Thursday , 2 July 2026

CD Nacional vs Rio Ave FC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
4 0
Full Time
Sun 25 Jan 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs Rio Ave FCPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Iancu Vasilica
7 games this season 🟨 2.1/game 8.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Rio Ave FC H 4–0 W
17 Jan Gil Vicente FC A 1–2 L
11 Jan CD Santa Clara H 3–3 D
02 Jan Vitória SC A 1–2 L
21 Dec AVS A 2–2 D
15 Dec CD Tondela H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan CD Nacional A 0–4 L
17 Jan Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–2 L
04 Jan Casa Pia AC H 3–1 W
28 Dec Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–4 L
20 Dec Gil Vicente FC A 2–2 D
13 Dec Vitória SC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

CD Nacional Rio Ave FC
#14 Position #12
34 Points 36
34 Played 34
9 / 7 / 18 W / D / L 8 / 12 / 14
37 Scored 35
45 Conceded 57
-8 GD -22
1.00 PPG 1.06
26% Win % 24%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
18% Clean Sheets
Rio Ave FC this season

CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). Rio Ave FC are 12th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Rio Ave FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
/3
46-60
3/
61-75
/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • The final score is 4-0.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

Rio Ave FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.3 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Rio Ave FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + CD Nacional to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional60% Draw22% Rio Ave FC18%
Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
82%
Draw or Rio Ave FC
40%
CD Nacional or Rio Ave FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional46% Draw39% Rio Ave FC15%
Actual: CD Nacional win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
9%
1 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
4.8%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 0
Actual

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push Rio Ave FC covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 19% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 22% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
34%
Rio Ave FC keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.