Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 10 Dec 2022 · 14:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
3
Burton Albion FC 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Derby County FC H 1–1 D
03 Dec Milton Keynes Dons FC A 1–1 D
27 Nov Chippenham Town FC H 6–1 W
19 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–2 D
12 Nov Charlton Athletic FC H 3–3 D
05 Nov Needham Market FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Burton Albion FC A 1–1 D
03 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–0 D
18 Nov Portsmouth FC A 0–0 D
15 Nov Torquay United FC H 5–0 W
12 Nov Milton Keynes Dons FC A 3–1 W
06 Nov Torquay United FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
5/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 2 G 1 A
Finn Delap 2 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Burton Albion FC welcome Derby County FC for this crunch clash at Pirelli Stadium.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burton Albion FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Burton Albion FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 23' Brilliant from the forward! James Collins makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 23.
  • 28' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 33' Burton Albion FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 43' A quiet spell here at Pirelli Stadium. Burton Albion FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 46' Poor challenge from Haydon Roberts. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 46' The whistle greets Cameron Borthwick-Jackson as he departs to be replaced by Tyler Onyango.
  • 51' The 35-year-old Conor Hourihane has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 58' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Lewis Dobbin exits the field as Nathaniel Mendez-Laing enters on 58.
  • 63' Deji Oshilaja has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 240 appearances.
  • 68' Burton Albion FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 71' Poor challenge from Eiran Cashin. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Curtis Davies. He replaces Tom Barkhuizen on 74 minute.
  • 79' Victor Adeboyejo adds to his 3 season tally! Burton Albion FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 81' Derby County FC ring the changes. Conor Hourihane has done his job and it is now time for Jason Knight to step up.
  • 86' Burton Albion FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 90' Burton Albion FC make a change. Joe Dodoo trudges off to be replaced by Charlie Lakin on 90 minutes.
  • The points are shared — Burton Albion FC 1-1 Derby County FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Derby County FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC42% Draw28% Derby County FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Derby County FC
58%
Burton Albion FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC30% Draw48% Derby County FC22%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.