W
19 Mar D.C. United SC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr Toronto FC A 2–1 W
24 Apr Los Angeles FC H 1–2 L
16 Apr Atlanta United FC A 0–0 D
02 Apr Montreal Impact FC H 3–4 L
26 Mar Charlotte FC A 0–2 L
19 Mar Internacional CF Miami H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Toronto FC FC Cincinnati
#12 Position #6
17 Points 26
18 Played 18
3 / 8 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 5 / 6
24 Scored 45
32 Conceded 44
-8 GD +1
0.94 PPG 1.44
17% Win % 39%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Evander 10 G 4 A
Kevin Denkey 10 G 1 A
Tom Barlow 5 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Alvaro Barreal, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 20' It’s high time Bob Bradley made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 29' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Chris Mavinga by Ifunanyachi Achara on 29 minute.
  • 34' Calvin Harris is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toronto FC so far.
  • 39' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 44' What a moment for Ian Murphy! That strike on 44 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 49' Jonathan Osorio is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toronto FC tonight.
  • 50' The referee calls foul for Alvas Powell. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 52' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Luciano Acosta makes it 0-2.
  • 57' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 62' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 66' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jesus Jimenez makes no mistake. 1-2!
  • 67' The whistle greets Brenner da Silva as he departs to be replaced by Brandon Vazquez.
  • 72' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 74' Toronto FC make a change. Kosi Thompson trudges off to be replaced by Ayo Akinola on 74 minutes.
  • 79' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Luciano Acosta is replaced by Calvin Harris on 79 minute.
  • 84' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ifunanyachi Achara on 86.
  • 89' Dominique Badji makes way for Nick Markanich at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Cincinnati take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati 75% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC36% Draw25% FC Cincinnati39%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
60%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
64%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC28% Draw39% FC Cincinnati33%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
4.1%
2 – 0
3.7%
1 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 16% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 18% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 13% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
14%
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.