FC Bayern Munchen vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern München 8 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Slavko Vincic
- Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
- Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
9 games this season
🟨 5.4/game
⚽ 12.8 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern Munchen | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 4–3 | W |
| 11 Apr | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 5–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | SC Freiburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 4–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Atalanta BC | H | 4–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr | FC Bayern Munchen | A | 3–4 | L |
| 10 Apr | Girona FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Apr | FC Bayern Munchen | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | RCD Mallorca | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Club Atletico de Madrid | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Mar | Manchester City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Bayern Munchen | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #9 |
| 21 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 7 / 0 / 1 | W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 3 |
| 22 | Scored | 21 |
| 8 | Conceded | 12 |
| +14 | GD | +9 |
| 2.63 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 88% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season
FC Bayern Munchen this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
FC Bayern Munchen are 2nd (21 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Bayern Munchen
| Michael Olise | 2 G | 1 A |
| Harry Kane | 1 G | 1 A |
| Alphonso Davies | 1 G | |
| Jamal Musiala | 1 G |
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 1 G |
| Federico Valverde | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Bayern Munchen is hosting Real Madrid CF for another epic battle.
- 1' Arda Guler adds to his 5 season tally! Real Madrid CF lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 6' Aleksandar Pavlovic adds to his 1 season tally! FC Bayern Munchen lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 11' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Bayern Munchen and Real Madrid CF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 16' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 21' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 26' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 29' Arda Guler puts Real Madrid CF on the lead.
- 29' Josip Stanisic was booked on 29.
- 34' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 38' Goal! Harry Kane scores his 280 goal in 390 matches.
- 40' Eder Militao picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 42' Real Madrid CF is taking the lead after the goal scored by Kylian Mbappe on 42.
- 44' FC Bayern Munchen player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' Josip Stanisic makes way for Alphonso Davies at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
- 51' Real Madrid CF come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 61' Jamal Musiala is ready to make an impact after coming on for Serge Gnabry at the 61 minute mark.
- 62' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 62 minute. Brahim Diaz leaves to be changed by Eduardo Camavinga.
- 67' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 70' That looks like a foul for a card for Antonio Rudiger.
- 75' Ferland Mendy has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 432 appearances.
- 78' Controversy at the stadium! Eduardo Camavinga argues furiously but the card stands.
- 83' Real Madrid CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 86' That is a card for Real Madrid CF. Eduardo Camavinga will be fuming at that decision.
- 89' A goal from the Colombia international Luis Diaz! He fires home on 89 to make it 3-3!
- 90' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CF — Thiago Pitarch on, Trent Alexander-Arnold off on 90 minutes.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-3 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 7
- 1
- 6
- 4
- 2
- 27
- 14
- 17
- 44
- 45
Bench
- 8
- 22
- 19
- 21
- 10
- 3
- 40
- 11
- 37
- 38
Coach
Vincent Kompany
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 12
- 22
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Eduardo Camavinga 62'
- 10
- 23
- 13
- 8
- 7
- 3
- 5
-
15
Arda Guler ↓ Franco Mastantuono 90'
Bench
- 4
- 19
- 2
-
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 62'
- 18
- 20
- 26
- 24
- 16
-
30
Franco Mastantuono ↑ 90'
-
45
Thiago Pitarch ↑ 90'
- 29
Coach
Arbeloa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Joselu | 2 |
| Luis Diaz | 2 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 2 |
| Arda Guler | 2 |
| Alphonso Davies | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern München Form
2026-04-15
FC Bayern Munchen
4–3
Real Madrid CF
L
2026-04-11
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–5
FC Bayern Munchen
W
2026-04-07
Real Madrid CF
1–2
FC Bayern Munchen
W
2026-04-04
SC Freiburg
2–3
FC Bayern Munchen
W
2026-03-21
FC Bayern Munchen
4–0
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2026-03-18
FC Bayern Munchen
4–1
Atalanta BC
L
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.84
FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern München or Draw
78%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
40%
FC Bayern München or Real Madrid CF
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.6%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.5%
4 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München
| Handicap | FC Bayern München covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 16% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 18% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

