Saturday , 14 November 2026

CA Mineiro vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 0
Full Time
Sat 25 Oct 2025 · 19:00 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
Vitor Hugo 71' Y
Rony 84' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Ceará SC — Serie A at Mineirao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Ceará SC H 1–0 W
18 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–1 L
16 Oct Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D
08 Oct SC Recife H 3–1 W
04 Oct Fluminense FC A 0–3 L
01 Oct EC Juventude H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
19 Oct Botafogo FR H 0–2 L
15 Oct SC Recife A 1–1 D
05 Oct Santos FC H 3–0 W
02 Oct EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
29 Sep São Paulo FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Bernard 5 G 4 A
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Mineirao as CA Mineiro face off against Ceará SC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 1' A goal from the Ecuador international Alan Franco! He fires home on 1 to make it 1-0!
  • 6' CA Mineiro have won 492 goals from 486 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 11' Ceará SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 11.
  • 16' A quiet spell here at Mineirao. CA Mineiro seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 21' The energy levels are beginning to show. Leo Condé might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 26' Natanael is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CA Mineiro so far.
  • 31' With 1 assists to his name this season, Marllon is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CA Mineiro.
  • 36' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Mineiro and Ceará SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 41' Antonio Galeano has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 46' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Gabriel Teixeira is withdrawn and Igor Gomes gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 56' CA Mineiro are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Ceará SC's shape.
  • 61' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Mineiro side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 64' CA Mineiro manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Guilherme Arana is hanging Caio Paulista on the field on 64 minute.
  • 69' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 71' The referee shows CA Mineiro player a card on 71.
  • 73' Ceara SC make a change. Fernandinho trudges off to be replaced by Rodriguinho on 73 minutes.
  • 77' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Gustavo Scarpa has done his job and it is now time for Rony to step up.
  • 79' Lucca Holanda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pedro Raul on 79 minute.
  • 84' Rony picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 84' Fresh legs for CA Mineiro! Reinier comes on to replace Hulk.
  • 89' Ceara SC make a change. Antonio Galeano trudges off to be replaced by Aylon on 89 minutes.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Guilherme Arana on 90 minutes.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.19 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 Ceará SC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro49% Draw30% Ceará SC21%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
80%
Draw or Ceará SC
51%
CA Mineiro or Ceará SC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Mineiro30% Draw55% Ceará SC15%
Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
10%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
3%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 2
1.2%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push Ceará SC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 25% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
49% ✗
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.