Saturday , 14 November 2026

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2022 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2022
Sat 30 Apr 2022 · 19:00 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr FC Cincinnati H 1–2 L
24 Apr New York City FC A 4–5 L
16 Apr Philadelphia Union H 2–1 W
10 Apr Real Salt Lake A 2–2 D
02 Apr New York City FC H 2–1 W
19 Mar D.C. United SC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr Toronto FC A 2–1 W
24 Apr Los Angeles FC H 1–2 L
16 Apr Atlanta United FC A 0–0 D
02 Apr Montreal Impact FC H 3–4 L
26 Mar Charlotte FC A 0–2 L
19 Mar Internacional CF Miami H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Toronto FC FC Cincinnati
#12 Position #8
39 Points 46
34 Played 34
9 / 12 / 13 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 12
52 Scored 67
67 Conceded 75
-15 GD -8
1.15 PPG 1.35
26% Win % 35%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Josh Sargent 10 G 4 A
Daniel Salloi 9 G 6 A
FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 17 G 2 A
Evander 14 G 13 A
Tom Barlow 10 G 4 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at BMO Field. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati.
  • 5' Toronto FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' Toronto FC have won 397 goals from 300 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pat Noonan will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 29' Toronto FC ring the changes. Chris Mavinga has done his job and it is now time for Ifunanyachi Achara to step up.
  • 34' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bob Bradley might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 39' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 44' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ian Murphy makes it 0-1.
  • 49' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 50' Poor challenge from Alvas Powell. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 52' What a strike from Luciano Acosta! The score is 0-2.
  • 57' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 62' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jayden Nelson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toronto FC.
  • 66' Jesus Jimenez doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 67' Brandon Vazquez gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Brenner da Silva and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 74' The whistle greets Kosi Thompson as he departs to be replaced by Ayo Akinola.
  • 79' Luciano Acosta makes way for Calvin Harris at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
  • 84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 86' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ifunanyachi Achara.
  • 89' Nick Markanich is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dominique Badji at the 89 minute mark.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Cincinnati take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.8 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati 75% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC38% Draw25% FC Cincinnati37%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.63
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
63%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
62%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC30% Draw40% FC Cincinnati30%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 1
4.3%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
4.2%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 17% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 18% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.