Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Atlanta United FC

1 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Wed 30 Aug 2023 · 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium 42,568 HT 45' · FT 45'

Edwin Mosquera 10' 1–0

1–1 75' Luciano Acosta

1–2 80' Brandon Vazquez

Y 41' Obinna Nwobodo

Matheus Rossetto 60' Y

Tristan Muyumba 72' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Atlanta United FC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Atlanta United FC 18 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2023-08-30 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-13 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC 2022-04-16 Atlanta United FC 0–0 FC Cincinnati 2021-11-07 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Atlanta United FC 2021-09-15 Atlanta United FC 4–0 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Aug	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
26 Aug	Nashville SC	H	4–0	W
21 Aug	Seattle Sounders FC	A	2–0	W
15 Jul	Orlando City SC	H	1–2	L
12 Jul	New England Revolution	A	1–2	L
08 Jul	Montreal Impact FC	A	1–0	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Aug	Atlanta United FC	A	2–1	W
26 Aug	New York City FC	H	3–0	W
20 Aug	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–3	L
15 Jul	Nashville SC	H	3–1	W
12 Jul	New York Red Bulls	A	2–1	W
08 Jul	Charlotte FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC		FC Cincinnati
#13	Position	#8
33	Points	46
34	Played	34
9 / 6 / 19	W / D / L	12 / 10 / 12
43	Scored	67
60	Conceded	75
-17	GD	-8
0.97	PPG	1.35
26%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

0-15

3/4

16-30

5/6

31-45

4/7

46-60

5/12

61-75

6/8

76+

7/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

6/3

16-30

5/11

31-45

10/11

46-60

8/13

61-75

6/7

76+

17/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

Aleksei Miranchuk

6 G

6 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	17 G	2 A
Evander	14 G	13 A
Tom Barlow	10 G	4 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati is underway.
5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
10' The Colombia Edwin Mosquera breaks the deadlock on 10 minutes. 1-0!
15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Atlanta United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
20' Atlanta United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
25' Luciano Acosta is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Atlanta United FC so far.
30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
35' Colombia international Santiago Arias has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
40' Roman Celentano, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
41' It’s gonna be a card for Obinna Nwobodo.
46' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 46 minute. Bret Halsey leaves to be changed by Santiago Arias.
51' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
56' It is a cagey affair so far. Atlanta United FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact 3-4-1-2.
58' The Atlanta United FC manager makes a substitution. Edwin Mosquera departs to be replaced by Saba Lobzhanidze.
60' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matheus Rossetto on 60.
65' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
70' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
71' FC Cincinnati make a change. Yuya Kubo trudges off to be replaced by Marco Angulo on 71 minutes.
72' The referee has no hesitation. Tristan Muyumba is booked for Atlanta United FC — card on 72.
75' Luciano Acosta doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
76' Another change for Atlanta United FC made on 76 minute. Xande Silva leaves to be changed by Amar Sejdic.
80' Brandon Vazquez puts FC Cincinnati on the lead.
85' Over 85 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
86' Tyler Wolff is replacing Matheus Rossetto for the Atlanta United FC side.
90' Malik Pinto is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luciano Acosta at the 90 minute mark.
Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Atlanta United FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

20
Matheus Rossetto ↓ Tyler Wolff 86'
11
Brooks Lennon
4
Luis Abram
1
Brad Guzan
12
Miles Robinson
10
Thiago Almada
16
Xande Silva ↓ Amar Sejdic 76'
8
Tristan Muyumba
21
Edwin Mosquera ↓ Saba Lobzhanidze 58'
26
Caleb Wiley
7
Georgios Giakoumakis

Bench

Coach Gonzalo Pineda

FC Cincinnati Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Josef Martinez	6
Luciano Acosta	4
Brandon Vazquez	2
Kevin Denkey	2
Georgios Giakoumakis	2
Evander	2
Thiago Almada	2
Ezequiel Barco	2

Head to Head

Atlanta United FC Form

2023-08-30 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2023-08-26 Atlanta United FC 4–0 Nashville SC W 2023-08-21 Seattle Sounders FC 0–2 Atlanta United FC W 2023-07-15 Atlanta United FC 1–2 Orlando City SC L 2023-07-12 New England Revolution 2–1 Atlanta United FC L 2023-07-08 Montreal Impact FC 0–1 Atlanta United FC W

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-08-30 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2023-08-26 FC Cincinnati 3–0 New York City FC W 2023-08-20 Columbus Crew SC 3–0 FC Cincinnati L 2023-07-15 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Nashville SC W 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2023-07-08 Charlotte FC 2–2 FC Cincinnati D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.95 Atlanta United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.67 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati 75% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Atlanta United FC41% Draw25% FC Cincinnati34%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.62

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw

67%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

59%

Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Atlanta United FC34% Draw40% FC Cincinnati26%

Actual: Atlanta United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.6%

2 – 1

8.2%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

6.8%

3 – 1

5.3%

2 – 0

5.1%

1 – 0

4.7%

3 – 2

4.4%

0 – 0

1 – 3

3.9%

0 – 1

3.9%

0 – 2

3.8%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap	Atlanta United FC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	13%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	19%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	16%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	10%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.