Derby County FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at Pride Park.
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Burton Albion FC 46 games · 54 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | Burton Albion FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Exeter City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Apr | Bristol Rovers FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Apr | Milton Keynes Dons FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Apr | Forest Green Rovers FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | Derby County FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Apr | Bolton Wanderers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Apr | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Apr | Barnsley FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Apr | Cheltenham Town FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Burton Albion FC gets underway.
- 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jonny Smith is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burton Albion FC.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 25' It looks surprising Burton Albion FC does not make any changes. Joseph Wildsmith has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Paul Warne might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 35' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 49' A meaty challenge results in booking for Deji Oshilaja on 49.
- 54' Burton Albion FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 59' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 63' David McGoldrick puts Derby County FC on the lead.
- 68' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 68 minutes.
- 71' Time for substitution for Burton Albion FC. Mustapha Carayol is replaced by Jonny Smith.
- 76' Dale Taylor has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 77' That is a Yellow card for Derby County FC. Haydon Roberts will be fuming at that decision.
- 79' Tom Barkhuizen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Louie Sibley on 79 minute.
- 80' It is a substitution in Burton Albion FC team. Zac Ashworth is replaced by Sam Winnall on 80 minute.
- 83' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Korey Smith on, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing off on 83 minutes.
- 88' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burton Albion FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Derby County FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 33
- 8
- 11
- 1
- 10
- 4
- 38
-
17
Louie Sibley ↓ Tom Barkhuizen 79'
- 15
- 6
Bench
- 32
-
12
Korey Smith ↑ 83'
-
7
Tom Barkhuizen ↑ 79'
- 9
- 23
- 18
- 34
Coach
Paul Warne
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 34
-
4
Deji Oshilaja ↓ Josh Walker 80'
- 7
- 12
- 2
- 16
-
21
Mustapha Carayol ↓ Jonny Smith 71'
- 5
-
44
Zac Ashworth ↓ Sam Winnall 80'
- 8
- 17
Bench
-
9
Sam Winnall ↑ 80'
- 1
- 10
-
11
Jonny Smith ↑ 71'
- 18
- 36
-
14
Josh Walker ↑ 80'
Coach
Dino Maamria
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| James Collins | 3 |
| Conor Hourihane | 2 |
| Victor Adeboyejo | 1 |
| David McGoldrick | 1 |
| Conor Washington | 1 |
| Thomas Barkhuizen | 1 |
| Steve Seddon | 1 |
| Joe Hugill | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
2023-04-22
Derby County FC
1–0
Burton Albion FC
W
2023-04-18
Exeter City FC
1–2
Derby County FC
W
2023-04-15
Bristol Rovers FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2023-04-10
Derby County FC
1–1
Milton Keynes Dons FC
D
2023-04-07
Forest Green Rovers FC
0–2
Derby County FC
W
2023-04-01
Derby County FC
0–2
Ipswich Town FC
L
Burton Albion FC Form
2023-04-22
Derby County FC
1–0
Burton Albion FC
L
2023-04-18
Burton Albion FC
1–1
Bolton Wanderers FC
D
2023-04-15
Burton Albion FC
3–2
Sheffield Wednesday FC
W
2023-04-10
Charlton Athletic FC
3–2
Burton Albion FC
L
2023-04-07
Burton Albion FC
2–1
Barnsley FC
W
2023-04-01
Cheltenham Town FC
0–0
Burton Albion FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.19
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84
Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
53%
Derby County FC or Burton Albion FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.5%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
1.5%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Burton Albion FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 24% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 16% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

