Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CA Mineiro vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 0
Full Time
Sat 25 Oct 2025 · 19:00 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
Vitor Hugo 71' Y
Rony 84' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Ceará SC — Serie A at Mineirao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Ceará SC H 1–0 W
18 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–1 L
16 Oct Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D
08 Oct SC Recife H 3–1 W
04 Oct Fluminense FC A 0–3 L
01 Oct EC Juventude H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
19 Oct Botafogo FR H 0–2 L
15 Oct SC Recife A 1–1 D
05 Oct Santos FC H 3–0 W
02 Oct EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
29 Sep Sao Paulo FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. CA Mineiro is hosting Ceara SC for another epic battle.
  • 1' Alan Franco has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 1 minutes.
  • 6' CA Mineiro have won 486 goals from 482 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 11' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marllon, as he is very good at scoring at Mineirao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 16' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Ceara SC that had 238 games and scored 233 goals.
  • 21' Over 21 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 26' Ceara SC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 31' Everson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Ceara SC so far.
  • 36' Ceara SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Antonio Galeano made 12 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 46' A change in the CA Mineiro ranks — Gabriel Teixeira exits the field as Igor Gomes enters on 46.
  • 51' CA Mineiro are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Ceara SC's shape.
  • 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leo Condé will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 61' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Mineiro and Ceara SC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 64' Caio Paulista makes way for Guilherme Arana at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from CA Mineiro.
  • 69' Matheus Bahia has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 32 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 71' CA Mineiro receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Ceara SC team. Fernandinho is replaced by Rodriguinho on 73 minute.
  • 77' Another change for CA Mineiro made on 77 minute. Gustavo Scarpa leaves to be changed by Rony.
  • 79' Lucca Holanda is replacing Pedro Raul for the Ceara SC side.
  • 84' Rony picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 84' Time for substitution for CA Mineiro. Hulk is replaced by Reinier.
  • 89' Antonio Galeano makes way for Aylon at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Ceara SC.
  • 90' Guilherme Arana is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Ceara SC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.19 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 Ceará SC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro49% Draw30% Ceará SC21%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
80%
Draw or Ceará SC
51%
CA Mineiro or Ceará SC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Mineiro30% Draw55% Ceará SC15%
Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
10%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
3%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 2
1.2%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push Ceará SC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 25% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
49% ✗
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.