Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Arouca vs Vitória SC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
3 2
Full Time
Sat 7 Feb 2026 · 20:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Arouca vs Vitória SCPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Miguel Fonseca (Portugal)
6 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 9.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb Vitória SC H 3–2 W
31 Jan Rio Ave FC A 3–0 W
24 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–2 L
17 Jan AVS A 1–0 W
03 Jan CD Tondela A 1–3 L
28 Dec Gil Vicente FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb FC Arouca A 2–3 L
30 Jan Moreirense FC H 1–0 W
24 Jan GD Estoril Praia A 2–4 L
18 Jan FC Porto H 0–1 L
02 Jan CD Nacional H 2–1 W
28 Dec Casa Pia AC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

FC Arouca Vitória SC
#8 Position #9
42 Points 42
34 Played 34
12 / 6 / 16 W / D / L 12 / 6 / 16
47 Scored 39
64 Conceded 51
-17 GD -12
1.24 PPG 1.24
35% Win % 35%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
29% Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season

FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts). Vitória SC are 9th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Vitória SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
/1
46-60
2/
61-75
3/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

Vitória SC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94 FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 Vitória SC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 70% + Over 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Arouca46% Draw23% Vitória SC31%
Actual: FC Arouca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

FC Arouca or Draw
69%
Draw or Vitória SC
54%
FC Arouca or Vitória SC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Arouca33% Draw40% Vitória SC27%
Actual: Vitória SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
4%
0 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.9%
0 – 1
3.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Arouca

Handicap FC Arouca covers Push Vitória SC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 13% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 19% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 16% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
19%
Vitória SC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.