Sunday , 16 August 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 10 Dec 2022 · 14:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
3
Burton Albion FC 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Derby County FC H 1–1 D
03 Dec Milton Keynes Dons FC A 1–1 D
27 Nov Chippenham Town FC H 6–1 W
19 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–2 D
12 Nov Charlton Athletic FC H 3–3 D
05 Nov Needham Market FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Burton Albion FC A 1–1 D
03 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–0 D
18 Nov Portsmouth FC A 0–0 D
15 Nov Torquay United FC H 5–0 W
12 Nov Milton Keynes Dons FC A 3–1 W
06 Nov Torquay United FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Burton Albion FC vs Derby County FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Burton Albion FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 23' What a strike from James Collins! The score is 0-1.
  • 28' Ben Garratt has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 33' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
  • 38' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 43' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 46' That is a Yellow card for Derby County FC. Haydon Roberts will be fuming at that decision.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Cameron Borthwick-Jackson as he leaves the pitch. Tyler Onyango steps in for Burton Albion FC.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joseph Wildsmith suffering a number of foals already.
  • 56' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 58' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Nathaniel Mendez-Laing comes on to replace Lewis Dobbin.
  • 63' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 68' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 71' The referee shows Derby County FC player a Yellow card on 71.
  • 74' Curtis Davies is replacing Tom Barkhuizen for the Derby County FC side.
  • 79' Victor Adeboyejo does the damage! The net is bulging and Burton Albion FC surge ahead!
  • 81' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Conor Hourihane exits the field as Jason Knight enters on 81.
  • 86' It looks surprising Burton Albion FC does not make any changes. Terry Taylor has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' Another substitution for Burton Albion FC to replace Joe Dodoo by Charlie Lakin on 90 minute.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Derby County FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC42% Draw28% Derby County FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Derby County FC
58%
Burton Albion FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC30% Draw48% Derby County FC22%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.