Wednesday , 30 September 2026

EC Vitoria vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 0
Full Time
Thu 2 Oct 2025 · 22:00 UTC Barradao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 47' Vina
Raul Caceres 52' Y
Renzo Lopez 76' Y
Ramon 86' Y
Ze Marcos 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs Ceará SC — Serie A at Barradao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Ceará SC H 1–0 W
28 Sep Gremio FBPA A 1–3 L
20 Sep Fluminense FC H 0–1 L
13 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–2 L
31 Aug CA Mineiro H 1–0 W
26 Aug CR Flamengo A 0–8 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
29 Sep Sao Paulo FC A 1–0 W
20 Sep EC Bahia H 1–1 D
14 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 2–2 D
30 Aug EC Juventude H 0–1 L
24 Aug Gremio FBPA A 0–0 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 8 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 4 G 2 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! EC Vitória welcome Ceará SC for this crunch clash at Barradao.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lourenco suffering a number of foals already.
  • 19' What a strike from Ze Marcos! The score is 0-1.
  • 24' Pedro Henrique has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 29' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 34' Ceará SC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 39' With 3 assists to his name this season, Erick is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Ceará SC.
  • 44' Marcos Victor is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Vitória tonight.
  • 46' Vina has so much to prove this time. He replaces Richardson on 46 minute.
  • 47' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Vina.
  • 52' That is a card for EC Vitoria. Raul Caceres will be fuming at that decision.
  • 55' EC Vitoria make a change. Aitor Cantalapiedra trudges off to be replaced by Matheuzinho on 55 minutes.
  • 60' A quiet spell here at Barradao. Ceará SC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 63' Ceara SC ring the changes. Antonio Galeano has done his job and it is now time for Paulo Baya to step up.
  • 68' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Vitória in their trying to find a way past Ceará SC's compact .
  • 72' A change in the EC Vitoria ranks — Ronald exits the field as Joao Pedro Pepe enters on 72.
  • 73' The Ceara SC manager makes a substitution. Pedro Henrique departs to be replaced by Aylon.
  • 76' The referee shows EC Vitoria player a card on 76.
  • 81' EC Vitoria make a change. Raul Caceres trudges off to be replaced by Claudinho on 81 minutes.
  • 82' The crowd applauds Lourenco as he leaves the pitch. Lucas Mugni steps in for Ceara SC.
  • 86' Ramon was booked on 86.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Ze Marcos. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The points are shared — EC Vitória 1-0 Ceará SC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.03 EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Ceará SC xG
I would bet for: EC Vitoria or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria40% Draw32% Ceará SC28%
Actual: EC Vitoria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw
72%
Draw or Ceará SC
60%
EC Vitoria or Ceará SC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Vitoria24% Draw56% Ceará SC20%
Actual: EC Vitoria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.1%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.7%
2 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 0
2.5%
3 – 1
2.4%
1 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap EC Vitoria covers Push Ceará SC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 22% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 19% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.