Cruzeiro EC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cruzeiro EC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Mineirao.
- Cruzeiro EC 28 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Flavio Rodrigues De Souza
9 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 7.8 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | EC Bahia | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | Mirassol FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | EC Juventude | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Dec | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Santos FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | CA Boston River | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | CA Boston River | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Cruzeiro EC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #5 |
| 45 | Points | 46 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 13 / 6 / 9 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 42 | Scored | 43 |
| 40 | Conceded | 35 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.61 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 46% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Cruzeiro EC are 6th (45 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
3/6
31-45
6/5
46-60
5/2
61-75
6/2
76+
10/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 7 G | 1 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Mineirao. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Cruzeiro EC and EC Bahia.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' Kaio Jorge has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 14 cards already picked up this season.
- 15' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 19' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Marcos Felipe on, Ronaldo off on 19 minutes.
- 23' Erick has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 23.
- 28' Gilberto is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cruzeiro EC tonight.
- 33' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 43' Wanderson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cruzeiro EC so far.
- 46' It is a substitution in Cruzeiro EC team. Fagner is replaced by William on 46 minute.
- 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 52' Lucas Romero adds to his 1 season tally! Cruzeiro EC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 53' The referee calls foul for William. He receives a card.
- 58' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Cruzeiro EC winning 100% of all matches.
- 60' That is a card for Cruzeiro EC. Kaio Jorge will be fuming at that decision.
- 61' That is a card for EC Bahia. Santiago Arias will be fuming at that decision.
- 64' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Wanderson.
- 65' GOAL! Kaio Jorge fires home to make it 2-0!
- 70' Cruzeiro EC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 71' Another change for EC Bahia made on 71 minute. Santiago Arias leaves to be changed by Gilberto.
- 76' Assisted by Lucas Silva with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kaio Jorge makes no mistake. 3-0!
- 76' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Christian on 76 minutes.
- 79' The Cruzeiro EC bench stirs into life. Kaio Jorge is withdrawn and Gabriel Barbosa gets his opportunity.
- 84' It looks like no one’s ball. Cruzeiro EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 85' Carlos Eduardo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Wanderson on 85 minute.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Fabricio Bruno.
- 90' Fresh legs for Cruzeiro EC! Walace comes on to replace Lucas Romero.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Cruzeiro EC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
29
Lucas Romero ↓ Walace 90'
- 16
- 1
- 23
- 15
- 10
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Gabriel Barbosa 79'
-
94
Wanderson ↓ Carlos Eduardo 85'
- 25
- 88
- 6
Bench
-
7
Dudu ↑ 79'
-
12
William ↑ 46'
-
5
Walace ↑ 90'
-
9
Gabriel Barbosa ↑ 79'
- 17
- 75
-
21
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 85'
- 26
- 34
- 41
- 99
- 35
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
96
Ronaldo ↓ Marcos Felipe 19'
- 6
-
8
Cauly ↓ Ademir Santos 71'
- 12
-
13
Santiago Arias ↓ Gilberto 71'
-
14
Erick ↓ Everton Ribeiro 46'
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
- 83
Bench
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 46'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 71'
-
2
Gilberto ↑ 71'
-
22
Marcos Felipe ↑ 19'
- 33
- 26
- 37
- 5
- 77
-
9
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 46'
- 52
- 68
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Veron | 2 |
| Oscar Estupinan | 2 |
| Bruno Rodrigues | 2 |
| Kaio Jorge | 2 |
| Machado | 1 |
| Luis Sinisterra | 1 |
| Douglas Grolli | 1 |
| Gabriel Barbosa | 1 |
Head to Head
Cruzeiro EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.89
Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Cruzeiro EC or Draw
76%
Draw or EC Bahia
48%
Cruzeiro EC or EC Bahia
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC
| Handicap | Cruzeiro EC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 21% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

