Cruzeiro EC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cruzeiro EC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Mineirao.
- Cruzeiro EC 28 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Flavio Rodrigues De Souza
- Assistant 1 Fabrini Bevilaqua Costa
- Assistant 2 Francisco Chaves Bezerra Junior (Brazil)
9 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 7.8 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Oct | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | Cuiaba EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Sep | AC Goianiense | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | Criciúma EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | Fortaleza EC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 15 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Sep | RB Bragantino | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Cruzeiro EC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #5 |
| 45 | Points | 46 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 13 / 6 / 9 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 42 | Scored | 43 |
| 40 | Conceded | 35 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.61 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 46% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Cruzeiro EC are 6th (45 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
3/6
31-45
6/5
46-60
5/2
61-75
6/2
76+
10/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 7 G | 1 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Mineirao as Cruzeiro EC face off against EC Bahia in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Cruzeiro EC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past EC Bahia's compact 4-3-3.
- 15' EC Bahia have won 359 goals from 333 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' Cruzeiro EC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 30' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Kaio Jorge has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 35' Gabriel Veron has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 40' Brazil international Marlon has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 43' Everton Ribeiro catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 43.
- 48' Cruzeiro EC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 53' With 2 assists to his name this season, Everton Ribeiro is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cruzeiro EC.
- 58' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 59' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Luciano Juba.
- 60' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Rafael Ratao on, Gabriel Teixeira off on 60 minutes.
- 61' Gabriel Veron puts Cruzeiro EC on the lead.
- 66' Lucas Villalba is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
- 71' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 73' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ademir Santos is hanging Cauly on the field on 73 minute.
- 74' It’s a booking for Cruzeiro EC player. Matheus Pereira gets a card.
- 77' Gabriel Veron makes way for Mateus Vital at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cruzeiro EC.
- 79' EC Bahia ring the changes. Thaciano has done his job and it is now time for Carlos De Pena to step up.
- 80' The crowd applauds Luciano Juba as he leaves the pitch. Iago Borduchi steps in for EC Bahia.
- 81' Another change for Cruzeiro EC made on 81 minute. Alvaro Barreal leaves to be changed by Jhosefer.
- 82' GOAL! Luciano Rodriguez fires home to make it 1-1!
- 87' Marcos Felipe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 180
- 1
- 3
- 12
-
20
Walace ↓ Fabrizio Peralta 77'
- 10
- 9
-
21
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Jhosefer 81'
- 25
-
30
Gabriel Veron ↓ Mateus Vital 77'
- 43
Bench
- 16
- 17
-
7
Mateus Vital ↑ 77'
- 98
- 2
- 5
- 44
- 6
-
33
Fabrizio Peralta ↑ 77'
- 34
- 66
-
58
Jhosefer ↑ 81'
EC Bahia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
16
Thaciano ↓ Carlos De Pena 79'
- 6
- 10
- 2
- 22
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Ademir Santos 73'
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Luciano Rodriguez 73'
-
46
Luciano Juba ↓ Iago Borduchi 80'
-
11
Gabriel Teixeira ↓ Rafael Ratao 60'
- 3
Bench
- 20
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 73'
- 31
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 80'
- 15
- 40
-
21
Rafael Ratao ↑ 60'
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 79'
- 33
- 26
- 23
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 73'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaio Jorge | 2 |
| Gabriel Veron | 2 |
| Oscar Estupinan | 2 |
| Bruno Rodrigues | 2 |
| Kayky | 1 |
| Kenji | 1 |
| Arthur Sales | 1 |
| Kaua Moraes | 1 |
Head to Head
Cruzeiro EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.65
Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Cruzeiro EC or EC Bahia 74% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Cruzeiro EC or Draw
69%
Draw or EC Bahia
57%
Cruzeiro EC or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC
| Handicap | Cruzeiro EC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.