Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 22 Apr 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Burton Albion FC H 1–0 W
18 Apr Exeter City FC A 2–1 W
15 Apr Bristol Rovers FC A 1–1 D
10 Apr Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–1 D
07 Apr Forest Green Rovers FC A 2–0 W
01 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Derby County FC A 0–1 L
18 Apr Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
15 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–2 W
10 Apr Charlton Athletic FC A 2–3 L
07 Apr Barnsley FC H 2–1 W
01 Apr Cheltenham Town FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Pride Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Derby County FC and Burton Albion FC.
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 15' Burton Albion FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 20' Sam Winnall has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' A quiet spell here at Pride Park. Burton Albion FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 40' Derby County FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Burton Albion FC's shape.
  • 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 49' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Deji Oshilaja.
  • 54' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burton Albion FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 59' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 59 minutes.
  • 63' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. David McGoldrick makes it 1-0.
  • 68' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 71' The Burton Albion FC manager makes a substitution. Mustapha Carayol departs to be replaced by Jonny Smith.
  • 76' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 77' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Haydon Roberts on 77 minutes.
  • 79' Tom Barkhuizen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Louie Sibley at the 79 minute mark.
  • 80' Sam Winnall gets the nod from Burton Albion FC. He replaces Zac Ashworth and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Korey Smith comes on to replace Nathaniel Mendez-Laing.
  • 88' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • Another three points for Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.19 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC47% Draw30% Burton Albion FC23%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
53%
Derby County FC or Burton Albion FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC28% Draw54% Burton Albion FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.5%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 24% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
43%
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.