Saturday , 14 November 2026

EC Vitoria vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 0
Full Time
Thu 2 Oct 2025 · 22:00 UTC Barradao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 47' Vina
Raul Caceres 52' Y
Renzo Lopez 76' Y
Ramon 86' Y
Ze Marcos 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs Ceará SC — Serie A at Barradao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Ceará SC H 1–0 W
28 Sep Gremio FBPA A 1–3 L
20 Sep Fluminense FC H 0–1 L
13 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–2 L
31 Aug CA Mineiro H 1–0 W
26 Aug CR Flamengo A 0–8 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
29 Sep São Paulo FC A 1–0 W
20 Sep EC Bahia H 1–1 D
14 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 2–2 D
30 Aug EC Juventude H 0–1 L
24 Aug Gremio FBPA A 0–0 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 9 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 6 G 4 A
Erick 5 G 6 A
Renato Kayzer 5 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. EC Vitoria is hosting Ceará SC for another epic battle.
  • 5' It looks surprising EC Vitoria does not make any changes. Paulo Baya has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Ceará SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' EC Vitoria currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 19' Assisted by Lucas Halter with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ze Marcos makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 24' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 29' EC Vitoria started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 29.
  • 34' Pedro Raul has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 39' The energy levels are beginning to show. Leo Condé might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 44' Ceará SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 46' Richardson makes way for Vina at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Ceara SC.
  • 47' Vina was booked on 47.
  • 52' The referee has no hesitation. Raul Caceres is booked for EC Vitoria — card on 52.
  • 55' It is a substitution in EC Vitoria team. Aitor Cantalapiedra is replaced by Matheuzinho on 55 minute.
  • 60' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 60 minutes.
  • 63' Ceara SC ring the changes. Antonio Galeano has done his job and it is now time for Paulo Baya to step up.
  • 68' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 72' Another change for EC Vitoria made on 72 minute. Ronald leaves to be changed by Joao Pedro Pepe.
  • 73' Another substitution for Ceara SC to replace Pedro Henrique by Aylon on 73 minute.
  • 76' Controversy at the stadium! Renzo Lopez argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 81' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Claudinho comes on to replace Raul Caceres.
  • 82' A change in the Ceara SC ranks — Lourenco exits the field as Lucas Mugni enters on 82.
  • 86' A moment of madness from Ramon on 86 minutes earns him a card. EC Vitoria will be frustrated.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ze Marcos on 90 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.03 EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Ceará SC xG
I would bet for: EC Vitoria or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria40% Draw32% Ceará SC28%
Actual: EC Vitoria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw
72%
Draw or Ceará SC
60%
EC Vitoria or Ceará SC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Vitoria24% Draw56% Ceará SC20%
Actual: EC Vitoria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.1%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.7%
2 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 0
2.5%
3 – 1
2.4%
1 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap EC Vitoria covers Push Ceará SC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 22% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 19% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.