Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Bayern Munchen vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS

Wed 15 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Arda Guler
1–2 29' Arda Guler
Harry Kane 38' 2–2
2–3 42' Kylian Mbappe
Luis Diaz 89' 3–3
Michael Olise 90+4' 4–3

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Slavko Vincic
  • Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
  • Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
9 games this season 🟨 5.4/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Apr Real Madrid CF H 4–3 W
11 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 A 5–0 W
07 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W
04 Apr SC Freiburg A 3–2 W
21 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–0 W
18 Mar Atalanta BC H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Apr FC Bayern Munchen A 3–4 L
10 Apr Girona FC H 1–1 D
07 Apr FC Bayern Munchen H 1–2 L
04 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
22 Mar Club Atletico de Madrid H 3–2 W
17 Mar Manchester City FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

FC Bayern Munchen Real Madrid CF
#2 Position #9
21 Points 15
8 Played 8
7 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
22 Scored 21
8 Conceded 12
+14 GD +9
2.63 PPG 1.88
88% Win % 63%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

FC Bayern Munchen are 2nd (21 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen
Michael Olise 2 G 1 A
Harry Kane 1 G 1 A
Alphonso Davies 1 G
Jamal Musiala 1 G
Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 1 G
Federico Valverde 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Bayern Munchen is hosting Real Madrid CF for another epic battle.
  • 1' Arda Guler adds to his 5 season tally! Real Madrid CF lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 6' Aleksandar Pavlovic adds to his 1 season tally! FC Bayern Munchen lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 11' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Bayern Munchen and Real Madrid CF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 16' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 21' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 26' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 29' Arda Guler puts Real Madrid CF on the lead.
  • 29' Josip Stanisic was booked on 29.
  • 34' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 38' Goal! Harry Kane scores his 280 goal in 390 matches.
  • 40' Eder Militao picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 42' Real Madrid CF is taking the lead after the goal scored by Kylian Mbappe on 42.
  • 44' FC Bayern Munchen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' Josip Stanisic makes way for Alphonso Davies at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 51' Real Madrid CF come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 61' Jamal Musiala is ready to make an impact after coming on for Serge Gnabry at the 61 minute mark.
  • 62' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 62 minute. Brahim Diaz leaves to be changed by Eduardo Camavinga.
  • 67' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 70' That looks like a foul for a card for Antonio Rudiger.
  • 75' Ferland Mendy has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 432 appearances.
  • 78' Controversy at the stadium! Eduardo Camavinga argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 83' Real Madrid CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 86' That is a card for Real Madrid CF. Eduardo Camavinga will be fuming at that decision.
  • 89' A goal from the Colombia international Luis Diaz! He fires home on 89 to make it 3-3!
  • 90' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CF — Thiago Pitarch on, Trent Alexander-Arnold off on 90 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.84 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München60% Draw19% Real Madrid CF21%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 49%
51%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
78%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
40%
FC Bayern München or Real Madrid CF
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern München45% Draw34% Real Madrid CF21%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.6%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.5%
4 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 23% — 77%
-2 23% 16% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 18% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 12% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 7% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.