Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Gil Vicente FC vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gil Vicente FC vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Miguel Nogueira
4 games this season 🟨 4.5/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan CD Nacional H 2–1 W
02 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–1 D
28 Dec FC Arouca A 2–2 D
20 Dec Rio Ave FC H 2–2 D
13 Dec Casa Pia AC A 1–1 D
08 Dec Vitória SC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Gil Vicente FC A 1–2 L
11 Jan CD Santa Clara H 3–3 D
02 Jan Vitória SC A 1–2 L
21 Dec AVS A 2–2 D
15 Dec CD Tondela H 3–1 W
07 Dec FC Alverca A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Gil Vicente FC CD Nacional
#10 Position #15
8 Points 4
6 Played 7
2 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 5
5 Scored 7
5 Conceded 15
+0 GD -8
1.33 PPG 0.57
33% Win % 14%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Gil Vicente FC this season
14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Gil Vicente FC are 10th (8 pts). CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gil Vicente FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gil Vicente FC
Hector Hernandez 3 G 1 A
Gil Martins 1 G
CD Nacional
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Miguel Baeza 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Gil Vicente FC Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.75 Gil Vicente FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: Gil Vicente FC to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gil Vicente FC62% Draw24% CD Nacional14%
Actual: Gil Vicente FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Gil Vicente FC or Draw
85%
Draw or CD Nacional
38%
Gil Vicente FC or CD Nacional
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Gil Vicente FC41% Draw47% CD Nacional12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.7%
2 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
11.5%
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.4%
4 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Gil Vicente FC

Handicap Gil Vicente FC covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 19% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 25% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Gil Vicente FC keeps clean sheet
48% ✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.