Saturday , 14 November 2026

Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Casa Pia AC
3 – 2
Full Time
FC Arouca
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Diogo Rosa (Portugal)
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 20.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 11 33
2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 11 28
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 11 24
4 CD Santa Clara 11 21
5 FC Arouca 11 20
6 Académico de Viseu FC 11 20
7 Gil Vicente FC 11 18
8 Sporting Clube de Braga 11 17
9 Moreirense FC 11 14
10 FC Famalicão 11 13
11 FC Alverca 11 12
12 CF Estrela da Amadora 11 10
13 CD Nacional 11 10
14 Vitória SC 11 9
15 CS Marítimo 10 8
16 Casa Pia AC 11 8
17 Rio Ave FC 11 7
18 GD Estoril Praia 10 2

Head-to-Head

5
2
1
Casa Pia AC 8 games · Avg 1.9 goals FC Arouca
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-14 Casa Pia AC 3–2 FC Arouca 2025-09-14 FC Arouca 0–2 Casa Pia AC 2025-05-04 FC Arouca 0–0 Casa Pia AC 2024-12-20 Casa Pia AC 3–1 FC Arouca 2024-02-18 Casa Pia AC 1–0 FC Arouca

Recent Form

Casa Pia AC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb FC Arouca H 3–2 W
08 Feb CD Nacional A 0–0 D
02 Feb FC Porto H 2–1 W
23 Jan AVS H 3–3 D
16 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–3 L
04 Jan Rio Ave FC A 1–3 L
FC Arouca
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Casa Pia AC A 2–3 L
07 Feb Vitória SC H 3–2 W
31 Jan Rio Ave FC A 3–0 W
24 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–2 L
17 Jan AVS A 1–0 W
03 Jan CD Tondela A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Casa Pia AC FC Arouca
#16 Position #5
8 Points 20
11 Played 11
2 / 2 / 7 W / D / L 6 / 2 / 3
6 Scored 13
20 Conceded 8
-14 GD +5
0.73 PPG 1.82
18% Win % 55%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season
55% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season

Casa Pia AC are 16th (8 pts). FC Arouca are 5th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Casa Pia AC
0-15
–/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/4
61-75
1/5
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Casa Pia AC
Silvi 2 G
FC Arouca
Barbero 5 G
Jose Fontan 2 G
Dylan Nandin 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Casa Pia AC Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafa Mujica 2
Leonardo Lelo 1
Samuel Obeng 1
Felippe Cardoso 1
Clayton 1
Alfonso Trezza 1
Jeremy Livolant 1

Head to Head

2026-02-14 Casa Pia AC 3–2 FC Arouca 2025-09-14 FC Arouca 0–2 Casa Pia AC 2025-05-04 FC Arouca 0–0 Casa Pia AC 2024-12-20 Casa Pia AC 3–1 FC Arouca 2024-02-18 Casa Pia AC 1–0 FC Arouca

Casa Pia AC Form

2026-02-14 Casa Pia AC 3–2 FC Arouca W 2026-02-08 CD Nacional 0–0 Casa Pia AC D 2026-02-02 Casa Pia AC 2–1 FC Porto W 2026-01-23 Casa Pia AC 3–3 AVS D 2026-01-16 Sporting Clube de Portugal 3–0 Casa Pia AC L 2026-01-04 Rio Ave FC 3–1 Casa Pia AC L

FC Arouca Form

2026-02-14 Casa Pia AC 3–2 FC Arouca L 2026-02-07 FC Arouca 3–2 Vitória SC W 2026-01-31 Rio Ave FC 0–3 FC Arouca W 2026-01-24 FC Arouca 1–2 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2026-01-17 AVS 0–1 FC Arouca W 2026-01-03 CD Tondela 3–1 FC Arouca L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Casa Pia AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 FC Arouca xG
I would bet for: Casa Pia AC or FC Arouca 74% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Casa Pia AC38% Draw26% FC Arouca36%
Actual: Casa Pia AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Casa Pia AC or Draw
64%
Draw or FC Arouca
62%
Casa Pia AC or FC Arouca
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Casa Pia AC23% Draw46% FC Arouca31%
Actual: Casa Pia AC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Casa Pia AC

Handicap Casa Pia AC covers Push FC Arouca covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 21% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.