Saturday , 26 September 2026

São Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 9 Aug 2025 · 21:30 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 32' Ze Marcos
Y 42' Ronald
Enzo Diaz 44' Y
Maik 60' Y
Y 63' Ramon
Alan Franco 65' Y

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
03 Aug SC Internacional A 2–1 W
27 Jul Fluminense FC H 3–1 W
24 Jul EC Juventude A 1–0 W
20 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W
17 Jul RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug São Paulo FC A 0–2 L
03 Aug SE Palmeiras H 2–2 D
26 Jul Mirassol FC A 1–1 D
24 Jul SC Recife H 2–2 D
20 Jul RB Bragantino H 1–0 W
17 Jul Botafogo FR A 0–0 D

Season Stats

São Paulo FC EC Vitoria
#11 Position #13
36 Points 33
27 Played 28
10 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 13
32 Scored 28
30 Conceded 42
+2 GD -14
1.33 PPG 1.18
37% Win % 32%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
39% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 8 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 4 G 2 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Sao Paulo FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Brazil international Marcos Antonio has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alan Franco made 168 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' Goal! Damian Bobadilla scores his 6 goal in 12 matches.
  • 25' Aitor Cantalapiedra has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 30' EC Vitoria fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 32' Poor challenge from Ze Marcos. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 37' Sao Paulo FC have won 411 goals from 377 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 42' Ronald picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 44' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 49' Lucas Halter, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 54' Supporters expect more eagerness from Renzo Lopez, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 59' The travelling EC Vitoria supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 60' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 60.
  • 63' The referee has no hesitation. Ramon is booked for EC Vitoria — card on 63.
  • 65' The referee has no hesitation. Alan Franco is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 65.
  • 65' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Ferreira departs to be replaced by Luan.
  • 70' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 71' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Aitor Cantalapiedra comes on to replace Carlos Eduardo.
  • 76' Sao Paulo FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against EC Vitoria's shape.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Lucas Moura. He replaces Andre Silva on 77 minute.
  • 81' Ruben Rodrigues gets the nod from EC Vitoria. He replaces Ricardo Ryller and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Magnificent from Jose Sabino! That is 8 goals in 290 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 88' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Damian Bobadilla exits the field as Pablo Maia enters on 88.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sao Paulo FC 2-0 EC Vitoria.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.59 EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for: São Paulo FC to win 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC66% Draw23% EC Vitoria11%
Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
89%
Draw or EC Vitoria
34%
São Paulo FC or EC Vitoria
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC44% Draw47% EC Vitoria9%
Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.1%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
2.7%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push EC Vitoria covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 20% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 26% 35%
-0.5 65% — 35%
+0.5 90% — 10%
+1 90% 8% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
56% ✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.