EC Vitoria vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs CR Vasco da Gama — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
- CR Vasco da Gama 33 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Ceará SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Fluminense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Apr | Ceará SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | SC Recife | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | CR Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #13 |
| 38 | Points | 41 |
| 34 | Played | 33 |
| 10 / 8 / 16 | W / D / L | 11 / 8 / 14 |
| 35 | Scored | 43 |
| 51 | Conceded | 50 |
| -16 | GD | -7 |
| 1.12 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 29% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
18%
Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season
CR Vasco da Gama this season
EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts). CR Vasco da Gama are 13th (41 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/4
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/8
61-75
6/7
76+
11/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
CR Vasco da Gama
| Carlos Gomez | 5 G | 3 A |
| Thiago Mendes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Cauan Lucas | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Barradao!
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ricardo Ryller made 438 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 12' The referee calls foul for Paulinho. He receives a card.
- 17' EC Vitoria looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Renato Kayzer scoring 1 goals.
- 22' With 0 assists to his name this season, Janderson Costa is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitoria.
- 27' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Vitoria and CR Vasco da Gama are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 32' Brazil international Lukas Zuccarello has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 33' It’s a booking for EC Vitoria player. Matheuzinho gets a card.
- 38' Controversy at the stadium! Janderson Costa argues furiously but the card stands.
- 42' Pablo Vegetti doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 46' CR Vasco da Gama make a change. Paulinho trudges off to be replaced by Hugo Moura on 46 minutes.
- 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 56' CR Vasco da Gama seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 57' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Janderson Costa by Gustavo Mosquito on 57 minute.
- 60' A stunning finish from Renato Kayzer — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 65' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 67' Tche Tche gets the nod from CR Vasco da Gama. He replaces Juan Sforza and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 75' That looks like a foul for a card for Loide Augusto.
- 80' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Thiago Carpini will be considering his options from the bench.
- 82' CR Vasco da Gama make a change. Nuno Moreira trudges off to be replaced by Lukas Zuccarello on 82 minutes.
- 87' EC Vitoria is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 90' Renato Kayzer does the damage! The net is bulging and EC Vitoria surge ahead!
- 90' CR Vasco da Gama receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- 90' Neris has so much to prove this time. He replaces Raul Caceres on 90 minute.
- 2-1 the final result. CR Vasco da Gama will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 28
- 83
- 27
- 43
- 5
- 11
- 8
- 10
- 1
- 39
- 30
Bench
- 33
- 77
- 23
- 79
- 38
- 7
- 35
- 22
- 44
- 96
- 99
Coach
Thiago Carpini
CR Vasco da Gama Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 6
- 38
- 2
- 99
-
20
Juan Sforza ↓ Tche Tche 67'
-
17
Nuno Moreira ↓ Lukas Zuccarello 82'
-
18
Paulinho ↓ Hugo Moura 46'
- 1
- 77
- 44
Bench
- 12
- 13
-
3
Tche Tche ↑ 67'
-
25
Hugo Moura ↑ 46'
- 15
- 29
- 90
-
28
Adson ↑ 67'
- 22
- 85
-
45
Loide Augusto ↑ 67'
-
30
Lukas Zuccarello ↑ 82'
Coach
Felipe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Renato Kayzer | 3 |
| Rayan | 2 |
| Pablo Vegetti | 2 |
| Gabriel Sousa | 1 |
| Lucas Fernandes | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
| Andre Lima | 1 |
| Iury | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.49
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
73%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
53%
EC Vitoria or CR Vasco da Gama
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CR Vasco da Gama win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | CR Vasco da Gama covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 21% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 17% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

