Cruzeiro EC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cruzeiro EC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Mineirao.
- Cruzeiro EC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Flavio Rodrigues De Souza
9 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 7.8 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | EC Bahia | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | Mirassol FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | EC Juventude | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Dec | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Santos FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | CA Boston River | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | CA Boston River | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Cruzeiro EC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #6 |
| 24 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 6 / 6 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 5 |
| 24 | Scored | 25 |
| 28 | Conceded | 23 |
| -4 | GD | +2 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 33% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Cruzeiro EC are 11th (24 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 4 G | |
| Matheus Pereira | 3 G | 2 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Mineirao. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Cruzeiro EC and EC Bahia.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Cruzeiro EC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' Lucas Romero has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 15' Fagner has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 19' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Marcos Felipe comes on to replace Ronaldo.
- 23' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
- 28' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 33' It looks surprising Cruzeiro EC does not make any changes. Wanderson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 38' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 43' EC Bahia have won 348 goals from 325 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 46' William has so much to prove this time. He replaces Fagner on 46 minute.
- 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 52' Goal! Lucas Romero scores his 2 goal in 250 matches.
- 53' Cruzeiro EC player sees a card in front of him.
- 58' Cruzeiro EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 58.
- 60' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kaio Jorge on 60 minutes.
- 61' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
- 64' Poor challenge from Wanderson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 65' Kaio Jorge does the damage! The net is bulging and Cruzeiro EC surge ahead!
- 70' Erick has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 71' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Gilberto comes on to replace Santiago Arias.
- 76' Magnificent from Kaio Jorge! That is 34 goals in 284 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 76' A meaty challenge results in booking for Christian on 76.
- 79' It is a substitution in Cruzeiro EC team. Kaio Jorge is replaced by Gabriel Barbosa on 79 minute.
- 84' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Carlos Eduardo. He replaces Wanderson on 85 minute.
- 90' The referee shows Cruzeiro EC player a card on 90.
- 90' Walace has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Romero on 90 minute.
- Another three points for Cruzeiro EC.
Lineups
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
29
Lucas Romero ↓ Walace 90'
- 16
- 1
- 23
- 15
- 10
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Gabriel Barbosa 79'
-
94
Wanderson ↓ Carlos Eduardo 85'
- 25
- 88
- 6
Bench
-
7
Dudu ↑ 79'
-
12
William ↑ 46'
-
5
Walace ↑ 90'
-
9
Gabriel Barbosa ↑ 79'
- 17
- 75
-
21
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 85'
- 26
- 34
- 41
- 99
- 35
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
96
Ronaldo ↓ Marcos Felipe 19'
- 6
-
8
Cauly ↓ Ademir Santos 71'
- 12
-
13
Santiago Arias ↓ Gilberto 71'
-
14
Erick ↓ Everton Ribeiro 46'
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
- 83
Bench
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 46'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 71'
-
2
Gilberto ↑ 71'
-
22
Marcos Felipe ↑ 19'
- 33
- 26
- 37
- 5
- 77
-
9
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 46'
- 52
- 68
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Rodrigues | 2 |
| Kaio Jorge | 2 |
| Gabriel Veron | 2 |
| Oscar Estupinan | 2 |
| Gabriel Teixeira | 1 |
| Luciano Rodriguez | 1 |
| Kayky | 1 |
| Kenji | 1 |
Head to Head
Cruzeiro EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.86
Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Cruzeiro EC or Draw
75%
Draw or EC Bahia
49%
Cruzeiro EC or EC Bahia
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC
| Handicap | Cruzeiro EC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 21% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

