Thursday , 2 July 2026

Exeter City FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 18 Apr 2023 · 18:45 UTC St. James Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
3
Exeter City FC 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Derby County FC H 1–2 L
15 Apr Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–1 L
10 Apr Peterborough United FC A 1–3 L
07 Apr Bolton Wanderers FC H 0–1 L
01 Apr Fleetwood Town FC A 2–2 D
28 Mar Barnsley FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Exeter City FC A 2–1 W
15 Apr Bristol Rovers FC A 1–1 D
10 Apr Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–1 D
07 Apr Forest Green Rovers FC A 2–0 W
01 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 0–2 L
25 Mar Peterborough United FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Exeter City FC welcome Derby County FC for this crunch clash at St. James Park.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gary Caldwell will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Exeter City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 40' It looks surprising Exeter City FC does not make any changes. Josh Key has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' Exeter City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 50' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 53' The Ireland David McGoldrick breaks the deadlock on 53 minutes. 0-1!
  • 58' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 63' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Exeter City FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 66' Haydon Roberts has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 66.
  • 68' A tactical swap from Exeter City FCJoe White on, James Scott off on 68 minutes.
  • 69' The crowd applauds Jake Caprice as he leaves the pitch. Jack Sparkes steps in for Exeter City FC.
  • 74' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Exeter City FC that had 198 games and scored 203 goals.
  • 76' Magnificent from David McGoldrick! That is 60 goals in 366 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 78' Goal! Jack Sparkes scores his 1 goal in 198 matches.
  • 80' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Korey Smith comes on to replace Louie Sibley.
  • 81' Pedro Borges is replacing Kgagelo Chauke for the Exeter City FC side.
  • 86' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • The points are shared — Exeter City FC 1-2 Derby County FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.03 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC31% Draw31% Derby County FC38%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Derby County FC
69%
Exeter City FC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC22% Draw52% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.5%
0 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
10.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.