EC Bahia vs CR Flamengo, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CR Flamengo — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- CR Flamengo 28 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Rafael Klein (Brazil)
- Assistant 1 Neuza Ines Back
- Assistant 2 Lucio Beiersdorf Flor
10 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 6.5 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | Criciúma EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | Fortaleza EC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 15 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Sep | RB Bragantino | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | EC Bahia | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | CA Paranaense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | CA Peñarol | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Sep | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | CA Peñarol | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CR Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #1 |
| 46 | Points | 60 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 18 / 6 / 4 |
| 43 | Scored | 55 |
| 35 | Conceded | 23 |
| +8 | GD | +32 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 2.14 |
| 43% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
43%
Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season
CR Flamengo this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). CR Flamengo are 1st (60 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Flamengo
0-15
7/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CR Flamengo
| Pedro | 16 G | 6 A |
| Samuel Lino | 9 G | 7 A |
| Jorge Carrascal | 5 G | 7 A |
| Lucas Paqueta | 5 G | |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between EC Bahia and CR Flamengo is underway.
- 5' The 35-year-old Bruno Henrique has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' CR Flamengo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. CR Flamengo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' CR Flamengo is showing some good football. However, CR Flamengo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 30' EC Bahia currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 35' What composure from Ayrton Lucas! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 40' Luciano Juba needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Giorgian De Arrascaeta.
- 50' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 55' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 60' Everaldo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 60' Carlos De Pena makes way for Rafael Ratao at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 66' A tactical swap from CR Flamengo — Carlos Alcaraz on, Nicolas de la Cruz off on 66 minutes.
- 67' Bruno Henrique has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 67.
- 67' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Everaldo is withdrawn and Ademir Santos gets his opportunity.
- 70' The referee has no hesitation. Cicinho is booked for EC Bahia — card on 70.
- 73' That is a card for CR Flamengo. Leo Pereira will be fuming at that decision.
- 75' The CR Flamengo bench stirs into life. Gabriel Barbosa is withdrawn and Gonzalo Plata gets his opportunity.
- 77' EC Bahia make a change. Jean Lucas trudges off to be replaced by Yago Felipe on 77 minutes.
- 82' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gabriel Barbosa, as he is very good at scoring at Arena Fonte Nova with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 87' Allan gets the nod from CR Flamengo. He replaces Giorgian De Arrascaeta and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' Poor challenge from Kanu. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Allan argues furiously but the card stands.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. CR Flamengo take all three points.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-3-2Starting XI
-
16
Thaciano ↓ Luciano Rodriguez 60'
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Yago Felipe 77'
- 22
- 4
- 8
- 13
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Ademir Santos 67'
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↓ Rafael Ratao 60'
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↓ Iago Borduchi 77'
- 46
- 3
Bench
-
20
Yago Felipe ↑ 77'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 67'
- 2
- 31
- 1
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 77'
- 15
- 40
-
21
Rafael Ratao ↑ 60'
- 33
- 77
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 60'
CR Flamengo Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
14
Giorgian De Arrascaeta ↓ Allan 87'
- 3
- 6
- 4
- 5
- 8
-
27
Bruno Henrique ↓ Michael 75'
-
99
Gabriel Barbosa ↓ Gonzalo Plata 75'
- 1
- 18
-
43
Wesley ↓ Guillermo Varela 75'
Bench
- 15
- 23
-
29
Allan ↑ 87'
-
2
Guillermo Varela ↑ 75'
-
45
Gonzalo Plata ↑ 75'
-
30
Michael ↑ 75'
-
37
Carlos Alcaraz ↑ 66'
- 33
- 25
- 20
- 52
- 22
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Barbosa | 8 |
| Pedro | 5 |
| Gilberto | 5 |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 4 |
| David Luiz | 2 |
| Lucas Paqueta | 2 |
| Vitinho | 2 |
| Bruno Henrique | 2 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65
CR Flamengo xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CR Flamengo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
50%
Draw or CR Flamengo
77%
EC Bahia or CR Flamengo
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CR Flamengo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
0 – 1
11.4%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
9.3%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.3%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CR Flamengo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 24% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

