São Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Jul | EC Juventude | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Jul | RB Bragantino | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | São Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Aug | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Jul | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Jul | SC Recife | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Jul | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Jul | Botafogo FR | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| São Paulo FC | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #16 |
| 44 | Points | 38 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 8 / 14 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 16 |
| 39 | Scored | 35 |
| 39 | Conceded | 51 |
| +0 | GD | -16 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 1.12 |
| 35% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts). EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Sao Paulo FC have kicked off against EC Vitoria. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' EC Vitoria looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Caca scoring 1 goals.
- 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sao Paulo FC and EC Vitoria are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 15' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' Goal! Damian Bobadilla scores his 7 goal in 12 matches.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ricardo Ryller made 438 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 30' Andre Silva is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sao Paulo FC so far.
- 32' Poor challenge from Ze Marcos. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 37' Ruben Rodrigues is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Vitoria tonight.
- 42' Ronald was booked on 42.
- 44' Controversy at the stadium! Enzo Diaz argues furiously but the card stands.
- 49' EC Vitoria are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 54' The 30-year-old Jose Sabino has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 59' Sao Paulo FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Vitoria backline.
- 60' Sao Paulo FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 60.
- 63' Ramon was booked on 63.
- 65' Alan Franco has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 65.
- 65' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Ferreira has done his job and it is now time for Luan to step up.
- 70' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 71' A change in the EC Vitoria ranks — Carlos Eduardo exits the field as Aitor Cantalapiedra enters on 71.
- 76' Rodrigo Huendra has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 77' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 77 minute. Andre Silva leaves to be changed by Lucas Moura.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for Ruben Rodrigues. He replaces Ricardo Ryller on 81 minute.
- 86' GOAL! Jose Sabino scores on 86. Assisted by Nahuel Ferraresi
- 88' Pablo Maia gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Damian Bobadilla and will look to change the dynamic.
- With this win, Sao Paulo FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 28
- 35
- 13
- 17
- 32
- 11
- 23
- 15
- 21
- 42
Bench
- 10
- 33
- 6
- 7
- 36
- 29
- 50
- 43
- 37
- 19
- 14
- 48
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 28
- 79
- 43
- 5
- 13
-
11
Osvaldo ↓ Renzo Lopez 81'
- 3
- 8
- 22
- 1
- 7
Bench
-
17
Aitor Cantalapiedra ↑ 71'
- 77
-
23
Fabricio ↑ 71'
-
20
Ruben Rodrigues ↑ 81'
- 35
-
31
Renzo Lopez ↑ 81'
- 12
- 76
- 99
- 66
Coach
Fabio Carille
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 1 |
| Nahuel Ferraresi | 1 |
| Alerrandro | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.75
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.61
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
São Paulo FC to win 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
88%
Draw or EC Vitoria
35%
São Paulo FC or EC Vitoria
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: São Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
8.6%
3 – 0
8%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 1
4.8%
4 – 0
3.5%
1 – 2
2.9%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 26% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
55%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

