Saturday , 14 November 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 10 Dec 2022 · 14:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
3
Burton Albion FC 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Derby County FC H 1–1 D
03 Dec Milton Keynes Dons FC A 1–1 D
27 Nov Chippenham Town FC H 6–1 W
19 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–2 D
12 Nov Charlton Athletic FC H 3–3 D
05 Nov Needham Market FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Burton Albion FC A 1–1 D
03 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–0 D
18 Nov Portsmouth FC A 0–0 D
15 Nov Torquay United FC H 5–0 W
12 Nov Milton Keynes Dons FC A 3–1 W
06 Nov Torquay United FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 3 G 1 A
Finn Delap 3 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Pirelli Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Burton Albion FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' Burton Albion FC have won 434 goals from 386 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Conor Hourihane, a Ireland , has 30 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' Eiran Cashin is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
  • 23' A goal from the Ireland international James Collins! He fires home on 23 to make it 0-1!
  • 28' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 33' England international Lewis Dobbin has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 38' The home supporters are growing impatient. Burton Albion FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 43' Bobby Kamwa has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 46' Derby County FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 46' Burton Albion FC make a change. Cameron Borthwick-Jackson trudges off to be replaced by Tyler Onyango on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Burton Albion FC is showing some good football. However, Burton Albion FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 58' Derby County FC ring the changes. Lewis Dobbin has done his job and it is now time for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing to step up.
  • 63' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 68' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 71' Eiran Cashin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 71.
  • 74' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Tom Barkhuizen is withdrawn and Curtis Davies gets his opportunity.
  • 79' What a strike from Victor Adeboyejo! The score is 1-1.
  • 81' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Conor Hourihane is replaced by Jason Knight.
  • 86' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 90' The whistle greets Joe Dodoo as he departs to be replaced by Charlie Lakin.
  • The points are shared — Burton Albion FC 1-1 Derby County FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Derby County FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC42% Draw28% Derby County FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Derby County FC
58%
Burton Albion FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC30% Draw48% Derby County FC22%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.