FC Bayern München vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern München vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
- Assistant 1 Nikolai Kimmeyer
- Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak
17 games this season 🟨 1.2/game ⚽ 6.8 goals/game 🟥 3 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Bayern München 34 89 2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73 3 RB Leipzig 34 65 4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62 5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61 6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59 7 SC Freiburg 34 47 8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44 9 FC Augsburg 34 43 10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40 11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39 12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38 13 Hamburger SV 34 38 14 1. FC Koln 34 32 15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32 16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29 17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26 18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 01 Feb Holstein Kiel H 4–3 W 29 Jan SK Slovan Bratislava H 3–1 W 25 Jan SC Freiburg A 2–1 W 22 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–3 L 18 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 3–2 W 15 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 5–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 01 Feb FC Bayern München A 3–4 L 24 Jan VfL Wolfsburg A 2–2 D 18 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–3 L 14 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 4–2 W 11 Jan SC Freiburg A 2–3 L 21 Dec FC Augsburg H 5–1 W Key Stats
100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this seasonGoal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München0-153/116-301/431-454/246-606/161-753/176+8/2■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Bayern München is hosting Holstein Kiel for another epic battle.
- 5' Holstein Kiel is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. David Zec made 277 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 19' Goal! Jamal Musiala scores his 73 goal in 540 matches.
- 24' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 29' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Bayern München needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 34' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 39' The travelling Holstein Kiel supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 44' Holstein Kiel started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
- 46' What an equalizer from Harry Kane!
- 46' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Michael Olise is replaced by Serge Gnabry.
- 48' GOAL! Harry Kane scores on 45. Assisted by Kingsley Coman
- 53' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 54' Goal! Serge Gnabry scores his 105 goal in 540 matches.
- 58' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Aleksandar Pavlovic is replaced by Joao Palhinha.
- 61' Magnus Knudsen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Armin Gigovic on 61 minute.
- 62' GOAL! Finn Porath scores on 62. Assisted by Timo Becker
- 67' Min-Jae Kim needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 15 Yellow cards this season.
- 71' Jann-Fiete Arp has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lasse Rosenboom on 71 minute.
- 76' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 78' The referee shows FC Bayern Munchen player a card on 78.
- 81' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 81.
- 82' The whistle greets John Tolkin as he departs to be replaced by Marko Ivezic.
- 85' The whistle greets Raphael Guerreiro as he departs to be replaced by Adam Aznou.
- 90' Holstein Kiel seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- With this win, FC Bayern München is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
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Lineups
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 1
- 6
- 11
- 22
- 2
- 27
- 17
- 42
- 3
- 45
Bench
- 10
- 15
- 7
- 25
- 16
- 23
- 44
- 40
- 49
Coach Vincent KompanyHolstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 10
- 1
- 8
- 17
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47
John Tolkin ↓ Marko Ivezic 82'
- 3
- 33
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37
Armin Gigovic ↓ Magnus Knudsen 61'
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19
Phil Harres ↓ Andu Yobel Kelati 82'
- 23
- 26
Bench
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 71'
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7
Steven Skrzybski ↑ 61'
- 18
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24
Magnus Knudsen ↑ 61'
- 9
- 21
- 14
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6
Marko Ivezic ↑ 82'
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16
Andu Yobel Kelati ↑ 82'
Coach Marcel Rapp -
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Harry Kane 5 Jamal Musiala 2 Serge Gnabry 2 Michael Olise 1 Armin Gigovic 1 Steven Skrzybski 1 Finn Porath 1 Leroy Sane 1 Head to Head
FC Bayern München Form
2025-02-01 FC Bayern München 4–3 Holstein Kiel W 2025-01-29 FC Bayern München 3–1 SK Slovan Bratislava W 2025-01-25 SC Freiburg 1–2 FC Bayern München W 2025-01-22 Feyenoord Rotterdam 3–0 FC Bayern München L 2025-01-18 FC Bayern München 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-01-15 FC Bayern München 5–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W -
Predictions
Prediction accuracy4 / 42.53 FC Bayern München xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.59 Holstein Kiel xGI would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 73%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 4.12Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 97% 3% ± 1.5 91% 9% ± 2.5 76% 24% ± 3.5 58% 42% ± 4.5 39% 61% Double Chance
FC Bayern München or Draw 79%Draw or Holstein Kiel 41%FC Bayern München or Holstein Kiel 80%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HTCorrect Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual2 – 1 8.1%1 – 1 7.3%3 – 1 6.7%2 – 2 6.3%2 – 0 5.3%3 – 2 5.3%1 – 2 5.1%3 – 0 4.4%4 – 1 4.2%1 – 0 3.8%4 – 2 3.4%2 – 3 3.4%Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München
Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push Holstein Kiel covers -2.5 21% — 79% -2 21% 17% 63% -1.5 37% — 63% -1 37% 20% 43% -0.5 57% — 43% +0.5 77% — 23% +1 77% 12% 11% +1.5 89% — 11% +2 89% 7% 4% +2.5 96% — 4% Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet 21% ✓Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet 9% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

