Gil Vicente FC vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2025-26

Gil Vicente FC

2 – 1

Full Time

CD Nacional

Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gil Vicente FC vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga .

Gil Vicente FC 11 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
CD Nacional 11 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Miguel Nogueira

7 games this season 🟨 4.6/game ⚽ 11.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Porto	11	33
2	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	11	28
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	11	24
4	CD Santa Clara	11	21
5	FC Arouca	11	20
6	Académico de Viseu FC	11	20
7	Gil Vicente FC	11	18
8	Sporting Clube de Braga	11	17
9	Moreirense FC	11	14
10	FC Famalicão	11	13
11	FC Alverca	11	12
12	CF Estrela da Amadora	11	10
13	CD Nacional	11	10
14	Vitória SC	11	9
15	CS Marítimo	10	8
16	Casa Pia AC	11	8
17	Rio Ave FC	11	7
18	GD Estoril Praia	10	2

Head-to-Head

Gil Vicente FC 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals CD Nacional

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-17 Gil Vicente FC 2–1 CD Nacional 2025-08-09 CD Nacional 0–2 Gil Vicente FC 2025-04-19 CD Nacional 0–3 Gil Vicente FC 2024-12-07 Gil Vicente FC 2–1 CD Nacional 2021-03-19 Gil Vicente FC 2–0 CD Nacional

Recent Form

Gil Vicente FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jan	CD Nacional	H	2–1	W
02 Jan	Sporting Clube de Portugal	H	1–1	D
28 Dec	FC Arouca	A	2–2	D
20 Dec	Rio Ave FC	H	2–2	D
13 Dec	Casa Pia AC	A	1–1	D
08 Dec	Vitória SC	A	0–0	D

CD Nacional

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jan	Gil Vicente FC	A	1–2	L
11 Jan	CD Santa Clara	H	3–3	D
02 Jan	Vitória SC	A	1–2	L
21 Dec	AVS	A	2–2	D
15 Dec	CD Tondela	H	3–1	W
07 Dec	FC Alverca	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Gil Vicente FC		CD Nacional
#7	Position	#13
18	Points	10
11	Played	11
5 / 3 / 3	W / D / L	3 / 1 / 7
10	Scored	11
8	Conceded	19
+2	GD	-8
1.64	PPG	0.91
45%	Win %	27%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

45% Clean Sheets
Gil Vicente FC this season

27% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Gil Vicente FC are 7th (18 pts). CD Nacional are 13th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gil Vicente FC

0-15

2/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/–

61-75

–/1

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

CD Nacional

0-15

1/3

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/7

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/4

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gil Vicente FC

Hector Hernandez	3 G	1 A
Walace	3 G
Murilo	2 G	2 A
Gil Martins	1 G

CD Nacional

Matchoi Djalo	2 G
Miguel Baeza	2 G
Abdel Kader Njoya	2 G
Liziero	1 G	1 A
Leo Santos	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Gil Vicente FC host CD Nacional — let the battle begin!
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Gil Vicente FC players.

Lineups

Gil Vicente FC Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Felix Correia	2
Pedro Marques	1
Samuel	1
Ulisses	1
Ruben Fernandes	1
Santi Garcia	1
Pablo Felipe	1
Joao Camacho	1

Head to Head

Gil Vicente FC Form

2026-01-17 Gil Vicente FC 2–1 CD Nacional W 2026-01-02 Gil Vicente FC 1–1 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 2025-12-28 FC Arouca 2–2 Gil Vicente FC D 2025-12-20 Gil Vicente FC 2–2 Rio Ave FC D 2025-12-13 Casa Pia AC 1–1 Gil Vicente FC D 2025-12-08 Vitória SC 0–0 Gil Vicente FC D

CD Nacional Form

2026-01-17 Gil Vicente FC 2–1 CD Nacional L 2026-01-11 CD Nacional 3–3 CD Santa Clara D 2026-01-02 Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional L 2025-12-21 AVS 2–2 CD Nacional D 2025-12-15 CD Nacional 3–1 CD Tondela W 2025-12-07 FC Alverca 1–0 CD Nacional L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.69 Gil Vicente FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.72 CD Nacional xG

I would bet for: Gil Vicente FC to win 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Gil Vicente FC61% Draw24% CD Nacional15%

Actual: Gil Vicente FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.41

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Gil Vicente FC or Draw

85%

Draw or CD Nacional

39%

Gil Vicente FC or CD Nacional

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Gil Vicente FC40% Draw48% CD Nacional12%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

14.4%

2 – 0

12.5%

1 – 1

11.7%

0 – 0

11.1%

2 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

6.9%

0 – 1

5.5%

3 – 1

5.1%

1 – 2

3.7%

2 – 2

3.2%

4 – 0

2.9%

4 – 1

2.2%

Asian Handicap — Gil Vicente FC

Handicap	Gil Vicente FC covers	Push	CD Nacional covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	19%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	26%	41%
-0.5	59%	—	41%
+0.5	86%	—	14%
+1	86%	10%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Gil Vicente FC keeps clean sheet

49% ✓

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.