Bristol City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bristol City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Ashton Gate Stadium.
- Bristol City FC 46 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Joshua Smith
- Referee Ian Cooper
- Referee Samuel Lewis
- Referee Keith Stroud
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov | Derby County FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Nov | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Nov | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Oct | Norwich City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Oct | AFC Bournemouth | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov | Bristol City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Nov | Barnsley FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Nov | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Oct | AFC Bournemouth | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Oct | Cardiff City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Oct | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Bristol City FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #8 |
| 62 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 17 / 11 / 18 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 59 | Scored | 67 |
| 59 | Conceded | 59 |
| +0 | GD | +8 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 37% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Bristol City FC are 12th (62 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Ashton Gate Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Morgan Whittaker is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Bristol City FC tonight.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Bristol City FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 35' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 40' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 45' Jamie Paterson was booked on 45.
- 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lee Buchanan, as he is very good at scoring at Ashton Gate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 55' The home supporters are growing impatient. Bristol City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 58' The referee has no hesitation. Lee Buchanan is booked for Derby County FC — Yellow card on 58.
- 63' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 68' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Bristol City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 69' Bristol City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Chris Brunt is hanging Callum O'Dowda on the field on 69 minute.
- 72' Morgan Whittaker has so much to prove this time. He replaces Duane Holmes on 72 minute.
- 77' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
- 78' The Senegal Famara Diedhiou breaks the deadlock on 78 minutes. 1-0!
- 81' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Louie Sibley on, Max Bird off on 81 minutes.
- 83' The supporters are chanting for Taylor Moore. He replaces Nahki Wells on 83 minute.
- 88' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Nathan Byrne is withdrawn and Jahmal Hector-Ingram gets his opportunity.
- 90' Bristol City FC make a change. Jamie Paterson trudges off to be replaced by Tommy Rowe on 90 minutes.
- 1-0 the final result. Derby County FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Bristol City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
11
Callum O'Dowda ↓ Chris Brunt 69'
-
10
Jamie Paterson ↓ Tommy Rowe 90'
- 3
- 2
- 18
-
7
Chris Martin ↓ Famara Diedhiou 69'
-
21
Nahki Wells ↓ Taylor Moore 83'
- 1
- 26
- 4
Bench
-
9
Famara Diedhiou ↑ 69'
- 12
- 19
-
29
Chris Brunt ↑ 69'
-
25
Tommy Rowe ↑ 90'
-
23
Taylor Moore ↑ 83'
- 27
- 34
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 2
-
8
Max Bird ↓ Louie Sibley 81'
- 10
- 9
-
25
Duane Holmes ↓ Morgan Whittaker 72'
- 1
- 12
- 32
- 26
- 38
Bench
- 21
- 3
- 33
- 22
- 4
-
17
Louie Sibley ↑ 81'
-
18
Morgan Whittaker ↑ 72'
-
49
Jahmal Hector-Ingram ↑ 88'
- 37
Coach
Liam Rosenior
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andreas Weimann | 2 |
| Famara Diedhiou | 2 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 2 |
| Jayden Bogle | 1 |
| Craig Forsyth | 1 |
| Tom Lawrence | 1 |
| Antoine Semenyo | 1 |
| Jack Marriott | 1 |
Head to Head
Bristol City FC Form
2020-11-21
Bristol City FC
1–0
Derby County FC
W
2020-11-06
Cardiff City FC
0–1
Bristol City FC
W
2020-11-03
Huddersfield Town AFC
1–2
Bristol City FC
W
2020-10-31
Bristol City FC
1–3
Norwich City FC
L
2020-10-28
AFC Bournemouth
1–0
Bristol City FC
L
2020-10-24
Bristol City FC
1–1
Swansea City AFC
D
Derby County FC Form
2020-11-21
Bristol City FC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2020-11-07
Derby County FC
0–2
Barnsley FC
L
2020-11-04
Derby County FC
0–1
Queens Park Rangers FC
L
2020-10-31
AFC Bournemouth
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2020-10-28
Derby County FC
1–1
Cardiff City FC
D
2020-10-23
Nottingham Forest FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33
Bristol City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bristol City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Bristol City FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Derby County FC
55%
Bristol City FC or Derby County FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC
| Handicap | Bristol City FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 20% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.