CD Nacional vs FC Porto, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs FC Porto — Primeira Liga .
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
- FC Porto 34 games · 88 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee
4 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 1.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb | FC Porto | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Feb | Casa Pia AC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Feb | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Jan | Rio Ave FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Jan | Gil Vicente FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Jan | CD Santa Clara | H | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb | CD Nacional | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Feb | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Feb | Casa Pia AC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Jan | Rangers FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Jan | Gil Vicente FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Jan | FC Viktoria Plzen | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | FC Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #1 |
| 34 | Points | 88 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 7 / 18 | W / D / L | 28 / 4 / 2 |
| 37 | Scored | 66 |
| 45 | Conceded | 18 |
| -8 | GD | +48 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 2.59 |
| 26% | Win % | 82% |
Key Stats
13%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
62%
Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season
FC Porto this season
CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). FC Porto are 1st (88 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Porto
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: CD Nacional gets underway.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
FC Porto Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Moussa Marega | 2 |
| Yacine Brahimi | 2 |
| Alex Telles | 1 |
| Oliver Torres | 1 |
| Sergio Oliveira | 1 |
| Mehdi Taremi | 1 |
| Dudu | 1 |
| Ze Vitor | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.68
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45
FC Porto xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Porto win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.13
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
49%
Draw or FC Porto
80%
CD Nacional or FC Porto
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
14.1%
1 – 1
12.5%
0 – 2
12%
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
6.9%
0 – 3
5.7%
1 – 3
4.1%
2 – 1
3.8%
2 – 2
2.9%
2 – 0
2.6%
0 – 4
2.1%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | FC Porto covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 12% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 26% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

