EC Vitoria vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs CR Vasco da Gama — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 22 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- CR Vasco da Gama 21 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Ceará SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Fluminense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Apr | Ceará SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | SC Recife | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | CR Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #18 |
| 26 | Points | 22 |
| 22 | Played | 21 |
| 7 / 5 / 10 | W / D / L | 5 / 7 / 9 |
| 22 | Scored | 23 |
| 33 | Conceded | 31 |
| -11 | GD | -8 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.05 |
| 32% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
19%
Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season
CR Vasco da Gama this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (26 pts). CR Vasco da Gama are 18th (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/4
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
CR Vasco da Gama
| Carlos Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
| Thiago Mendes | 3 G | 1 A |
| Cauan Lucas | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Barradao!
- 5' Nuno Moreira needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Vitoria that had 175 games and scored 129 goals.
- 12' Paulinho was booked on 12.
- 17' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hugo Moura suffering a number of foals already.
- 22' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 27' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 32' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 33' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 33.
- 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Janderson Costa on 38.
- 42' Pablo Vegetti puts CR Vasco da Gama on the lead.
- 46' The CR Vasco da Gama manager makes a substitution. Paulinho departs to be replaced by Hugo Moura.
- 51' EC Vitoria currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 56' EC Vitoria has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 57' The crowd applauds Janderson Costa as he leaves the pitch. Gustavo Mosquito steps in for EC Vitoria.
- 60' The deadlock is broken! Renato Kayzer gets on the scoresheet on 60 minutes.
- 65' Philippe Coutinho, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 67' CR Vasco da Gama manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tche Tche is hanging Juan Sforza on the field on 67 minute.
- 72' CR Vasco da Gama are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 75' CR Vasco da Gama player sees a card in front of him.
- 80' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matheuzinho, as he is very good at scoring at Barradao with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
- 82' Lukas Zuccarello gets the nod from CR Vasco da Gama. He replaces Nuno Moreira and will look to change the dynamic.
- 87' It looks surprising CR Vasco da Gama does not make any changes. Loide Augusto has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 90' Goal! Renato Kayzer scores his 36 goal in 253 matches.
- 90' CR Vasco da Gama receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- 90' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Raul Caceres is withdrawn and Neris gets his opportunity.
- The points are shared — EC Vitoria 2-1 CR Vasco da Gama. Honours even.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 28
- 83
- 27
- 43
- 5
- 11
- 8
- 10
- 1
- 39
- 30
Bench
- 33
- 77
- 23
- 79
- 38
- 7
- 35
- 22
- 44
- 96
- 99
Coach
Thiago Carpini
CR Vasco da Gama Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 6
- 38
- 2
- 99
-
20
Juan Sforza ↓ Tche Tche 67'
-
17
Nuno Moreira ↓ Lukas Zuccarello 82'
-
18
Paulinho ↓ Hugo Moura 46'
- 1
- 77
- 44
Bench
- 12
- 13
-
3
Tche Tche ↑ 67'
-
25
Hugo Moura ↑ 46'
- 15
- 29
- 90
-
28
Adson ↑ 67'
- 22
- 85
-
45
Loide Augusto ↑ 67'
-
30
Lukas Zuccarello ↑ 82'
Coach
Felipe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Renato Kayzer | 3 |
| Pablo Vegetti | 2 |
| Rayan | 2 |
| Werley | 1 |
| Andres Rios | 1 |
| Joao Victor | 1 |
| Lucas Fernandes | 1 |
| Andre Lima | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
75%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
52%
EC Vitoria or CR Vasco da Gama
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CR Vasco da Gama win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | CR Vasco da Gama covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

