Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Atlanta United FC

1 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Wed 30 Aug 2023 · 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium 42,568 HT 45' · FT 45'

Edwin Mosquera 10' 1–0

1–1 75' Luciano Acosta

1–2 80' Brandon Vazquez

Y 41' Obinna Nwobodo

Matheus Rossetto 60' Y

Tristan Muyumba 72' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Atlanta United FC 14 games · 11 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

Atlanta United FC 17 games · Avg 2.7 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2023-08-30 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-13 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC 2022-04-16 Atlanta United FC 0–0 FC Cincinnati 2021-11-07 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Atlanta United FC 2021-09-15 Atlanta United FC 4–0 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Aug	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
26 Aug	Nashville SC	H	4–0	W
21 Aug	Seattle Sounders FC	A	2–0	W
15 Jul	Orlando City SC	H	1–2	L
12 Jul	New England Revolution	A	1–2	L
08 Jul	Montreal Impact FC	A	1–0	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Aug	Atlanta United FC	A	2–1	W
26 Aug	New York City FC	H	3–0	W
20 Aug	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–3	L
15 Jul	Nashville SC	H	3–1	W
12 Jul	New York Red Bulls	A	2–1	W
08 Jul	Charlotte FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC		FC Cincinnati
#14	Position	#7
11	Points	20
14	Played	15
3 / 2 / 9	W / D / L	5 / 5 / 5
14	Scored	36
23	Conceded	37
-9	GD	-1
0.79	PPG	1.33
21%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Atlanta United FC are 14th (11 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

–/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

1/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/5

31-45

7/3

46-60

3/4

61-75

2/1

76+

8/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Atlanta United FC are looking to make home advantage count against FC Cincinnati.
5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Atlanta United FC that had 283 games and scored 428 goals.
10' What a moment for Edwin Mosquera! That strike on 10 puts his side firmly in control.
15' Miles Robinson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 283 appearances.
20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
25' Roman Celentano has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
30' USA international Brandon Vazquez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gonzalo Pineda might look to freshen things up shortly.
40' It looks surprising Atlanta United FC does not make any changes. Georgios Giakoumakis has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
41' It’s gonna be a card for Obinna Nwobodo.
46' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Santiago Arias on, Bret Halsey off on 46 minutes.
51' Atlanta United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
56' It’s high time Gonzalo Pineda made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
58' Saba Lobzhanidze has so much to prove this time. He replaces Edwin Mosquera on 58 minute.
60' Matheus Rossetto picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
65' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
70' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
71' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Marco Angulo on, Yuya Kubo off on 71 minutes.
72' Controversy at the stadium! Tristan Muyumba argues furiously but the card stands.
75' Luciano Acosta makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and FC Cincinnati are in front.
76' Atlanta United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Amar Sejdic is hanging Xande Silva on the field on 76 minute.
80' Brandon Vazquez puts FC Cincinnati on the lead.
85' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
86' Fresh legs for Atlanta United FC! Tyler Wolff comes on to replace Matheus Rossetto.
90' The whistle greets Luciano Acosta as he departs to be replaced by Malik Pinto.
Another three points for FC Cincinnati.

Lineups

Atlanta United FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

20
Matheus Rossetto ↓ Tyler Wolff 86'
11
Brooks Lennon
4
Luis Abram
1
Brad Guzan
12
Miles Robinson
10
Thiago Almada
16
Xande Silva ↓ Amar Sejdic 76'
8
Tristan Muyumba
21
Edwin Mosquera ↓ Saba Lobzhanidze 58'
26
Caleb Wiley
7
Georgios Giakoumakis

Bench

Coach Gonzalo Pineda

FC Cincinnati Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Josef Martinez	6
Luciano Acosta	4
Evander	2
Thiago Almada	2
Ezequiel Barco	2
Brandon Vazquez	2
Georgios Giakoumakis	2
Luiz Araujo	1

Head to Head

Atlanta United FC Form

2023-08-30 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2023-08-26 Atlanta United FC 4–0 Nashville SC W 2023-08-21 Seattle Sounders FC 0–2 Atlanta United FC W 2023-07-15 Atlanta United FC 1–2 Orlando City SC L 2023-07-12 New England Revolution 2–1 Atlanta United FC L 2023-07-08 Montreal Impact FC 0–1 Atlanta United FC W

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-08-30 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2023-08-26 FC Cincinnati 3–0 New York City FC W 2023-08-20 Columbus Crew SC 3–0 FC Cincinnati L 2023-07-15 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Nashville SC W 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2023-07-08 Charlotte FC 2–2 FC Cincinnati D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.82 Atlanta United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.79 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati 75% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Atlanta United FC38% Draw25% FC Cincinnati37%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.61

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw

63%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

62%

Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Atlanta United FC30% Draw40% FC Cincinnati30%

Actual: Atlanta United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.7%

2 – 1

7.8%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

6.8%

3 – 1

4.7%

2 – 0

4.5%

1 – 3

4.5%

0 – 2

4.4%

1 – 0

4.3%

0 – 1

4.3%

3 – 2

4.2%

2 – 3

4.1%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap	Atlanta United FC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	18%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	17%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.