EC Bahia vs CR Flamengo, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024

EC Bahia

0 – 2

Full Time

CR Flamengo

Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 22:00 UTC Arena Fonte Nova 41,978 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 35' Ayrton Lucas

0–2 90+12' Carlos Alcaraz pen

Y 45' Giorgian De Arrascaeta

Everaldo 60' Y

Y 67' Bruno Henrique

Cicinho 70' Y

Y 73' Leo Pereira

Caio Alexandre 73' Y

Kanu 88' Y

Y 90' Allan

Ademir Santos 90' Y

Santiago Arias 90' R

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs CR Flamengo — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
CR Flamengo 34 games · 76 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Rafael Klein (Brazil)
Assistant 1 Neuza Ines Back
Assistant 2 Lucio Beiersdorf Flor

11 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 8.2 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	34	76
2	SE Palmeiras	34	73
3	Cruzeiro EC	34	60
4	Fluminense FC	34	57
5	CA Paranaense	34	54
6	EC Bahia	34	53
7	CA Mineiro	34	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	47
9	Santos FC	34	47
10	São Paulo FC	34	44
11	Botafogo FR	34	42
12	Coritiba FBC	34	42
13	CR Vasco da Gama	33	41
14	Mirassol FC	34	40
15	SC Internacional	34	38
16	EC Vitoria	34	38
17	SC Corinthians Paulista	34	37
18	Gremio FBPA	34	37
19	Clube do Remo	34	29
20	Chapecoense AF	33	21

Head-to-Head

EC Bahia 19 games · Avg 3.1 goals CR Flamengo

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-05 EC Bahia 0–2 CR Flamengo 2024-06-20 CR Flamengo 2–1 EC Bahia 2023-09-30 CR Flamengo 1–0 EC Bahia 2023-05-13 EC Bahia 2–3 CR Flamengo 2021-11-11 CR Flamengo 3–0 EC Bahia

Recent Form

EC Bahia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Oct	CR Flamengo	H	0–2	L
29 Sep	Criciúma EC	H	1–0	W
22 Sep	Fortaleza EC	A	1–4	L
15 Sep	CA Mineiro	H	3–0	W
01 Sep	RB Bragantino	A	1–2	L
25 Aug	Botafogo FR	H	0–0	D

CR Flamengo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Oct	EC Bahia	A	2–0	W
29 Sep	CA Paranaense	H	1–0	W
26 Sep	CA Peñarol	A	0–0	D
22 Sep	Gremio FBPA	A	2–3	L
19 Sep	CA Peñarol	H	0–1	L
15 Sep	CR Vasco da Gama	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

EC Bahia		CR Flamengo
#6	Position	#1
53	Points	76
34	Played	34
14 / 11 / 9	W / D / L	23 / 7 / 4
50	Scored	71
45	Conceded	29
+5	GD	+42
1.56	PPG	2.24
41%	Win %	68%

Key Stats

32% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

32% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

41% Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season

EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). CR Flamengo are 1st (76 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia

0-15

5/3

16-30

4/6

31-45

10/7

46-60

3/2

61-75

5/7

76+

9/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

CR Flamengo

0-15

8/3

16-30

6/2

31-45

9/2

46-60

8/5

61-75

9/2

76+

12/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia

Luciano Juba	11 G	2 A
Jean Lucas	4 G	4 A
Erick	4 G
Everaldo	4 G
Willian Jose	3 G	1 A

CR Flamengo

Pedro	20 G	7 A
Samuel Lino	12 G	9 A
Jorge Carrascal	7 G	9 A
Lucas Paqueta	7 G	1 A
Gonzalo Plata	4 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Arena Fonte Nova as EC Bahia face off against CR Flamengo in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' Giorgian De Arrascaeta has been relatively quiet despite scoring 68 goals in his last 266 appearances.
10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CR Flamengo needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
15' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
25' EC Bahia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
30' named a 4-1-3-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
35' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ayrton Lucas makes it 0-1.
40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
45' Giorgian De Arrascaeta catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
50' EC Bahia have won 373 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
55' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
60' That looks like a foul for a card for Everaldo.
60' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Carlos De Pena is replaced by Rafael Ratao on 60 minute.
65' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Bahia and CR Flamengo are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
66' Fresh legs for CR Flamengo! Carlos Alcaraz comes on to replace Nicolas de la Cruz.
67' Bruno Henrique catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 67.
67' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Ademir Santos on, Everaldo off on 67 minutes.
70' The referee shows EC Bahia player a card on 70.
73' CR Flamengo receives a card for a hard tackle on 73.
75' CR Flamengo make a change. Gabriel Barbosa trudges off to be replaced by Gonzalo Plata on 75 minutes.
77' EC Bahia make a change. Jean Lucas trudges off to be replaced by Yago Felipe on 77 minutes.
82' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
87' A tactical swap from CR Flamengo — Allan on, Giorgian De Arrascaeta off on 87 minutes.
88' The referee shows EC Bahia player a card on 88.
90' The referee shows CR Flamengo player a card on 90.
CR Flamengo celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

4-1-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

20
Yago Felipe ↑ 77'
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 67'
2
Gilberto
31
Vitor Hugo
1
Danilo Fernandes
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 77'
15
Victor Cuesta
40
Cicinho
21
Rafael Ratao ↑ 60'
33
David Duarte
77
Tiago
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 60'

CR Flamengo Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

14
Giorgian De Arrascaeta ↓ Allan 87'
3
Leo Ortiz
6
Ayrton Lucas
4
Leo Pereira
5
Erick Pulgar
8
Gerson
27
Bruno Henrique ↓ Michael 75'
99
Gabriel Barbosa ↓ Gonzalo Plata 75'
1
Agustin Rossi
18
Nicolas de la Cruz ↓ Carlos Alcaraz 66'
43
Wesley ↓ Guillermo Varela 75'

Bench

15
Fabricio Bruno
23
David Luiz
29
Allan ↑ 87'
2
Guillermo Varela ↑ 75'
45
Gonzalo Plata ↑ 75'
30
Michael ↑ 75'
37
Carlos Alcaraz ↑ 66'
33
Cleiton Santos
25
Matheus Cunha
20
Matheus Martins
52
Evertton
22
Carlinhos

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Gabriel Barbosa	8
Pedro	5
Gilberto	5
Giorgian De Arrascaeta	4
Lucas Paqueta	3
David Luiz	2
Vitinho	2
Bruno Henrique	2

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.94 EC Bahia xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.76 CR Flamengo xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

EC Bahia22% Draw26% CR Flamengo52%

Actual: CR Flamengo win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.7

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw

48%

Draw or CR Flamengo

78%

EC Bahia or CR Flamengo

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

EC Bahia16% Draw45% CR Flamengo39%

Actual: CR Flamengo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12%

0 – 1

11%

0 – 2

Actual

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 0

8.6%

0 – 3

5.9%

1 – 3

5.6%

1 – 0

5.4%

2 – 1

2 – 2

4.5%

2 – 0

2.9%

2 – 3

2.7%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap	EC Bahia covers	Push	CR Flamengo covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	93%
-1.5	7%	—	93%
-1	7%	12%	81%
-0.5	19%	—	81%
+0.5	45%	—	55%
+1	45%	24%	32%
+1.5	68%	—	32%
+2	68%	17%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

EC Bahia vs CR Flamengo, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

CR Flamengo Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

EC Bahia Form

CR Flamengo Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Clean Sheet