Derby County FC vs Bristol City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Bristol City FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Bristol City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Nield
- Assistant 1 Richard Wild
- Assistant 2 Hugh Gilroy (England)
4 games this season
🟨 1.5/game
⚽ 2.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Bristol City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | Watford FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Aug | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 27 Apr | Carlisle United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Cambridge United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Derby County FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Aug | Coventry City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Aug | Millwall FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 10 Aug | Hull City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 May | Stoke City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Apr | Rotherham United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Bristol City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #8 |
| 5 | Points | 13 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 1 / 2 / 5 | W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 3 |
| 7 | Scored | 11 |
| 14 | Conceded | 12 |
| -7 | GD | -1 |
| 0.63 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 13% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season
Bristol City FC this season
Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Bristol City FC are 8th (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bristol City FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Bristol City FC
| Dominic Ballard | 3 G | |
| Lorent Tolaj | 2 G | 1 A |
| Scott Twine | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Bristol City FC gets underway.
- 5' Curtis Nelson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 389 games and scored 457 goals.
- 25' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 28' Magnificent from Kenzo Goudmijn! That is 8 goals in 304 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 33' Bristol City FC come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 38' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 43' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 48' The travelling Bristol City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 53' Ireland international Mark Sykes has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 58' The energy levels are beginning to show. Paul Warne might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 60' Kayden Jackson is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 65' Sinclair Armstrong makes way for Fally Mayulu at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Bristol City FC.
- 70' David Ozoh has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 324 appearances.
- 74' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Nathaniel Mendez-Laing by Thomas Barkhuizen on 74 minute.
- 77' That looks like a foul for a card for Ryan Nyambe.
- 82' Bristol City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Yu Hirakawa. He replaces Mark Sykes on 84 minute.
- 87' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Liam Thompson on, Kenzo Goudmijn off on 87 minutes.
- 89' with the perfectly-timed delivery and David Ozoh makes no mistake. 3-0!
- 89' Craig Forsyth has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jerry Yates on 89 minute.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Joe Ward. He replaces Ryan Nyambe on 90 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Bristol City FC.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Liam Thompson 87'
- 11
- 19
-
24
Ryan Nyambe ↓ Joe Ward 90'
- 35
-
10
Jerry Yates ↓ Craig Forsyth 89'
- 32
- 20
- 6
- 1
- 4
Bench
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 89'
-
23
Joe Ward ↑ 90'
- 31
- 9
- 5
- 28
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 87'
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 74'
- 39
Coach
Paul Warne
Bristol City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
-
6
Max Bird ↓ Anis Mehmeti 65'
- 8
- 14
- 4
-
10
Scott Twine ↓ Nahki Wells 84'
-
17
Mark Sykes ↓ Yu Hirakawa 84'
- 12
- 19
- 1
- 30
Bench
-
21
Nahki Wells ↑ 84'
- 27
- 29
- 24
- 23
- 15
-
11
Anis Mehmeti ↑ 65'
-
9
Fally Mayulu ↑ 65'
-
7
Yu Hirakawa ↑ 84'
Coach
Liam Manning
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andreas Weimann | 2 |
| Famara Diedhiou | 2 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 2 |
| Jamie Paterson | 1 |
| Alex Scott | 1 |
| Jayden Bogle | 1 |
| Craig Forsyth | 1 |
| Tom Lawrence | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
2024-08-31
Derby County FC
3–0
Bristol City FC
W
2024-08-24
Watford FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2024-08-17
Derby County FC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-08-09
Blackburn Rovers FC
4–2
Derby County FC
L
2024-04-27
Derby County FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
W
2024-04-20
Cambridge United FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
Bristol City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.48
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
Bristol City FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Bristol City FC
52%
Derby County FC or Bristol City FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Bristol City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 23% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

