Thursday , 2 July 2026

Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Casa Pia AC
3 – 2
Full Time
FC Arouca
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Diogo Rosa (Portugal)
5 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 5.6 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 34 88
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 34 82
3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 34 80
4 Sporting Clube de Braga 34 59
5 FC Famalicão 34 56
6 Gil Vicente FC 34 50
7 Moreirense FC 34 43
8 FC Arouca 34 42
9 Vitória SC 34 42
10 GD Estoril Praia 34 39
11 FC Alverca 34 39
12 Rio Ave FC 34 36
13 CD Santa Clara 34 36
14 CD Nacional 34 34
15 CF Estrela da Amadora 34 30
16 Casa Pia AC 34 30
17 CD Tondela 34 28
18 AVS 34 21

Head-to-Head

5
2
1
Casa Pia AC 8 games · Avg 1.9 goals FC Arouca
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-14 Casa Pia AC 3–2 FC Arouca 2025-09-14 FC Arouca 0–2 Casa Pia AC 2025-05-04 FC Arouca 0–0 Casa Pia AC 2024-12-20 Casa Pia AC 3–1 FC Arouca 2024-02-18 Casa Pia AC 1–0 FC Arouca

Recent Form

Casa Pia AC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb FC Arouca H 3–2 W
08 Feb CD Nacional A 0–0 D
02 Feb FC Porto H 2–1 W
23 Jan AVS H 3–3 D
16 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–3 L
04 Jan Rio Ave FC A 1–3 L
FC Arouca
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Casa Pia AC A 2–3 L
07 Feb Vitória SC H 3–2 W
31 Jan Rio Ave FC A 3–0 W
24 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–2 L
17 Jan AVS A 1–0 W
03 Jan CD Tondela A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Casa Pia AC FC Arouca
#16 Position #8
30 Points 42
34 Played 34
6 / 12 / 16 W / D / L 12 / 6 / 16
31 Scored 47
57 Conceded 64
-26 GD -17
0.88 PPG 1.24
18% Win % 35%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season
21% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season

Casa Pia AC are 16th (30 pts). FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Casa Pia AC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Casa Pia AC Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafa Mujica 2
Clayton 1
Alfonso Trezza 1
Jeremy Livolant 1
Leonardo Lelo 1
Samuel Obeng 1
Felippe Cardoso 1

Head to Head

2026-02-14 Casa Pia AC 3–2 FC Arouca 2025-09-14 FC Arouca 0–2 Casa Pia AC 2025-05-04 FC Arouca 0–0 Casa Pia AC 2024-12-20 Casa Pia AC 3–1 FC Arouca 2024-02-18 Casa Pia AC 1–0 FC Arouca

Casa Pia AC Form

2026-02-14 Casa Pia AC 3–2 FC Arouca W 2026-02-08 CD Nacional 0–0 Casa Pia AC D 2026-02-02 Casa Pia AC 2–1 FC Porto W 2026-01-23 Casa Pia AC 3–3 AVS D 2026-01-16 Sporting Clube de Portugal 3–0 Casa Pia AC L 2026-01-04 Rio Ave FC 3–1 Casa Pia AC L

FC Arouca Form

2026-02-14 Casa Pia AC 3–2 FC Arouca L 2026-02-07 FC Arouca 3–2 Vitória SC W 2026-01-31 Rio Ave FC 0–3 FC Arouca W 2026-01-24 FC Arouca 1–2 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2026-01-17 AVS 0–1 FC Arouca W 2026-01-03 CD Tondela 3–1 FC Arouca L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78 Casa Pia AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 FC Arouca xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Casa Pia AC47% Draw24% FC Arouca29%
Actual: Casa Pia AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Casa Pia AC or Draw
71%
Draw or FC Arouca
53%
Casa Pia AC or FC Arouca
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Casa Pia AC32% Draw42% FC Arouca26%
Actual: Casa Pia AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
5.6%
2 – 0
5.6%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Casa Pia AC

Handicap Casa Pia AC covers Push FC Arouca covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 19% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.