Wednesday , 23 September 2026

FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–4 L
14 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–2 L
30 Aug FC Bayern Munchen H 2–3 L
23 Aug SC Freiburg A 3–1 W
17 Aug Hallescher FC A 2–0 W
17 May 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep FC Augsburg A 4–1 W
13 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–1 L
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
24 Aug 1. FC Koln H 0–1 L
18 Aug SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–0 W
17 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D

Season Stats

FC Augsburg 1. FSV Mainz 05
#4 Position #6
7 Points 7
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
11 Scored 10
6 Conceded 6
+5 GD +4
1.75 PPG 1.75
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
FC Augsburg this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

FC Augsburg are 4th (7 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Augsburg
0-15
/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
/
46-60
5/
61-75
1/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
/2
16-30
2/
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Augsburg Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78 FC Augsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.19 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: FC Augsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Augsburg32% Draw24% 1. FSV Mainz 0544%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

FC Augsburg or Draw
56%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
68%
FC Augsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Augsburg26% Draw38% 1. FSV Mainz 0536%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
5.6%
2 – 3
5%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.7%
0 – 3
3.3%
1 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — FC Augsburg

Handicap FC Augsburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 9% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 15% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 19% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 14% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

FC Augsburg keeps clean sheet
12%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.