Friday , 9 October 2026

Derby County FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 22 Apr 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Burton Albion FC H 1–0 W
18 Apr Exeter City FC A 2–1 W
15 Apr Bristol Rovers FC A 1–1 D
10 Apr Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–1 D
07 Apr Forest Green Rovers FC A 2–0 W
01 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Derby County FC A 0–1 L
18 Apr Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
15 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–2 W
10 Apr Charlton Athletic FC A 2–3 L
07 Apr Barnsley FC H 2–1 W
01 Apr Cheltenham Town FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
5/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/3
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 3 G 1 A
Finn Delap 3 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Derby County FC launch into their encounter with Burton Albion FC.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Mark Helm is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burton Albion FC so far.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' It looks surprising Burton Albion FC does not make any changes. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 30' Burton Albion FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 40' A quiet spell here at Pride Park. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 45' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their trying to find a way past Burton Albion FC's compact .
  • 49' Deji Oshilaja is having his name booked by the referee on 49.
  • 54' Deji Oshilaja has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 59' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 59.
  • 63' The deadlock is broken! David McGoldrick gets on the scoresheet on 63 minutes.
  • 68' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Burton Albion FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Burton Albion FC team. Mustapha Carayol is replaced by Jonny Smith on 71 minute.
  • 76' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Conor Hourihane made 361 appearances and scored 33 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 77' Haydon Roberts has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 77.
  • 79' Tom Barkhuizen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Louie Sibley at the 79 minute mark.
  • 80' The whistle greets Zac Ashworth as he departs to be replaced by Sam Winnall.
  • 83' Korey Smith is replacing Nathaniel Mendez-Laing for the Derby County FC side.
  • 88' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Derby County FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.19 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC47% Draw30% Burton Albion FC23%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
53%
Derby County FC or Burton Albion FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC28% Draw54% Burton Albion FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.5%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 24% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.