São Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Jul | EC Juventude | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Jul | RB Bragantino | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | São Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Aug | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Jul | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Jul | SC Recife | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Jul | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Jul | Botafogo FR | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| São Paulo FC | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #13 |
| 36 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 28 |
| 10 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 13 |
| 32 | Scored | 28 |
| 30 | Conceded | 42 |
| +2 | GD | -14 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 37% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Sao Paulo FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Brazil international Marcos Antonio has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alan Franco made 168 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' Goal! Damian Bobadilla scores his 6 goal in 12 matches.
- 25' Aitor Cantalapiedra has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 30' EC Vitoria fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 32' Poor challenge from Ze Marcos. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 37' Sao Paulo FC have won 411 goals from 377 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 42' Ronald picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 44' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 49' Lucas Halter, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 54' Supporters expect more eagerness from Renzo Lopez, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 59' The travelling EC Vitoria supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 60' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 60.
- 63' The referee has no hesitation. Ramon is booked for EC Vitoria — card on 63.
- 65' The referee has no hesitation. Alan Franco is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 65.
- 65' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Ferreira departs to be replaced by Luan.
- 70' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 71' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Aitor Cantalapiedra comes on to replace Carlos Eduardo.
- 76' Sao Paulo FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against EC Vitoria's shape.
- 77' The supporters are chanting for Lucas Moura. He replaces Andre Silva on 77 minute.
- 81' Ruben Rodrigues gets the nod from EC Vitoria. He replaces Ricardo Ryller and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' Magnificent from Jose Sabino! That is 8 goals in 290 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 88' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Damian Bobadilla exits the field as Pablo Maia enters on 88.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sao Paulo FC 2-0 EC Vitoria.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 28
- 35
- 13
- 17
- 32
- 11
- 23
- 15
- 21
- 42
Bench
- 10
- 33
- 6
- 7
- 36
- 29
- 50
- 43
- 37
- 19
- 14
- 48
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 28
- 79
- 43
- 5
- 13
-
11
Osvaldo ↓ Renzo Lopez 81'
- 3
- 8
- 22
- 1
- 7
Bench
-
17
Aitor Cantalapiedra ↑ 71'
- 77
-
23
Fabricio ↑ 71'
-
20
Ruben Rodrigues ↑ 81'
- 35
-
31
Renzo Lopez ↑ 81'
- 12
- 76
- 99
- 66
Coach
Fabio Carille
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.59
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
São Paulo FC to win 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
89%
Draw or EC Vitoria
34%
São Paulo FC or EC Vitoria
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: São Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.1%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
2.7%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 1
2.4%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 20% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
56%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

