Burton Albion FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burton Albion FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.
- Burton Albion FC 46 games · 54 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | Derby County FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | Milton Keynes Dons FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Nov | Chippenham Town FC | H | 6–1 | W |
| 19 Nov | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Nov | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 05 Nov | Needham Market FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | Burton Albion FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Nov | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Nov | Torquay United FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 12 Nov | Milton Keynes Dons FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 06 Nov | Torquay United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Burton Albion FC and Derby County FC is underway.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' Tom Barkhuizen has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' Burton Albion FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Corrie Ndaba suffering a number of foals already.
- 23' What a strike from James Collins! The score is 0-1.
- 28' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 33' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Hamer made 14 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 38' Burton Albion FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
- 43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 46' Haydon Roberts picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' A change in the Burton Albion FC ranks — Cameron Borthwick-Jackson exits the field as Tyler Onyango enters on 46.
- 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 56' Burton Albion FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
- 58' The supporters are chanting for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing. He replaces Lewis Dobbin on 58 minute.
- 63' Cameron Borthwick-Jackson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 51 appearances.
- 68' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 71' The referee calls foul for Eiran Cashin. He receives a Yellow card.
- 74' Derby County FC make a change. Tom Barkhuizen trudges off to be replaced by Curtis Davies on 74 minutes.
- 79' Victor Adeboyejo doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 81' Conor Hourihane makes way for Jason Knight at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
- 86' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burton Albion FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Charlie Lakin. He replaces Joe Dodoo on 90 minute.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 14
- 2
-
45
Joe Dodoo ↓ Charlie Lakin 90'
- 37
- 3
- 1
- 15
- 23
- 5
- 39
Bench
- 8
-
19
Charlie Lakin ↑ 90'
- 6
- 21
- 13
- 10
-
12
Tyler Onyango ↑ 46'
Coach
Dino Maamria
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 3
- 8
-
7
Tom Barkhuizen ↓ Curtis Davies 74'
- 1
- 10
-
4
Conor Hourihane ↓ Jason Knight 81'
-
9
James Collins ↓ William Osula 74'
-
17
Louie Sibley ↓ Haydon Roberts 46'
- 6
- 18
Bench
-
33
Curtis Davies ↑ 74'
-
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↑ 58'
- 21
-
38
Jason Knight ↑ 81'
-
15
Haydon Roberts ↑ 46'
- 16
-
23
William Osula ↑ 74'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| James Collins | 3 |
| Conor Hourihane | 2 |
| Victor Adeboyejo | 1 |
| David McGoldrick | 1 |
| Conor Washington | 1 |
| Thomas Barkhuizen | 1 |
| Steve Seddon | 1 |
| Joe Hugill | 1 |
Head to Head
Burton Albion FC Form
2022-12-10
Burton Albion FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2022-12-03
Milton Keynes Dons FC
1–1
Burton Albion FC
D
2022-11-27
Burton Albion FC
6–1
Chippenham Town FC
W
2022-11-19
Burton Albion FC
2–2
Plymouth Argyle FC
D
2022-11-12
Burton Albion FC
3–3
Charlton Athletic FC
D
2022-11-05
Burton Albion FC
2–0
Needham Market FC
W
Derby County FC Form
2022-12-10
Burton Albion FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2022-12-03
Derby County FC
0–0
Sheffield Wednesday FC
D
2022-11-18
Portsmouth FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2022-11-15
Derby County FC
5–0
Torquay United FC
W
2022-11-12
Milton Keynes Dons FC
1–3
Derby County FC
W
2022-11-06
Torquay United FC
2–2
Derby County FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43
Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Burton Albion FC or Derby County FC 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Burton Albion FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Derby County FC
58%
Burton Albion FC or Derby County FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC
| Handicap | Burton Albion FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 21% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.