Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Exeter City FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 18 Apr 2023 · 18:45 UTC St. James Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
3
Exeter City FC 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Derby County FC H 1–2 L
15 Apr Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–1 L
10 Apr Peterborough United FC A 1–3 L
07 Apr Bolton Wanderers FC H 0–1 L
01 Apr Fleetwood Town FC A 2–2 D
28 Mar Barnsley FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Exeter City FC A 2–1 W
15 Apr Bristol Rovers FC A 1–1 D
10 Apr Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–1 D
07 Apr Forest Green Rovers FC A 2–0 W
01 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 0–2 L
25 Mar Peterborough United FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Exeter City FC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' The 24-year-old Haydon Roberts has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' Max Bird has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 6 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' Craig Forsyth has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 390 appearances.
  • 30' Kgagelo Chauke is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 40' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Exeter City FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 45' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 53' A stunning finish from David McGoldrick — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 58' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 63' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 390 games and scored 457 goals.
  • 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Haydon Roberts on 66.
  • 68' The Exeter City FC bench stirs into life. James Scott is withdrawn and Joe White gets his opportunity.
  • 69' The crowd applauds Jake Caprice as he leaves the pitch. Jack Sparkes steps in for Exeter City FC.
  • 74' England international Archie Collins has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 76' Goal! David McGoldrick scores his 60 goal in 371 matches.
  • 78' Jack Sparkes has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 78 minutes.
  • 80' Korey Smith has so much to prove this time. He replaces Louie Sibley on 80 minute.
  • 81' Pedro Borges is replacing Kgagelo Chauke for the Exeter City FC side.
  • 86' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • Another three points for Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.03 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC31% Draw31% Derby County FC38%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Derby County FC
69%
Exeter City FC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC22% Draw52% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.5%
0 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
10.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.