Saturday , 14 November 2026

Exeter City FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 18 Apr 2023 · 18:45 UTC St. James Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
3
Exeter City FC 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Derby County FC H 1–2 L
15 Apr Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–1 L
10 Apr Peterborough United FC A 1–3 L
07 Apr Bolton Wanderers FC H 0–1 L
01 Apr Fleetwood Town FC A 2–2 D
28 Mar Barnsley FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Exeter City FC A 2–1 W
15 Apr Bristol Rovers FC A 1–1 D
10 Apr Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–1 D
07 Apr Forest Green Rovers FC A 2–0 W
01 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 0–2 L
25 Mar Peterborough United FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at St. James Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Exeter City FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' Jamal Blackman has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 20' Exeter City FC have won 205 goals from 199 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Exeter City FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Paul Warne might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 40' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 45' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 50' With 0 assists to his name this season, Korey Smith is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 53' What a moment for David McGoldrick! That strike on 53 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 58' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 58 minutes.
  • 63' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 66' Haydon Roberts catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 66.
  • 68' Joe White is ready to make an impact after coming on for James Scott at the 68 minute mark.
  • 69' Jack Sparkes gets the nod from Exeter City FC. He replaces Jake Caprice and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 74' Haydon Roberts has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 346 appearances.
  • 76' David McGoldrick makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Derby County FC are in front.
  • 78' What composure from Jack Sparkes! The England international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • 80' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Louie Sibley is withdrawn and Korey Smith gets his opportunity.
  • 81' Pedro Borges is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kgagelo Chauke at the 81 minute mark.
  • 86' Exeter City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Exeter City FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.03 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC31% Draw31% Derby County FC38%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Derby County FC
69%
Exeter City FC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC22% Draw52% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.5%
0 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
10.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.