FC Bayern München vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern München vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern München 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
- Assistant 1 Nikolai Kimmeyer
- Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | Holstein Kiel | H | 4–3 | W |
| 29 Jan | SK Slovan Bratislava | H | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Jan | SC Freiburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Jan | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Jan | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 5–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | FC Bayern München | A | 3–4 | L |
| 24 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jan | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | H | 4–2 | W |
| 11 Jan | SC Freiburg | A | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Dec | FC Augsburg | H | 5–1 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Holstein Kiel gets underway.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincent Kompany might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 19' Magnificent from Jamal Musiala! That is 73 goals in 540 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 24' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 29' With 0 assists to his name this season, Andu Yobel Kelati is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Holstein Kiel.
- 34' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 39' Over 39 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 44' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 46' The deadlock is broken! Harry Kane gets on the scoresheet on 46 minutes.
- 46' Serge Gnabry gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Michael Olise and will look to change the dynamic.
- 48' A goal from the England international Harry Kane! He fires home on 45 to make it 0-3!
- 53' Holstein Kiel fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 54' GOAL! Serge Gnabry scores on 54.
- 58' Aleksandar Pavlovic makes way for Joao Palhinha at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
- 61' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Armin Gigovic by Magnus Knudsen on 61 minute.
- 62' Brilliant from the ! Finn Porath makes it 0-5 with a superb finish on 62.
- 67' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern München is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 71' Holstein Kiel ring the changes. Lasse Rosenboom has done his job and it is now time for Jann-Fiete Arp to step up.
- 76' Holstein Kiel come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 78' Konrad Laimer has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
- 81' The referee does not hesitate — a card for David Zec on 81 minutes.
- 82' Fresh legs for Holstein Kiel! Marko Ivezic comes on to replace John Tolkin.
- 85' The whistle greets Raphael Guerreiro as he departs to be replaced by Adam Aznou.
- 90' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- Another three points for FC Bayern München.
Lineups
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 1
- 6
- 11
- 22
- 2
- 27
- 17
- 42
- 3
- 45
Bench
- 10
- 15
- 7
- 25
- 16
- 23
- 44
- 40
- 49
Coach
Vincent Kompany
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 10
- 1
- 8
- 17
-
47
John Tolkin ↓ Marko Ivezic 82'
- 3
- 33
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↓ Magnus Knudsen 61'
-
19
Phil Harres ↓ Andu Yobel Kelati 82'
- 23
- 26
Bench
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 71'
-
7
Steven Skrzybski ↑ 61'
- 18
-
24
Magnus Knudsen ↑ 61'
- 9
- 21
- 14
-
6
Marko Ivezic ↑ 82'
-
16
Andu Yobel Kelati ↑ 82'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Serge Gnabry | 2 |
| Jamal Musiala | 2 |
| Finn Porath | 1 |
| Leroy Sane | 1 |
| Fin Bartels | 1 |
| Hauke Finn Wahl | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern München Form
2025-02-01
FC Bayern München
4–3
Holstein Kiel
W
2025-01-29
FC Bayern München
3–1
SK Slovan Bratislava
W
2025-01-25
SC Freiburg
1–2
FC Bayern München
W
2025-01-22
Feyenoord Rotterdam
3–0
FC Bayern München
L
2025-01-18
FC Bayern München
3–2
VfL Wolfsburg
W
2025-01-15
FC Bayern München
5–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.53
FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.12
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern München or Draw
79%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
41%
FC Bayern München or Holstein Kiel
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 1
7.3%
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
5.3%
3 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.4%
4 – 1
4.2%
1 – 0
3.8%
4 – 2
3.4%
2 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München
| Handicap | FC Bayern München covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 17% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 20% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.